Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, April 16, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Nuggets	63%	115	128	130.6	98	92.1
	19	Rockets	37%	110	99	101.0	98	104.8

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+20

-9

109

HOU

+12

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.17 58.7%

HOU

1.03 51.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 23	31.1	21	75%	5	1	1	0	0	1	0	5	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	4-7	57%
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 30	29.6	12	46%	1	2	1	0	2	2	0	1	5-6	83%	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	27.1	29	91%	16	7	2	0	0	3	6	10	8-9	89%	9-11	82%	1-1	100%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 26	21.8	8	57%	2	2	1	0	1	1	1	1	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	18.9	6	43%	1	2	2	1	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%

Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	25.8	7	58%	2	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
PJ Dozier #35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	23.9	11	39%	4	2	0	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-6	17%
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	22.0	13	81%	7	1	1	0	0	2	4	3	1-1	100%	6-7	86%	0-1	0%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	16.6	11	50%	10	0	0	1	2	1	4	6	3-3	100%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	7.8	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 24	4.3	4	67%	2	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Bol Bol #10 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 21	4.3	2	50%	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Markus Howard #00 · SG · 5'11" 175 · 22	3.6	2	50%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Shaquille Harrison #3 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 28	3.2	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 33	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left ACL; Injury
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	59%	54	22	11	3	9	15	18	36	27-31	87%	37-63	59%	9-31	29%

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4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 23	31.1	21	75%	5	1	1	0	0	1	0	5	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	4-7	57%
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 30	29.6	12	46%	1	2	1	0	2	2	0	1	5-6	83%	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	27.1	29	91%	16	7	2	0	0	3	6	10	8-9	89%	9-11	82%	1-1	100%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 26	21.8	8	57%	2	2	1	0	1	1	1	1	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	18.9	6	43%	1	2	2	1	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%

Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	25.8	7	58%	2	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
PJ Dozier #35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	23.9	11	39%	4	2	0	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-6	17%
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	22.0	13	81%	7	1	1	0	0	2	4	3	1-1	100%	6-7	86%	0-1	0%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	16.6	11	50%	10	0	0	1	2	1	4	6	3-3	100%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	7.8	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 24	4.3	4	67%	2	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Bol Bol #10 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 21	4.3	2	50%	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Markus Howard #00 · SG · 5'11" 175 · 22	3.6	2	50%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Shaquille Harrison #3 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 28	3.2	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 33	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left ACL; Injury
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	59%	54	22	11	3	9	15	18	36	27-31	87%	37-63	59%	9-31	29%

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19 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 25	31.9	21	75%	5	5	2	0	0	3	2	3	2-3	67%	8-10	80%	1-3	33%
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 21	31.6	4	20%	3	5	0	0	4	1	0	3	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	0-3	0%
John Wall #1 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 31	28.1	10	56%	1	2	0	0	7	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	2-3	67%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 30	27.1	23	82%	6	2	0	1	0	3	2	4	0-0	-	7-10	70%	3-4	75%
Christian Wood #35 · C · 6'9" 214 · 26	24.4	15	63%	3	1	0	0	1	5	0	3	3-5	60%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%

KJ Martin #6 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	22.9	4	25%	7	2	1	0	0	2	4	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
Avery Bradley #9 · SG · 6'2" 180 · 30	21.8	6	43%	2	2	2	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-6	33%
Armoni Brooks #7 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 23	20.9	4	33%	6	3	0	0	2	3	0	6	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-4	0%
D.J. Wilson #00 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 25	16.9	8	44%	2	0	2	0	0	1	0	2	1-4	25%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
DaQuan Jeffries #55 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 24	10.2	2	33%	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Anthony Lamb #33 · SF · 6'6" 227 · 23	4.3	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Danuel House Jr. #4 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 28	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
David Nwaba #2 · SF · 6'4" 209 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Sterling Brown #0 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Danté Exum #5 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
D.J. Augustin #14 · PG · 6'0" 183 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Eric Gordon #10 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	52%	35	23	7	3	14	19	8	27	12-18	67%	27-51	53%	11-35	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	HOU

