Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Grizzlies	30%	107	137	113.2	121	110.6
	3	Nuggets	70%	114	139	113.9	122	92.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 22	45.4	36	62%	8	12	3	1	4	1	2	6	8-11	73%	11-19	58%	2-5	40%
Grayson Allen #3 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 26	43.2	24	55%	3	1	3	0	3	2	0	3	5-5	100%	5-10	50%	3-10	30%
Xavier Tillman #2 · C · 6'8" 245 · 22	41.2	18	64%	14	1	2	1	1	4	4	10	2-4	50%	5-9	56%	2-3	67%
Kyle Anderson #1 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	38.6	11	50%	6	6	1	0	0	3	1	5	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
Desmond Bane #22 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	15.7	3	38%	2	1	0	0	0	4	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%

De'Anthony Melton #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	40.7	25	69%	8	6	5	0	2	5	2	6	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	6-10	60%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	23.1	4	50%	4	4	1	1	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Justise Winslow #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	17.9	6	50%	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	16.6	10	71%	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Tyus Jones #21 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 25	7.6	0	0%	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Killian Tillie #35 · C · 6'10" 220 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Tim Frazier #10 · PG · 6'1" 170 · 30	DNP - Coach's Decision
Sean McDermott #30 · SF · 6'6" 195 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jontay Porter #4 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Dillon Brooks #24 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thigh; Soreness
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Concussion; NBA Concussion Protocol
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Surgery Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	290	137	56%	47	33	15	3	14	24	10	37	18-24	75%	34-67	51%	17-40	43%

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20 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 22	45.4	36	62%	8	12	3	1	4	1	2	6	8-11	73%	11-19	58%	2-5	40%
Grayson Allen #3 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 26	43.2	24	55%	3	1	3	0	3	2	0	3	5-5	100%	5-10	50%	3-10	30%
Xavier Tillman #2 · C · 6'8" 245 · 22	41.2	18	64%	14	1	2	1	1	4	4	10	2-4	50%	5-9	56%	2-3	67%
Kyle Anderson #1 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	38.6	11	50%	6	6	1	0	0	3	1	5	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
Desmond Bane #22 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	15.7	3	38%	2	1	0	0	0	4	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%

De'Anthony Melton #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	40.7	25	69%	8	6	5	0	2	5	2	6	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	6-10	60%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	23.1	4	50%	4	4	1	1	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Justise Winslow #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	17.9	6	50%	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	16.6	10	71%	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Tyus Jones #21 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 25	7.6	0	0%	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Killian Tillie #35 · C · 6'10" 220 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Tim Frazier #10 · PG · 6'1" 170 · 30	DNP - Coach's Decision
Sean McDermott #30 · SF · 6'6" 195 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jontay Porter #4 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Dillon Brooks #24 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thigh; Soreness
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Concussion; NBA Concussion Protocol
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Surgery Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	290	137	56%	47	33	15	3	14	24	10	37	18-24	75%	34-67	51%	17-40	43%

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3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	45.0	47	73%	15	8	0	1	7	3	7	8	5-6	83%	18-25	72%	2-6	33%
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 30	44.1	28	64%	6	7	1	1	1	2	1	5	7-8	88%	3-13	23%	5-6	83%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 23	43.1	21	75%	7	1	0	1	3	3	1	6	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	5-8	63%
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	35.1	3	19%	3	2	2	0	3	5	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-7	14%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 26	21.6	2	14%	8	3	0	1	2	1	2	6	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-3	0%

PJ Dozier #35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	37.3	10	45%	5	5	0	1	3	1	2	3	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	0-4	0%
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	23.2	12	100%	5	1	1	0	0	2	0	5	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-3	67%
Shaquille Harrison #3 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 28	17.0	2	50%	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	12.9	12	86%	5	2	1	1	2	0	0	5	2-4	50%	5-5	100%	0-1	0%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 24	10.6	2	50%	3	0	0	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	DNP - Coach's Decision
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 33	DNP - Coach's Decision
Bol Bol #10 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Markus Howard #00 · SG · 5'11" 175 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Acl; Injury
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	290	139	61%	58	30	6	6	24	19	13	45	22-26	85%	36-63	57%	15-39	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.12 56.1%

DEN

1.22 61.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

24

36

67%

DEN

20

31

65%

Midrange

MEM

10

31

32%

DEN

16

32

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

17

25.5

40

43%

64%

DEN

15

22.5

39

38%

58%

Free Throws

MEM

18

24

75%

DEN

22

26

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Morant	36	62%	18.0 / 29
D. Melton	25	69%	12.5 / 18
G. Allen	24	55%	12.0 / 22
X. Tillman	18	64%	9.0 / 14
K. Anderson	11	50%	5.5 / 11
J. Konchar	10	71%	5.0 / 7
J. Winslow	6	50%	3.0 / 6
B. Clarke	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Bane	3	38%	1.5 / 4
T. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	47	73%	23.5 / 32
W. Barton	28	64%	14.0 / 22
M. Porter	21	75%	10.5 / 14
J. Green	12	100%	6.0 / 6
P. Millsap	12	86%	6.0 / 7
P. Dozier	10	45%	5.0 / 11
F. Campazzo	3	19%	1.5 / 8
A. Gordon	2	14%	1.0 / 7
S. Harrison	2	50%	1.0 / 2
V. Cancar	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	15 112.1 7 116.8	MEM 113.2 DEN 113.9 +0.7
Pace	9 100.3 28 97.4	MEM 110.6 +17.8 DEN 92.9
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.1 4 15.1	MEM 13.0 −2.5 DEN 15.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 52.8% 6 55.7%	MEM 55.6% DEN 57.4% +1.8%
TO %	8 12.6% 13 13.0%	MEM 11.3% −6.2% DEN 17.5%
ORB %	6 24.2% 2 24.8%	MEM 18.2% DEN 26.0% +7.8%
FTrt	25 23.3 28 21.9	MEM 22.4 DEN 25.5 +3.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 62.8% 11 62.1%	MEM 64.7% +5.9% DEN 58.8%
STL %	2 9.0% 6 8.2%	MEM 12.4% +7.5% DEN 4.9%
BLK %	11 9.4% 14 9.0%	MEM 4.8% DEN 9.0% +4.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 54.7% 6 57.5%	MEM 56.1% DEN 61.0% +4.9%
Rim FG%	17 60.7% 6 63.9%	MEM 66.7% +2.2% DEN 64.5%
Mid FG%	8 44.0% 5 44.9%	MEM 32.3% DEN 50.0% +17.7%
3P %	20 35.6% 8 37.7%	MEM 42.5% +4.0% DEN 38.5%
FT %	18 77.1% 7 80.3%	MEM 75.0% DEN 84.6% +9.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 33.5% 18 33.5%	MEM 33.6% +3.3% DEN 30.4%
Mid Att. %	26 32.3% 22 28.2%	MEM 29.0% −2.4% DEN 31.4%
3P Att. %	27 34.2% 18 38.3%	MEM 37.4% DEN 38.2% +0.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	DEN
Possessions	121	122
Possession Minutes	26.2	31.5
Points	137	139
Rebounds	47	58
Assists	33	30
Steals	15	6
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	24 (0)
Fouls	24	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (1)	45 (1)
Field Goals	51-107	51-102
At-the-Rim FG	24-36	20-31
Midrange FG	10-31	16-32
2-Point FG	34-67	36-63
3-Point FG	17-40	15-39
Free Throws	18-24	22-26
Fast Break Pts	28	10
2nd Chance Pts	12	22
Points in Paint	62	70
Pts off Turnovers	39	27
Bench Points	45	38
Biggest Lead	13	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg