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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 16, 2021
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Grizzlies
126
20Bulls
115
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 21.7
32
33
15
7
5
0
1
0
3
1
6
4-6
67%
4-8
6-11
50%
52%
1-3
33%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.9
31
31
16
7
5
0
1
0
0
0
7
1-1
100%
6-7
8-13
86%
60%
1-2
50%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 25.2
29
31
32
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
4-5
80%
8-12
5-10
67%
47%
4-7
57%
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 25.5
26
29
11
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-4
50%
0-2
2-3
0%
51%
3-7
43%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.6
25
26
6
11
7
1
1
2
0
2
9
2-2
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
55%
0-5
0%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.8
23
20
8
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
2-3
67%
Killian Tillie
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.1
23
4
6
3
2
2
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
2-6
33%
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 22.3
17
15
14
2
0
2
1
1
0
0
2
4-4
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
57%
2-4
50%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.1
16
12
8
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
1-1
75%
53%
0-0
-
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 24.9
16
14
10
0
7
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
2-3
67%
Sean McDermott
F · 6'6" 195 · 24.4
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
56%
0-0
-
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 30.5
3
0
0-1
45%
Jontay Porter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 21.4
2
0
0-0
56%
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.9
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 21.6
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 24.6
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Coby White
G · 6'5" 191 · 21.2
33
20
27
5
7
0
0
0
1
1
4
7-7
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
48%
4-8
50%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 30.5
33
31
24
14
6
0
1
0
0
5
9
3-4
75%
6-15
7-12
40%
53%
3-7
43%
Patrick Williams
F · 6'8" 215 · 19.6
30
27
6
6
1
1
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
53%
0-1
0%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 34.9
25
11
5
1
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
1-3
33%
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 29.0
20
24
7
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-3
33%
3-5
3-5
60%
63%
0-1
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.8
22
19
17
6
4
0
1
0
2
5
1
0-0
-
7-14
4-7
50%
57%
1-1
100%
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 23.9
21
19
3
5
4
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
54%
1-6
17%
Troy Brown Jr.
F · 6'7" 215 · 21.7
19
17
11
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
5-5
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 27.4
17
10
11
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
3-6
50%
Ryan Arcidiacono
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.1
15
3
4
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Javonte Green
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.7
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
56%
0-0
-
Devon Dotson
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.7
2
2
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 28.8
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
57%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.6
6
0
0-1
46%
Adam Mokoka
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.7
1
0
0-0
53%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.1
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.