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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
May 7, 2021
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Spurs47%111113
23Kings53%112104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.7
36
23
25
6
3
1
1
1
2
0
6
11-13
85%
7-14
6-10
50%
53%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 24.6
35
28
22
5
7
1
1
0
6
1
4
0-0
-
11-17
5-10
65%
51%
0-5
0%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 25.6
35
18
11
10
4
1
1
4
1
3
7
1-1
100%
5-7
3-5
71%
64%
0-0
-
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.4
33
23
16
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
7-9
3-5
78%
49%
0-5
0%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 21.6
27
28
16
5
2
0
1
0
1
2
3
3-3
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
55%
1-3
33%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.7
24
17
14
5
1
1
1
2
2
0
5
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
50%
2-5
40%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.7
22
16
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 20.7
15
23
5
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
1-4
25%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.3
13
17
2
7
0
0
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
59%
0-0
-
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 31.3
14
1
1-2
54%
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.3
14
0
2-4
51%
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 21.3
13
0
2-3
57%
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 25.3
10
0
1-2
52%
Quinndary Weatherspoon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.7
2
0
0-0
50%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.5
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.0
39
27
12
5
4
2
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
58%
2-5
40%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 29.0
39
32
17
7
9
1
2
0
4
2
5
0-0
-
7-13
4-7
54%
51%
1-3
33%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 27.4
39
36
17
5
6
2
1
0
6
0
5
2-2
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
5-12
42%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.6
33
28
15
5
5
1
1
2
1
1
4
1-1
100%
7-12
6-10
58%
64%
0-0
-
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 22.1
19
29
4
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-6
33%
1-4
6-11
25%
56%
0-1
0%
Terence Davis
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.0
33
22
24
3
1
3
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
6-8
2-4
75%
54%
4-8
50%
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 25.9
15
17
6
7
0
1
0
1
2
1
6
2-4
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
66%
0-0
-
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 24.1
12
18
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
55%
0-1
0%
Kyle Guy
G · 6'1" 167 · 23.7
11
9
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Justin James
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 24.3
1
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 31.9
5
0
1-2
59%
Jahmi'us Ramsey
G · 6'4" 190 · 19.9
5
0
0-1
51%
Louis King
F · 6'7" 205 · 22.1
4
0
0-1
51%
Robert Woodard II
F · 6'7" 235 · 21.6
Tyrese Haliburton
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.2
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.4
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 28.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.