Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, May 7, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Rockets	16%	108	133	120.9	110	107.7
	2	Bucks	84%	122	141	128.2	110	112.4

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+10

-16

104

MIL

+14

-17

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.28 63.9%

MIL

1.31 65.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
KJ Martin #6 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	39.2	26	62%	7	7	0	0	2	6	1	6	0-0	-	4-11	36%	6-10	60%
Anthony Lamb #33 · PF · 6'6" 227 · 23	34.9	14	58%	4	2	0	2	2	4	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-10	40%
DaQuan Jeffries #55 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 24	32.4	12	100%	4	1	1	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-3	67%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 30	31.5	23	61%	12	7	2	1	4	1	2	10	8-11	73%	6-11	55%	1-4	25%
D.J. Augustin #14 · PG · 6'0" 183 · 33	28.9	17	57%	2	5	0	0	3	0	0	2	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	4-9	44%

Armoni Brooks #7 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 23	34.5	19	68%	3	6	3	1	3	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	5-9	56%
Khyri Thomas #20 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 25	22.7	16	100%	3	1	3	1	0	1	2	1	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	2-3	67%
Danuel House Jr. #4 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 28	16.0	6	38%	2	7	1	0	2	3	0	2	1-3	33%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Contusion
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
John Wall #1 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 31	NWT - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
D.J. Wilson #00 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 25	INACTIVE
Eric Gordon #10 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
Sterling Brown #0 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
David Nwaba #2 · SF · 6'4" 209 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Danté Exum #5 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Avery Bradley #9 · SG · 6'2" 180 · 30	Inactive - Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	64%	37	36	10	5	16	21	7	30	12-18	67%	23-43	53%	25-53	47%

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27 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
KJ Martin #6 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	39.2	26	62%	7	7	0	0	2	6	1	6	0-0	-	4-11	36%	6-10	60%
Anthony Lamb #33 · PF · 6'6" 227 · 23	34.9	14	58%	4	2	0	2	2	4	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-10	40%
DaQuan Jeffries #55 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 24	32.4	12	100%	4	1	1	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-3	67%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 30	31.5	23	61%	12	7	2	1	4	1	2	10	8-11	73%	6-11	55%	1-4	25%
D.J. Augustin #14 · PG · 6'0" 183 · 33	28.9	17	57%	2	5	0	0	3	0	0	2	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	4-9	44%

Armoni Brooks #7 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 23	34.5	19	68%	3	6	3	1	3	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	5-9	56%
Khyri Thomas #20 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 25	22.7	16	100%	3	1	3	1	0	1	2	1	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	2-3	67%
Danuel House Jr. #4 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 28	16.0	6	38%	2	7	1	0	2	3	0	2	1-3	33%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Contusion
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
John Wall #1 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 31	NWT - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
D.J. Wilson #00 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 25	INACTIVE
Eric Gordon #10 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
Sterling Brown #0 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
David Nwaba #2 · SF · 6'4" 209 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Danté Exum #5 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Avery Bradley #9 · SG · 6'2" 180 · 30	Inactive - Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	64%	37	36	10	5	16	21	7	30	12-18	67%	23-43	53%	25-53	47%

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2 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jrue Holiday #21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 31	33.9	20	56%	4	8	2	2	3	2	1	3	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	4-9	44%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 24	33.5	18	64%	7	4	2	0	3	3	2	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	4-10	40%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 30	32.2	23	64%	2	3	0	0	1	0	0	2	7-7	100%	2-7	29%	4-8	50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 26	28.6	17	77%	11	7	2	1	1	3	0	11	1-2	50%	8-8	100%	0-3	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 33	24.4	24	92%	7	1	0	2	1	3	3	4	9-10	90%	6-6	100%	1-2	50%

Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 28	27.7	7	44%	9	2	0	0	1	0	1	8	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-6	17%
P.J. Tucker #17 · SF · 6'6" 245 · 36	18.7	3	75%	2	3	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Bryn Forbes #7 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 28	17.8	11	110%	3	0	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-4	75%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 26	15.1	16	53%	8	1	0	0	2	0	5	3	1-2	50%	6-12	50%	1-2	50%
Jeff Teague #5 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 33	8.1	2	100%	0	1	1	0	3	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 29	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Mamadi Diakite #25 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Rodions Kurucs #00 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Sam Merrill #15 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Justin Jackson #44 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 26	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Axel Toupane #66 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Oblique Muscle; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	141	65%	53	30	8	5	17	14	13	40	20-23	87%	32-49	65%	19-46	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.28 63.9%

MIL

1.31 65.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

59%

MIL

83%

Midrange

HOU

44%

MIL

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

37.5

47%

71%

MIL

28.5

41%

62%

Free Throws

HOU

67%

MIL

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Martin	26	62%	13.0 / 21
K. Olynyk	23	61%	11.5 / 19
A. Brooks	19	68%	9.5 / 14
D. Augustin	17	57%	8.5 / 15
K. Thomas	16	100%	8.0 / 8
A. Lamb	14	58%	7.0 / 12
D. Jeffries	12	100%	6.0 / 6
D. House	6	38%	3.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Lopez	24	92%	12.0 / 13
K. Middleton	23	64%	11.5 / 18
J. Holiday	20	56%	10.0 / 18
D. DiVincenzo	18	64%	9.0 / 14
G. Antetokounmpo	17	77%	8.5 / 11
B. Portis	16	53%	8.0 / 15
B. Forbes	11	110%	5.5 / 5
P. Connaughton	7	44%	3.5 / 8
P. Tucker	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Teague	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 107.4 5 116.9	HOU 120.9 MIL 128.2 +7.3
Pace	7 101.1 2 102.5	HOU 107.7 MIL 112.4 +4.8
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 29 13.6	HOU 13.4 MIL 12.8 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 52.1% 2 56.6%	HOU 63.0% MIL 63.7% +0.7%
TO %	23 14.1% 15 13.0%	HOU 13.3% −0.6% MIL 13.9%
ORB %	28 19.9% 9 23.3%	HOU 14.9% MIL 30.2% +15.3%
FTrt	10 25.2 24 23.3	HOU 18.8 MIL 24.2 +5.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 60.1% 25 56.9%	HOU 75.0% +16.2% MIL 58.8%
STL %	16 7.5% 10 7.9%	HOU 9.1% +1.8% MIL 7.3%
BLK %	12 9.3% 20 8.6%	HOU 10.2% MIL 11.6% +1.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 54.4% 3 58.2%	HOU 63.9% MIL 65.3% +1.4%
Rim FG%	15 61.2% 1 65.0%	HOU 59.3% MIL 82.6% +23.3%
Mid FG%	30 34.6% 11 43.5%	HOU 43.8% MIL 50.0% +6.2%
3P %	28 33.9% 5 38.9%	HOU 47.2% +5.9% MIL 41.3%
FT %	27 74.0% 23 76.0%	HOU 66.7% MIL 87.0% +20.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 37.8% 23 32.9%	HOU 28.1% +3.9% MIL 24.2%
Mid Att. %	1 16.4% 18 26.7%	HOU 16.7% −10.7% MIL 27.4%
3P Att. %	2 45.9% 12 40.4%	HOU 55.2% +6.8% MIL 48.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.37 and 2.37.

Game Totals	HOU	MIL
Possessions	110	110
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	133	141
Rebounds	37	53
Assists	36	30
Steals	10	8
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	17 (0)
Fouls	21	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (3)	13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (1)	40 (2)
Field Goals	48-96	51-95
At-the-Rim FG	16-27	19-23
Midrange FG	7-16	13-26
2-Point FG	23-43	32-49
3-Point FG	25-53	19-46
Free Throws	12-18	20-23
Fast Break Pts	6	17
2nd Chance Pts	10	19
Points in Paint	40	54
Pts off Turnovers	26	15
Bench Points	41	39
Biggest Lead	5	18

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg