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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
October 21, 2022
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Grizzlies
129
30Rockets
122
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.3
33
32
14
6
7
2
1
0
3
2
4
5-5
100%
0-6
3-6
0%
50%
3-10
30%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.3
33
27
6
9
2
0
1
2
0
2
7
0-2
0%
3-4
3-4
75%
58%
0-0
-
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.2
31
34
49
4
8
1
1
2
3
3
1
10-13
77%
12-20
8-15
60%
52%
5-6
83%
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 21.8
31
21
8
9
3
1
1
3
1
4
5
2-4
50%
3-8
3-5
38%
55%
0-3
0%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.6
30
23
17
5
0
3
1
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
59%
3-6
50%
David Roddy
F · 6'6" 255 · 21.6
23
13
8
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
50%
2-5
40%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 26.4
22
23
11
4
4
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-6
3-5
17%
48%
3-7
43%
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 21.0
15
13
12
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
1-1
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
3-4
75%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 26.1
15
19
4
4
2
0
1
1
2
1
3
2-4
50%
1-2
4-6
50%
63%
0-0
-
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 23.8
7
16
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
57%
0-1
0%
Kennedy Chandler
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.1
7
0
1-1
47%
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.1
3
0
0-1
50%
Kenneth Lofton Jr.
F · 6'7" 275 · 20.2
3
0
0-0
51%
Ziaire Williams
F · 6'8" 185 · 21.1
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 26.7
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 23.1
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 35.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 33.8
36
25
17
4
4
0
0
0
4
1
3
5-7
71%
3-7
2-3
43%
52%
2-5
40%
Kevin Porter Jr.
G · 6'6" 216 · 22.5
35
31
18
5
4
0
1
0
3
2
3
2-4
50%
2-8
4-8
25%
48%
4-8
50%
Jalen Green
G · 6'6" 186 · 20.7
35
30
33
5
2
1
1
0
2
0
5
3-4
75%
9-16
4-8
56%
50%
4-5
80%
Jabari Smith Jr.
F · 6'10" 220 · 19.4
35
29
10
1
1
0
1
2
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
50%
2-8
25%
Bruno Fernando
F · 6'10" 233 · 24.2
12
14
4
4
2
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
57%
0-0
-
Alperen Sengun
C · 6'10" 243 · 20.2
27
23
23
12
1
1
1
2
1
5
7
4-10
40%
8-11
3-6
73%
53%
1-2
50%
Kenyon Martin Jr.
F · 6'6" 215 · 21.8
25
23
8
5
3
1
1
1
3
1
4
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
58%
1-2
50%
Tari Eason
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.4
20
15
6
7
1
0
0
1
0
1
6
1-1
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
1-2
50%
Garrison Mathews
G · 6'5" 204 · 26.0
13
17
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
1-2
50%
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 20.9
3
14
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-1
0%
Daishen Nix
G · 6'3" 226 · 20.7
10
0
1-2
46%
Trevor Hudgins
G · 6'0" 180 · 23.6
7
0
1-1
43%
Usman Garuba
F · 6'8" 229 · 20.6
6
0
0-1
49%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 34.2
0
0
0-0
58%
Jae'Sean Tate
F · 6'4" 230 · 27.0
Darius Days
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.0
TyTy Washington Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.