Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Spurs	25%	109	102	101.0	101	100.5
	5	Blazers	75%	119	124	124.0	100	100.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 32	30.9	20	53%	2	4	2	0	1	2	0	2	8-8	100%	6-15	40%	0-0	-
Lonnie Walker IV #1 · PG · 6'5" 196 · 22	28.0	18	64%	8	1	0	0	1	3	2	6	0-0	-	3-8	38%	4-6	67%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 26	27.6	6	50%	5	0	1	2	0	3	0	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 25	27.1	15	44%	4	5	0	0	2	4	1	3	1-2	50%	7-13	54%	0-3	0%
Keldon Johnson #3 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 22	23.0	6	60%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 21	21.1	9	90%	7	0	0	0	0	3	1	6	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Rudy Gay #22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	21.1	11	42%	4	2	1	2	0	2	1	3	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	2-8	25%
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 33	20.1	5	25%	2	1	1	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-6	17%
Drew Eubanks #14 · C · 6'10" 245 · 24	12.8	0	0%	1	1	0	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Gorgui Dieng #7 · C · 6'11" 251 · 31	6.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 21	6.2	2	33%	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	6.2	7	70%	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	5.1	3	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	3.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Derrick White #4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	48%	40	17	6	5	7	24	7	33	20-23	87%	29-63	46%	8-30	27%

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21 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 32	30.9	20	53%	2	4	2	0	1	2	0	2	8-8	100%	6-15	40%	0-0	-
Lonnie Walker IV #1 · PG · 6'5" 196 · 22	28.0	18	64%	8	1	0	0	1	3	2	6	0-0	-	3-8	38%	4-6	67%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 26	27.6	6	50%	5	0	1	2	0	3	0	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 25	27.1	15	44%	4	5	0	0	2	4	1	3	1-2	50%	7-13	54%	0-3	0%
Keldon Johnson #3 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 22	23.0	6	60%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 21	21.1	9	90%	7	0	0	0	0	3	1	6	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Rudy Gay #22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	21.1	11	42%	4	2	1	2	0	2	1	3	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	2-8	25%
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 33	20.1	5	25%	2	1	1	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-6	17%
Drew Eubanks #14 · C · 6'10" 245 · 24	12.8	0	0%	1	1	0	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Gorgui Dieng #7 · C · 6'11" 251 · 31	6.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 21	6.2	2	33%	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	6.2	7	70%	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	5.1	3	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	3.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Derrick White #4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	48%	40	17	6	5	7	24	7	33	20-23	87%	29-63	46%	8-30	27%

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5 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 30	32.6	27	61%	5	2	1	1	1	1	1	4	3-4	75%	6-12	50%	4-9	44%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 31	31.3	30	68%	4	8	0	0	0	1	1	3	10-10	100%	4-8	50%	4-9	44%
Norman Powell #24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 28	31.0	18	60%	6	1	0	0	1	3	1	5	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	2-5	40%
Robert Covington #23 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 30	28.6	3	30%	11	1	1	1	0	1	2	9	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 27	20.7	17	50%	9	5	0	0	1	1	6	3	1-4	25%	8-15	53%	0-0	-

Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 22	27.3	9	50%	6	0	0	1	3	3	1	5	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Enes Kanter #11 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	21.6	4	33%	9	2	1	1	0	1	3	6	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson #2 · SF · 6'7" 214 · 26	14.3	2	50%	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Nassir Little #9 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	13.6	6	75%	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
TJ Leaf #18 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 24	5.1	2	50%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
CJ Elleby #16 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 21	5.1	4	67%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Harry Giles III #4 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	5.1	0	0%	5	2	0	1	1	1	0	5	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Keljin Blevins #21 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	3.8	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Carmelo Anthony #00 · SF · 6'8" 240 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Zach Collins #33 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	55%	63	24	3	5	8	15	18	45	22-30	73%	33-63	52%	12-34	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	POR
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	POR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

0.95 47.7%

POR

1.11 55.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

15

25

60%

POR

21

41

51%

Midrange

SAS

14

38

37%

POR

12

22

55%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

8

12.0

30

27%

40%

POR

12

18.0

34

35%

53%

Free Throws

SAS

20

23

87%

POR

22

30

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	20	53%	10.0 / 19
L. Walker IV	18	64%	9.0 / 14
D. Murray	15	44%	7.5 / 17
R. Gay	11	42%	5.5 / 13
D. Vassell	9	90%	4.5 / 5
L. Samanic	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Poeltl	6	50%	3.0 / 6
K. Johnson	6	60%	3.0 / 5
P. Mills	5	25%	2.5 / 10
Q. Weatherspoon	3	50%	1.5 / 3
T. Jones	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Eubanks	0	-	0.0 / 1
G. Dieng	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	30	68%	15.0 / 22
C. McCollum	27	61%	13.5 / 22
N. Powell	18	60%	9.0 / 15
J. Nurkić	17	50%	8.5 / 17
A. Simons	9	50%	4.5 / 9
N. Little	6	75%	3.0 / 4
E. Kanter	4	33%	2.0 / 6
C. Elleby	4	67%	2.0 / 3
R. Covington	3	30%	1.5 / 5
R. Hollis-Jefferson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Leaf	2	50%	1.0 / 2
K. Blevins	2	100%	1.0 / 1
H. Giles	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 111.1 2 117.6	SAS 101.0 POR 124.0 +23.0
Pace	16 98.9 19 98.6	SAS 100.5 POR 100.5 +0.1
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.7 6 14.9	SAS 14.3 POR 14.3 −0.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 51.7% 15 54.0%	SAS 44.1% POR 52.6% +8.5%
TO %	2 11.0% 1 10.9%	SAS 6.4% −0.4% POR 6.8%
ORB %	27 20.1% 11 23.1%	SAS 13.5% POR 35.3% +21.8%
FTrt	14 24.3 22 23.8	SAS 24.7 POR 30.9 +6.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 58.4% 30 51.5%	SAS 45.9% POR 53.3% +7.4%
STL %	22 7.0% 24 7.0%	SAS 5.9% +2.9% POR 3.0%
BLK %	15 8.9% 10 9.4%	SAS 7.9% POR 7.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 54.4% 9 56.6%	SAS 47.7% POR 55.4% +7.7%
Rim FG%	19 60.1% 26 58.1%	SAS 60.0% +8.8% POR 51.2%
Mid FG%	14 43.2% 18 41.0%	SAS 36.8% POR 54.5% +17.7%
3P %	24 35.0% 6 38.5%	SAS 26.7% POR 35.3% +8.6%
FT %	10 79.2% 3 82.3%	SAS 87.0% +13.7% POR 73.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 33.1% 25 31.8%	SAS 26.9% POR 42.3% +15.4%
Mid Att. %	30 35.5% 10 23.4%	SAS 40.9% POR 22.7% −18.2%
3P Att. %	30 31.4% 3 44.8%	SAS 32.3% POR 35.1% +2.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	POR
Possessions	101	100
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	102	124
Rebounds	40	63
Assists	17	24
Steals	6	3
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	7 (0)	8 (0)
Fouls	24	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (6)	18 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (3)	45 (0)
Field Goals	37-93	45-97
At-the-Rim FG	15-25	21-41
Midrange FG	14-38	12-22
2-Point FG	29-63	33-63
3-Point FG	8-30	12-34
Free Throws	20-23	22-30
Fast Break Pts	11	8
2nd Chance Pts	11	26
Points in Paint	38	52
Pts off Turnovers	7	9
Bench Points	37	29
Biggest Lead	9	26

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg