Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Wizards	52%	117	114	108.6	105	96.6
	24	Pacers	48%	116	107	102.9	104	117.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 29	37.5	23	64%	5	6	0	1	3	2	2	3	3-3	100%	7-10	70%	2-7	29%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 27	34.5	22	52%	13	2	0	2	2	4	1	12	3-5	60%	5-9	56%	3-10	30%
Kristaps Porziņģis #6 · C · 7'2" 240 · 27	31.8	15	44%	10	3	0	2	2	2	2	8	4-6	67%	4-9	44%	1-5	20%
Monté Morris #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 27	21.4	7	50%	6	6	2	0	1	1	2	4	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	1-1	100%
Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 22	7.7	4	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 30	26.6	8	50%	3	1	2	2	1	4	1	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 32	25.1	14	58%	2	3	0	0	2	1	1	1	4-4	100%	2-7	29%	2-3	67%
Rui Hachimura #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	24.0	7	50%	5	0	0	1	3	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-1	100%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 24	16.0	12	75%	7	0	1	1	2	0	4	3	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 30	15.4	2	33%	2	0	0	1	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Todd #14 · PF · 6'9" 219 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Schakel #20 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Goodwin #7 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vernon Carey Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 270 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Head; Concussion Protocol
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Left ankle sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	53%	53	21	5	10	16	19	14	39	19-24	79%	31-61	51%	11-31	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

19 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 29	37.5	23	64%	5	6	0	1	3	2	2	3	3-3	100%	7-10	70%	2-7	29%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 27	34.5	22	52%	13	2	0	2	2	4	1	12	3-5	60%	5-9	56%	3-10	30%
Kristaps Porziņģis #6 · C · 7'2" 240 · 27	31.8	15	44%	10	3	0	2	2	2	2	8	4-6	67%	4-9	44%	1-5	20%
Monté Morris #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 27	21.4	7	50%	6	6	2	0	1	1	2	4	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	1-1	100%
Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 22	7.7	4	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 30	26.6	8	50%	3	1	2	2	1	4	1	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 32	25.1	14	58%	2	3	0	0	2	1	1	1	4-4	100%	2-7	29%	2-3	67%
Rui Hachimura #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	24.0	7	50%	5	0	0	1	3	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-1	100%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 24	16.0	12	75%	7	0	1	1	2	0	4	3	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 30	15.4	2	33%	2	0	0	1	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Todd #14 · PF · 6'9" 219 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Schakel #20 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Goodwin #7 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vernon Carey Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 270 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Head; Concussion Protocol
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Left ankle sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	53%	53	21	5	10	16	19	14	39	19-24	79%	31-61	51%	11-31	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

24 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 23	35.7	26	68%	4	7	0	0	3	1	2	2	3-3	100%	7-12	58%	3-6	50%
Buddy Hield #24 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 30	31.6	16	50%	10	3	0	0	1	2	4	6	0-0	-	2-5	40%	4-11	36%
Terry Taylor #21 · PF · 6'5" 230 · 23	24.0	8	50%	2	1	2	1	1	1	1	1	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Jalen Smith #25 · C · 6'8" 244 · 23	22.1	16	50%	8	1	0	1	0	2	1	7	3-5	60%	5-8	63%	1-6	17%
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	19.4	5	63%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	27.8	19	56%	7	2	2	0	3	3	2	5	2-5	40%	4-8	50%	3-7	43%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 23	22.5	3	19%	4	1	0	0	0	4	0	4	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-5	20%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31	16.6	8	44%	1	4	1	1	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 21	15.8	3	38%	3	0	0	1	1	0	1	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 24	14.3	3	38%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 23	10.1	0	0%	2	2	1	1	2	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trevelin Queen #8 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daniel Theis #27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	50%	42	21	7	5	15	20	12	30	14-21	67%	24-55	44%	15-42	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	IND
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.07 53.3%

IND

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

25

40

63%

IND

13

31

42%

Midrange

WAS

6

21

29%

IND

11

24

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

11

16.5

31

35%

53%

IND

15

22.5

42

36%

54%

Free Throws

WAS

19

24

79%

IND

14

21

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Beal	23	64%	11.5 / 18
K. Kuzma	22	52%	11.0 / 21
K. Porziņģis	15	44%	7.5 / 17
W. Barton	14	58%	7.0 / 12
D. Gafford	12	75%	6.0 / 8
D. Wright	8	50%	4.0 / 8
M. Morris	7	50%	3.5 / 7
R. Hachimura	7	50%	3.5 / 7
D. Avdija	4	100%	2.0 / 2
A. Gill	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Haliburton	26	68%	13.0 / 19
B. Mathurin	19	56%	9.5 / 17
B. Hield	16	50%	8.0 / 16
J. Smith	16	50%	8.0 / 16
T. Taylor	8	50%	4.0 / 8
T. McConnell	8	44%	4.0 / 9
C. Duarte	5	63%	2.5 / 4
A. Nesmith	3	19%	1.5 / 8
I. Jackson	3	38%	1.5 / 4
O. Brissett	3	38%	1.5 / 4
G. Bitadze	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 114.3 20 114.3	WAS 108.6 +5.7 IND 102.9
Pace	20 98.6 5 101.3	WAS 96.6 IND 117.1 +20.5
Avg. Poss. Time	6 14.9 28 13.9	WAS 14.9 IND 12.3 −2.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 16 54.5%	WAS 51.6% +3.7% IND 47.9%
TO %	17 13.5% 21 13.9%	WAS 14.2% IND 12.4% −1.8%
ORB %	23 22.7% 18 23.4%	WAS 31.8% +8.3% IND 23.5%
FTrt	21 25.8 15 26.5	WAS 26.1 +4.5 IND 21.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 60.3% 4 64.3%	WAS 50.0% IND 53.8% +3.8%
STL %	21 6.9% 11 7.6%	WAS 4.8% IND 6.7% +1.9%
BLK %	13 9.1% 3 10.4%	WAS 18.2% +10.0% IND 8.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 57.1% 18 56.7%	WAS 53.3% +3.3% IND 50.0%
Rim FG%	1 67.3% 28 60.5%	WAS 62.5% +20.6% IND 41.9%
Mid FG%	19 42.7% 17 42.8%	WAS 28.6% IND 45.8% +17.2%
3P %	18 35.6% 11 36.7%	WAS 35.5% IND 35.7% +0.2%
FT %	15 78.5% 13 79.0%	WAS 79.2% +12.5% IND 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 34.1% 11 37.2%	WAS 43.5% +11.5% IND 32.0%
Mid Att. %	25 29.4% 5 21.6%	WAS 22.8% −1.9% IND 24.7%
3P Att. %	19 36.5% 8 41.2%	WAS 33.7% IND 43.3% +9.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	IND
Possessions	105	104
Possession Minutes	26.1	21.3
Points	114	107
Rebounds	53	42
Assists	21	21
Steals	5	7
Blocks	10	5
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	15 (0)
Fouls	19	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (4)	12 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (5)	30 (3)
Field Goals	42-92	39-97
At-the-Rim FG	25-40	13-31
Midrange FG	6-21	11-24
2-Point FG	31-61	24-55
3-Point FG	11-31	15-42
Free Throws	19-24	14-21
Fast Break Pts	16	21
2nd Chance Pts	14	17
Points in Paint	58	34
Pts off Turnovers	10	16
Bench Points	43	36
Biggest Lead	18	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg