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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
May 8, 2021
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Grizzlies62%111109
25Raptors38%10799
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 21.7
37.5
33.8
12
57%
7
6
1
1
0
4
3
4
6-8
75%
3-6
6-11
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 25.3
36.7
30.3
14
57%
3
4
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-3
67%
3-7
5-10
43%
47%
2-4
50%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.0
36.2
27.0
18
60%
21
1
1
1
4
2
5
16
0-0
-
9-14
6-10
64%
60%
0-1
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.6
31.0
26.3
16
64%
5
5
0
1
0
2
0
5
6-8
75%
2-3
3-6
67%
55%
2-6
33%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 21.6
25.7
22.9
20
55%
4
2
3
1
1
2
1
3
3-3
100%
4-7
3-5
57%
54%
3-10
30%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.9
21.6
23.9
10
56%
3
3
0
1
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
52%
2-6
33%
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.9
19.1
17.9
15
75%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
5-10
50%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 24.6
17.0
17.6
2
21%
8
1
1
1
0
0
3
5
2-4
50%
0-1
3-5
0%
59%
0-2
0%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 25.0
10.5
12.0
2
33%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
50%
0-2
0%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.1
4.7
9.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-1
0%
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 22.3
18.9
1
2-4
59%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.1
6.6
0
1-2
46%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 30.5
3.4
0
0-1
45%
Killian Tillie
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.2
2.6
0
0-0
53%
Jontay Porter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 21.5
1.5
0
0-0
54%
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 25.6
Sean McDermott
F · 6'6" 195 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Trent Jr.
G-F · 6'5" 209 · 22.3
36.2
26.3
18
38%
6
1
1
1
0
1
3
3
6-8
75%
3-12
3-6
25%
47%
2-8
25%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.1
30.3
36.7
18
40%
3
4
0
1
0
2
2
1
2-4
50%
8-17
8-15
47%
53%
0-4
0%
Khem Birch
C · 6'9" 220 · 28.6
26.2
30.5
10
41%
6
4
1
1
1
2
2
4
2-3
67%
4-10
4-7
40%
55%
0-1
0%
Malachi Flynn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.0
25.8
18.2
15
68%
7
3
1
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
3-6
50%
Yuta Watanabe
G · 6'9" 205 · 26.6
24.6
14.2
11
69%
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
3-5
60%
Jalen Harris
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.6
29.4
8.4
16
58%
6
4
1
0
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
3-6
1-1
50%
49%
2-6
33%
Freddie Gillespie
F · 6'9" 245 · 23.9
21.8
15.0
6
61%
8
0
0
0
1
1
2
6
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
DeAndre' Bembry
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 26.8
19.5
18.3
2
33%
5
2
3
1
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
56%
0-0
-
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 28.5
13.6
8.2
3
61%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.9
12.6
23.1
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-2
0%
Paul Watson
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.4
19.8
1
1-2
50%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 34.4
4.3
0
0-1
54%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 27.2
OG Anunoby
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.8
Chris Boucher
F · 6'10" 200 · 28.3
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 35.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.