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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 19, 2022
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bulls29%106116
7Heat71%114108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ayo Dosunmu
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.8
36.4
23.9
17
61%
6
4
2
1
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
55%
3-6
50%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.2
36.1
30.7
37
69%
6
9
2
1
1
1
1
5
7-11
64%
12-19
7-14
63%
49%
2-3
67%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 32.0
33.1
29.2
15
51%
17
2
0
1
3
1
5
12
4-4
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
51%
1-5
20%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 28.6
29.6
19.7
6
28%
5
4
2
1
0
4
2
3
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
1-6
17%
Patrick Williams
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.1
28.1
22.7
4
33%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Coby White
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.7
24.6
23.7
10
45%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
2-7
29%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 36.5
18.9
10.3
12
68%
0
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-3
1-2
0%
47%
4-5
80%
Javonte Green
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.2
18.3
16.3
6
80%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
56%
0-1
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 29.2
14.9
19.8
9
49%
5
1
1
1
1
3
3
2
5-5
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
52%
0-1
0%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 25.7
14.7
0
1-2
60%
Dalen Terry
F · 6'7" 195 · 20.3
13.6
0
1-3
46%
Tony Bradley
C · 6'10" 248 · 24.8
10.4
0
1-2
59%
Malcolm Hill
F · 6'6" 220 · 27.0
6.1
0
0-0
49%
Marko Simonovic
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.0
1.8
0
0-0
50%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.6
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.0
Kostas Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 195 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 33.1
36.6
31.2
24
67%
8
3
1
2
1
2
3
5
14-16
88%
5-11
6-13
45%
52%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 36.6
34.6
24.1
2
14%
5
4
1
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-5
0%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 22.7
34.5
26.3
23
69%
6
1
2
1
0
1
0
6
3-4
75%
4-7
4-8
57%
49%
4-8
50%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 25.3
34.0
32.1
12
37%
9
2
0
1
1
5
1
8
2-3
67%
5-15
6-10
33%
57%
0-0
-
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.1
28.6
16.7
7
39%
4
3
2
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
53%
1-3
33%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
30.8
23.9
22
98%
7
1
0
1
0
2
1
6
3-5
60%
2-2
1-2
100%
57%
5-7
71%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.3
16.1
21.5
2
25%
0
3
0
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 33.2
13.5
10.8
11
92%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
59%
1-1
100%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.5
10.9
20.7
5
63%
4
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
60%
1-3
33%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.9
0.5
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.8
11.4
0
1-2
49%
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 19.4
10.7
0
1-2
53%
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.3
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 42.4
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.5
Jamal Cain
F · 6'7" 191 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.