Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Mavericks51%112104
16Grizzlies49%111133
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 29.2
28
28
19
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
51%
3-6
50%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.0
27
28
2
1
3
1
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
58%
0-4
0%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 22.2
26
27
12
5
5
0
1
0
5
1
4
4-4
100%
4-12
5-9
33%
57%
0-4
0%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.7
22
26
9
1
2
4
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
1-3
33%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.7
15
18
16
8
1
0
1
0
1
3
5
2-3
67%
7-8
2-3
88%
59%
0-0
-
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 24.7
25
22
15
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
56%
3-6
50%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 28.5
21
15
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
0-0
2-4
-
49%
1-5
20%
Nicolo Melli
F · 6'9" 236 · 30.3
16
12
7
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
1-4
1-1
25%
50%
1-3
33%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 29.3
14
9
3
4
1
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
56%
1-3
33%
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.5
12
17
2
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
52%
0-0
-
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.8
11
25
2
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
67%
0-0
-
Nate Hinton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 21.9
8
6
8
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
2-4
50%
Tyler Bey
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.2
8
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 32.7
5
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
57%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 36.9
2
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 25.8
Tyrell Terry
G · 6'3" 160 · 20.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 25.3
33
31
22
2
2
3
1
2
2
0
2
2-2
100%
7-12
5-10
58%
47%
2-9
22%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 21.8
29
34
24
7
8
1
1
0
4
1
6
7-8
88%
4-7
5-10
57%
51%
3-6
50%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.6
25
28
15
4
2
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
6-8
3-6
75%
55%
1-2
50%
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 22.3
23
13
9
6
2
1
0
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
59%
1-1
100%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.9
23
22
11
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
52%
3-5
60%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.1
26
11
18
6
3
0
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
5-6
1-2
83%
56%
2-4
50%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 24.6
19
18
14
9
2
2
1
1
0
5
4
4-4
100%
5-9
3-5
56%
60%
0-0
-
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.0
18
18
3
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Killian Tillie
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.2
15
2
3
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
52%
1-1
100%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 25.0
14
12
10
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
51%
2-2
100%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.1
5
5
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 30.5
5
3
0
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Jontay Porter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 21.5
5
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
54%
0-0
-
Sean McDermott
F · 6'6" 195 · 24.5
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 21.7
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 25.6
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.