Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, May 12, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Rockets	36%	105	122	119.6	102	110.1
	19	Lakers	64%	111	124	122.8	101	95.3

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+12

-15

LAL

+10

-11

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.23 61.6%

LAL

1.24 62.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

26 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Khyri Thomas #20 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 25	37.3	4	17%	3	11	1	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-4	0%
KJ Martin #6 · PF · 6'6" 215 · 20	37.2	20	77%	10	2	0	3	2	2	0	10	3-6	50%	4-5	80%	3-5	60%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 30	25.3	24	80%	6	8	2	0	5	5	1	5	8-10	80%	2-5	40%	4-6	67%
D.J. Augustin #14 · PG · 6'0" 183 · 34	23.6	8	50%	0	4	1	0	1	1	0	0	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 26	23.0	16	73%	5	2	0	0	2	4	1	4	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	3-3	100%

Armoni Brooks #7 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 23	36.9	24	67%	6	1	1	0	1	2	3	3	2-3	67%	5-7	71%	4-11	36%
Anthony Lamb #33 · SF · 6'6" 227 · 23	34.0	9	64%	9	4	1	0	2	5	2	7	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Cameron Oliver #25 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	22.7	17	71%	2	1	1	1	1	2	0	2	1-3	33%	5-5	100%	2-5	40%
DaQuan Jeffries #55 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 24	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 21	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 26	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
Danuel House Jr. #4 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 28	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
D.J. Wilson #00 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 25	INACTIVE
Danté Exum #5 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
John Wall #1 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
David Nwaba #2 · SF · 6'4" 209 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Eric Gordon #10 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
Sterling Brown #0 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Head/face; Lacerations
Avery Bradley #9 · SG · 6'2" 180 · 30	Inactive - Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	62%	41	33	7	4	15	23	8	33	18-27	67%	25-43	58%	18-42	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

26 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Khyri Thomas #20 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 25	37.3	4	17%	3	11	1	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-4	0%
KJ Martin #6 · PF · 6'6" 215 · 20	37.2	20	77%	10	2	0	3	2	2	0	10	3-6	50%	4-5	80%	3-5	60%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 30	25.3	24	80%	6	8	2	0	5	5	1	5	8-10	80%	2-5	40%	4-6	67%
D.J. Augustin #14 · PG · 6'0" 183 · 34	23.6	8	50%	0	4	1	0	1	1	0	0	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 26	23.0	16	73%	5	2	0	0	2	4	1	4	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	3-3	100%

Armoni Brooks #7 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 23	36.9	24	67%	6	1	1	0	1	2	3	3	2-3	67%	5-7	71%	4-11	36%
Anthony Lamb #33 · SF · 6'6" 227 · 23	34.0	9	64%	9	4	1	0	2	5	2	7	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Cameron Oliver #25 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	22.7	17	71%	2	1	1	1	1	2	0	2	1-3	33%	5-5	100%	2-5	40%
DaQuan Jeffries #55 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 24	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 21	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 26	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
Danuel House Jr. #4 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 28	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
D.J. Wilson #00 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 25	INACTIVE
Danté Exum #5 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
John Wall #1 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
David Nwaba #2 · SF · 6'4" 209 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Eric Gordon #10 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
Sterling Brown #0 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Head/face; Lacerations
Avery Bradley #9 · SG · 6'2" 180 · 30	Inactive - Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	62%	41	33	7	4	15	23	8	33	18-27	67%	25-43	58%	18-42	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

19 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · PG · 6'4" 235 · 20	36.7	23	57%	2	10	2	0	3	1	0	2	5-8	63%	9-13	69%	0-3	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #1 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 28	30.6	10	100%	4	1	1	1	1	2	1	3	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Wesley Matthews #9 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 35	23.6	5	63%	3	1	1	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 32	23.0	14	54%	4	4	0	0	0	4	1	3	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	2-4	50%
Andre Drummond #2 · C · 6'11" 279 · 28	21.8	20	71%	10	2	0	1	2	4	3	7	2-5	40%	9-13	69%	0-0	-

Kyle Kuzma #0 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 26	32.0	19	68%	10	7	1	1	3	4	0	10	2-5	40%	7-9	78%	1-3	33%
Montrezl Harrell #15 · C · 6'8" 240 · 27	26.1	16	57%	2	1	1	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	8-14	57%	0-0	-
Ben McLemore #7 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	25.6	7	58%	1	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Alfonzo McKinnie #28 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	16.8	10	63%	5	0	2	0	0	2	2	3	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Devontae Cacok #12 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 25	3.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Marc Gasol #14 · C · 7'1" 255 · 36	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kostas Antetokounmpo #37 · PF · 6'11" 195 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 28	INACTIVE
Jared Dudley #10 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right MCL; Tear
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Tightness
Alex Caruso #4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Soreness
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	62%	41	28	8	3	11	20	8	33	13-22	59%	45-71	63%	7-20	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.23 61.6%

LAL

1.24 62.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

66%

LAL

71%

Midrange

HOU

25%

LAL

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

27.0

43%

64%

LAL

10.5

35%

53%

Free Throws

HOU

67%

LAL

59%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Olynyk	24	80%	12.0 / 15
A. Brooks	24	67%	12.0 / 18
K. Martin	20	77%	10.0 / 13
C. Oliver	17	71%	8.5 / 12
J. Tate	16	73%	8.0 / 11
A. Lamb	9	64%	4.5 / 7
D. Augustin	8	50%	4.0 / 8
K. Thomas	4	17%	2.0 / 12

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Horton-Tucker	23	57%	11.5 / 20
A. Drummond	20	71%	10.0 / 14
K. Kuzma	19	68%	9.5 / 14
M. Harrell	16	57%	8.0 / 14
M. Morris	14	54%	7.0 / 13
K. Caldwell-Pope	10	100%	5.0 / 5
A. McKinnie	10	63%	5.0 / 8
B. McLemore	7	58%	3.5 / 6
W. Matthews	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Cacok	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 107.4 24 110.4	HOU 119.6 LAL 122.8 +3.2
Pace	7 101.1 22 98.2	HOU 110.1 +14.9 LAL 95.3
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 7 14.9	HOU 13.1 −2.0 LAL 15.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 52.1% 18 53.7%	HOU 61.2% +0.2% LAL 61.0%
TO %	23 14.1% 29 14.9%	HOU 13.4% LAL 9.8% −3.6%
ORB %	28 19.9% 14 22.5%	HOU 19.5% LAL 19.5%
FTrt	10 25.2 6 27.1	HOU 31.8 +7.6 LAL 24.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 60.1% 15 60.7%	HOU 76.7% +22.9% LAL 53.8%
STL %	16 7.5% 12 7.8%	HOU 6.9% LAL 7.9% +1.0%
BLK %	12 9.3% 8 9.9%	HOU 5.6% LAL 7.0% +1.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 54.4% 18 55.8%	HOU 61.6% LAL 62.0% +0.4%
Rim FG%	15 61.2% 8 63.6%	HOU 65.7% LAL 71.2% +5.5%
Mid FG%	30 34.6% 23 40.0%	HOU 25.0% LAL 42.1% +17.1%
3P %	28 33.9% 21 35.4%	HOU 42.9% +7.9% LAL 35.0%
FT %	27 74.0% 28 73.9%	HOU 66.7% +7.6% LAL 59.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 37.8% 8 37.6%	HOU 41.2% LAL 57.1% +16.0%
Mid Att. %	1 16.4% 16 26.1%	HOU 9.4% −11.5% LAL 20.9%
3P Att. %	2 45.9% 22 36.3%	HOU 49.4% +27.4% LAL 22.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.37 and 2.37.

Game Totals	HOU	LAL
Possessions	102	101
Possession Minutes	22.2	25.4
Points	122	124
Rebounds	41	41
Assists	33	28
Steals	7	8
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls	23	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (4)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (1)	33 (4)
Field Goals	43-85	52-91
At-the-Rim FG	23-35	37-52
Midrange FG	2-8	8-19
2-Point FG	25-43	45-71
3-Point FG	18-42	7-20
Free Throws	18-27	13-22
Fast Break Pts	13	15
2nd Chance Pts	9	5
Points in Paint	50	86
Pts off Turnovers	12	19
Bench Points	50	52
Biggest Lead	7	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg