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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 19, 2021
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Grizzlies
137
3Nuggets
139
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 21.7
45
31
36
8
12
3
1
1
4
2
6
8-11
73%
11-19
5-10
58%
51%
2-5
40%
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 25.5
43
29
24
3
1
3
1
0
3
0
3
5-5
100%
5-10
2-3
50%
50%
3-10
30%
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 22.3
41
17
18
14
1
2
1
1
1
4
10
2-4
50%
5-9
2-4
56%
57%
2-3
67%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.6
39
28
11
6
6
1
1
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
55%
1-5
20%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.8
16
22
3
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
1-3
33%
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.9
41
19
25
8
6
4
1
0
2
2
6
1-2
50%
3-7
2-3
43%
49%
6-10
60%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 24.6
23
22
4
4
4
2
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
4-6
50%
59%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.1
18
19
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.1
17
13
10
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
53%
2-3
67%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 24.9
8
15
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Killian Tillie
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.1
10
0
1-1
51%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 30.5
3
0
0-1
43%
Sean McDermott
F · 6'6" 195 · 24.5
2
0
0-0
50%
Jontay Porter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 21.4
2
0
0-0
52%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 25.2
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.0
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 21.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 26.2
45
30
47
15
8
0
1
1
7
7
8
5-6
83%
18-25
8-13
72%
59%
2-6
33%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 30.3
44
30
28
6
7
1
1
1
1
1
5
7-8
88%
3-13
3-6
23%
49%
5-6
83%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 22.8
43
32
21
7
1
0
1
1
3
1
6
2-2
100%
2-5
5-9
40%
61%
5-8
63%
Facundo Campazzo
G · 5'11" 195 · 30.1
35
24
3
3
2
2
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
1-7
14%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.6
22
24
2
8
3
0
1
1
2
2
6
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
52%
0-3
0%
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 24.5
37
21
10
5
5
0
1
1
3
2
3
4-4
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
0-4
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 30.8
23
18
12
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
55%
2-3
67%
Shaquille Harrison
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.5
17
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 36.2
13
14
12
5
2
1
0
1
2
0
5
2-4
50%
5-5
2-3
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 24.0
11
4
2
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
57%
0-1
0%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 20.3
6
0
0-1
58%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 33.2
5
0
1-2
59%
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 21.4
3
0
0-1
57%
Markus Howard
G · 5'11" 175 · 22.1
3
0
0-0
48%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 24.2
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.