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.17 58.7%

HOU

1.03 51.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

73%

HOU

63%

Midrange

DEN

45%

HOU

23%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

13.5

29%

44%

HOU

16.5

31%

47%

Free Throws

DEN

87%

HOU

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	29	91%	14.5 / 16
M. Porter	21	75%	10.5 / 14
J. Green	13	81%	6.5 / 8
W. Barton	12	46%	6.0 / 13
P. Dozier	11	39%	5.5 / 14
P. Millsap	11	50%	5.5 / 11
A. Gordon	8	57%	4.0 / 7
F. Campazzo	7	58%	3.5 / 6
M. Morris	6	43%	3.0 / 7
V. Cancar	4	67%	2.0 / 3
B. Bol	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Howard	2	50%	1.0 / 2
S. Harrison	2	50%	1.0 / 2
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Olynyk	23	82%	11.5 / 14
J. Tate	21	75%	10.5 / 14
C. Wood	15	63%	7.5 / 12
J. Wall	10	56%	5.0 / 9
D. Wilson	8	44%	4.0 / 9
A. Bradley	6	43%	3.0 / 7
K. Porter	4	20%	2.0 / 10
K. Martin	4	25%	2.0 / 8
A. Brooks	4	33%	2.0 / 6
D. Jeffries	2	33%	1.0 / 3
A. Lamb	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 116.8 27 107.4	DEN 130.6 +29.6 HOU 101.0
Pace	28 97.4 7 101.1	DEN 92.1 HOU 104.8 +12.7
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.1 22 14.2	DEN 15.6 HOU 13.7 −1.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 55.7% 24 52.1%	DEN 53.7% +3.1% HOU 50.6%
TO %	13 13.0% 23 14.1%	DEN 7.7% −5.3% HOU 13.0%
ORB %	2 24.8% 28 19.9%	DEN 40.0% +21.8% HOU 18.2%
FTrt	28 21.9 10 25.2	DEN 33.0 +12.1 HOU 20.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 62.1% 16 60.1%	DEN 47.8% HOU 60.5% +12.7%
STL %	6 8.2% 16 7.5%	DEN 11.2% +4.1% HOU 7.1%
BLK %	14 9.0% 12 9.3%	DEN 5.9% +1.1% HOU 4.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 57.5% 25 54.4%	DEN 58.7% +7.1% HOU 51.6%
Rim FG%	6 63.9% 15 61.2%	DEN 73.3% +10.1% HOU 63.2%
Mid FG%	5 44.9% 30 34.6%	DEN 45.5% +22.4% HOU 23.1%
3P %	8 37.7% 28 33.9%	DEN 29.0% HOU 31.4% +2.4%
FT %	7 80.3% 27 74.0%	DEN 87.1% +20.4% HOU 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 33.5% 7 37.8%	DEN 31.9% HOU 44.2% +12.3%
Mid Att. %	22 28.2% 1 16.4%	DEN 35.1% HOU 15.1% −20.0%
3P Att. %	18 38.3% 2 45.9%	DEN 33.0% HOU 40.7% +7.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.37 and 2.37.

Game Totals	DEN	HOU
Possessions	98	98
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.4
Points	128	99
Rebounds	54	35
Assists	22	23
Steals	11	7
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls	15	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (2)	8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (4)	27 (2)
Field Goals	46-94	38-86
At-the-Rim FG	22-30	24-38
Midrange FG	15-33	3-13
2-Point FG	37-63	27-51
3-Point FG	9-31	11-35
Free Throws	27-31	12-18
Fast Break Pts	17	13
2nd Chance Pts	32	14
Points in Paint	62	52
Pts off Turnovers	20	7
Bench Points	52	26
Biggest Lead	29	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg