Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Timberwolves	36%	110	112	109.8	102	103.9
	13	Heat	64%	116	121	118.6	102	100.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #1 · SF · 6'4" 225 · 20	41.4	25	63%	6	3	0	1	5	4	2	4	3-3	100%	8-10	80%	2-9	22%
Jarred Vanderbilt #8 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 22	35.6	8	80%	11	1	5	2	0	4	1	10	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Ricky Rubio #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 31	32.7	16	62%	3	9	2	0	3	3	1	2	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25	30.7	27	68%	6	4	0	0	4	5	0	6	9-11	82%	6-10	60%	2-6	33%
D'Angelo Russell #0 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 25	25.9	17	65%	3	4	0	0	0	0	2	1	1-3	33%	2-5	40%	4-7	57%

Juancho Hernangomez #41 · PF · 6'9" 230 · 26	23.5	8	31%	5	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	1-5	20%	2-4	50%	1-7	14%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 22	17.8	6	60%	6	1	0	0	2	4	1	5	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	15.3	2	33%	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 23	10.0	3	50%	0	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jaylen Nowell #4 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 22	7.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ed Davis #17 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 32	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jake Layman #10 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 27	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jarrett Culver #23 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Surgery
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury
Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 21	Inactive - Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	57%	41	27	7	4	16	24	9	32	20-30	67%	31-48	65%	10-37	27%

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18 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #1 · SF · 6'4" 225 · 20	41.4	25	63%	6	3	0	1	5	4	2	4	3-3	100%	8-10	80%	2-9	22%
Jarred Vanderbilt #8 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 22	35.6	8	80%	11	1	5	2	0	4	1	10	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Ricky Rubio #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 31	32.7	16	62%	3	9	2	0	3	3	1	2	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25	30.7	27	68%	6	4	0	0	4	5	0	6	9-11	82%	6-10	60%	2-6	33%
D'Angelo Russell #0 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 25	25.9	17	65%	3	4	0	0	0	0	2	1	1-3	33%	2-5	40%	4-7	57%

Juancho Hernangomez #41 · PF · 6'9" 230 · 26	23.5	8	31%	5	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	1-5	20%	2-4	50%	1-7	14%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 22	17.8	6	60%	6	1	0	0	2	4	1	5	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	15.3	2	33%	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 23	10.0	3	50%	0	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jaylen Nowell #4 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 22	7.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ed Davis #17 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 32	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jake Layman #10 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 27	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jarrett Culver #23 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Surgery
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury
Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 21	Inactive - Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	57%	41	27	7	4	16	24	9	32	20-30	67%	31-48	65%	10-37	27%

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13 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 32	36.2	25	63%	8	6	5	0	3	1	4	4	11-14	79%	7-14	50%	0-1	0%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 24	32.8	15	63%	4	4	2	2	2	4	0	4	3-4	75%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Trevor Ariza #8 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 36	30.6	6	30%	8	1	1	0	0	1	2	6	3-3	100%	0-5	0%	1-4	25%
Kendrick Nunn #25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 26	28.9	12	50%	2	2	0	0	2	1	0	2	2-2	100%	5-5	100%	0-6	0%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27	17.6	6	75%	2	3	0	0	2	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%

Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	32.2	23	64%	4	3	0	0	0	4	2	2	0-1	0%	7-12	58%	3-6	50%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21	29.2	27	104%	3	4	0	0	0	2	0	3	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	6-8	75%
Andre Iguodala #28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37	17.4	5	63%	2	3	0	0	3	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 32	15.2	2	25%	4	1	1	0	2	3	0	4	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
KZ Okpala #11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Nemanja Bjelica #70 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 33	DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41	DNP - Coach's Decision
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	61%	37	27	9	2	14	22	8	29	20-27	74%	31-55	56%	13-32	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.14 57.1%

MIA

1.22 61.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

27

37

73%

MIA

19

34

56%

Midrange

MIN

4

11

36%

MIA

12

21

57%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

10

15.0

37

27%

41%

MIA

13

19.5

32

41%

61%

Free Throws

MIN

20

30

67%

MIA

20

27

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Towns	27	68%	13.5 / 20
A. Edwards	25	63%	12.5 / 20
D. Russell	17	65%	8.5 / 13
R. Rubio	16	62%	8.0 / 13
J. Vanderbilt	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Hernangomez	8	31%	4.0 / 13
N. Reid	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Okogie	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. McLaughlin	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Nowell	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Herro	27	104%	13.5 / 13
J. Butler	25	63%	12.5 / 20
G. Dragic	23	64%	11.5 / 18
B. Adebayo	15	63%	7.5 / 12
K. Nunn	12	50%	6.0 / 12
T. Ariza	6	30%	3.0 / 10
D. Robinson	6	75%	3.0 / 4
A. Iguodala	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Dedmon	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 109.9 19 111.1	MIN 109.8 MIA 118.6 +8.8
Pace	5 101.3 29 96.7	MIN 103.9 +3.7 MIA 100.2
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.2 12 14.7	MIN 13.9 −0.5 MIA 14.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 52.0% 11 54.6%	MIN 54.1% MIA 58.0% +3.9%
TO %	17 13.4% 21 13.7%	MIN 14.0% MIA 12.4% −1.6%
ORB %	12 22.8% 29 19.4%	MIN 23.7% +3.7% MIA 20.0%
FTrt	9 25.4 11 25.2	MIN 35.3 +4.3 MIA 31.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 63.0% 2 67.1%	MIN 65.9% +4.5% MIA 61.4%
STL %	4 8.6% 7 8.2%	MIN 6.9% MIA 8.8% +1.9%
BLK %	6 9.9% 22 8.5%	MIN 7.3% +3.1% MIA 4.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 54.3% 13 56.5%	MIN 57.1% MIA 61.1% +4.0%
Rim FG%	23 59.4% 2 64.8%	MIN 73.0% +17.1% MIA 55.9%
Mid FG%	28 37.5% 16 41.8%	MIN 36.4% MIA 57.1% +20.7%
3P %	25 34.9% 19 35.8%	MIN 27.0% MIA 40.6% +13.6%
FT %	22 76.1% 12 79.0%	MIN 66.7% MIA 74.1% +7.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 38.3% 20 33.3%	MIN 43.5% +4.4% MIA 39.1%
Mid Att. %	2 20.4% 11 23.5%	MIN 12.9% −11.2% MIA 24.1%
3P Att. %	10 41.4% 7 43.2%	MIN 43.5% +6.7% MIA 36.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	MIA
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	112	121
Rebounds	41	37
Assists	27	27
Steals	7	9
Blocks	4	2
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls	24	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (3)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (3)	29 (8)
Field Goals	41-85	44-87
At-the-Rim FG	27-37	19-34
Midrange FG	4-11	12-21
2-Point FG	31-48	31-55
3-Point FG	10-37	13-32
Free Throws	20-30	20-27
Fast Break Pts	11	21
2nd Chance Pts	15	9
Points in Paint	58	42
Pts off Turnovers	13	20
Bench Points	19	57
Biggest Lead	11	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg