Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Spurs	15%	108	114	121.3	94	90.6
	5	76ers	85%	123	105	111.7	94	97.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 22	34.2	22	79%	4	3	1	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	5-6	83%	4-8	50%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	31.8	21	55%	8	0	1	0	3	1	2	6	4-5	80%	4-9	44%	3-8	38%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	30.4	17	61%	1	4	1	0	4	1	0	1	5-5	100%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 27	27.0	13	65%	12	3	0	1	1	5	7	5	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 19	10.3	1	13%	3	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%

Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	24.4	14	78%	3	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	4-5	80%
Joshua Primo #11 · SG · 6'4" 189 · 20	22.1	5	31%	3	4	0	1	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Josh Richardson #7 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 29	21.0	11	61%	1	3	1	0	1	2	0	1	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	2-6	33%
Isaiah Roby #18 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	13.8	2	50%	4	2	1	1	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Gorgui Dieng #41 · C · 6'11" 251 · 33	12.7	2	25%	1	5	0	2	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	8.3	3	150%	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 27	4.0	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Romeo Langford #35 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malaki Branham #22 · SF · 6'4" 180 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Hall #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	INACTIVE
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	59%	43	27	5	7	14	20	12	31	12-15	80%	27-51	53%	16-38	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

25 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 22	34.2	22	79%	4	3	1	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	5-6	83%	4-8	50%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	31.8	21	55%	8	0	1	0	3	1	2	6	4-5	80%	4-9	44%	3-8	38%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	30.4	17	61%	1	4	1	0	4	1	0	1	5-5	100%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 27	27.0	13	65%	12	3	0	1	1	5	7	5	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 19	10.3	1	13%	3	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%

Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	24.4	14	78%	3	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	4-5	80%
Joshua Primo #11 · SG · 6'4" 189 · 20	22.1	5	31%	3	4	0	1	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Josh Richardson #7 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 29	21.0	11	61%	1	3	1	0	1	2	0	1	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	2-6	33%
Isaiah Roby #18 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	13.8	2	50%	4	2	1	1	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Gorgui Dieng #41 · C · 6'11" 251 · 33	12.7	2	25%	1	5	0	2	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	8.3	3	150%	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 27	4.0	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Romeo Langford #35 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malaki Branham #22 · SF · 6'4" 180 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Hall #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	INACTIVE
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	59%	43	27	5	7	14	20	12	31	12-15	80%	27-51	53%	16-38	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

5 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 33	40.3	12	30%	9	12	1	2	2	3	4	5	3-4	75%	3-12	25%	1-6	17%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 22	39.6	25	57%	3	6	1	0	3	3	1	2	6-9	67%	5-10	50%	3-8	38%
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 29	36.0	40	61%	13	3	1	2	2	2	3	10	12-15	80%	14-23	61%	0-2	0%
Tobias Harris #12 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 30	35.7	15	68%	4	2	0	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-6	50%
P.J. Tucker #17 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 37	28.6	3	75%	4	1	1	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%

Danuel House Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 29	16.8	2	50%	2	1	0	1	2	1	2	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24	15.6	0	0%	3	1	2	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 29	15.0	8	100%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Montrezl Harrell #5 · C · 6'8" 240 · 29	9.2	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Matisse Thybulle #22 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 26	3.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Paul Reed #44 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Furkan Korkmaz #30 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaden Springer #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Champagnie #55 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Michael Foster Jr. #35 · PF · 6'8" 250 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	53%	40	26	6	5	12	15	12	28	21-28	75%	27-53	51%	10-31	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	PHI
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	PHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.18 58.8%

PHI

1.05 52.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

16

26

62%

PHI

19

34

56%

Midrange

SAS

11

25

44%

PHI

8

19

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

16

24.0

38

42%

63%

PHI

10

15.0

31

32%

48%

Free Throws

SAS

12

15

80%

PHI

21

28

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Vassell	22	79%	11.0 / 14
K. Johnson	21	55%	10.5 / 19
T. Jones	17	61%	8.5 / 14
D. McDermott	14	78%	7.0 / 9
J. Poeltl	13	65%	6.5 / 10
J. Richardson	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Primo	5	31%	2.5 / 8
Z. Collins	3	150%	1.5 / 1
K. Bates-Diop	3	150%	1.5 / 1
I. Roby	2	50%	1.0 / 2
G. Dieng	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Sochan	1	13%	0.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Embiid	40	61%	20.0 / 33
T. Maxey	25	57%	12.5 / 22
T. Harris	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Harden	12	30%	6.0 / 20
G. Niang	8	100%	4.0 / 4
P. Tucker	3	75%	1.5 / 2
D. House	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Melton	0	-	0.0 / 3
M. Thybulle	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 110.2 3 117.6	SAS 121.3 +9.6 PHI 111.7
Pace	2 101.7 27 97.0	SAS 90.6 PHI 97.6 +7.0
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.0 4 15.1	SAS 15.9 PHI 14.8 −1.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 52.5% 6 56.2%	SAS 57.3% +7.3% PHI 50.0%
TO %	24 14.4% 13 13.1%	SAS 12.8% PHI 11.1% −1.7%
ORB %	7 25.6% 26 21.6%	SAS 30.0% +2.1% PHI 27.9%
FTrt	29 22.9 1 30.0	SAS 16.9 PHI 33.3 +16.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 63.2% 8 61.6%	SAS 62.8% PHI 70.3% +7.5%
STL %	23 6.8% 6 7.9%	SAS 5.3% PHI 6.4% +1.1%
BLK %	28 6.7% 12 9.1%	SAS 13.2% +3.4% PHI 9.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 54.3% 2 59.2%	SAS 58.8% +6.3% PHI 52.5%
Rim FG%	25 61.3% 24 62.2%	SAS 61.5% +5.6% PHI 55.9%
Mid FG%	23 42.3% 5 45.9%	SAS 44.0% +1.9% PHI 42.1%
3P %	26 34.5% 1 38.7%	SAS 42.1% +9.8% PHI 32.3%
FT %	28 74.3% 1 83.5%	SAS 80.0% +5.0% PHI 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 36.7% 17 34.5%	SAS 29.2% PHI 40.5% +11.3%
Mid Att. %	22 28.6% 17 26.6%	SAS 28.1% PHI 22.6% −5.5%
3P Att. %	27 34.8% 12 39.0%	SAS 42.7% +5.8% PHI 36.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Game Totals	SAS	PHI
Possessions	94	94
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	114	105
Rebounds	43	40
Assists	27	26
Steals	5	6
Blocks	7	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	12 (0)
Fouls	20	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (5)	12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (1)	28 (4)
Field Goals	43-89	37-84
At-the-Rim FG	16-26	19-34
Midrange FG	11-25	8-19
2-Point FG	27-51	27-53
3-Point FG	16-38	10-31
Free Throws	12-15	21-28
Fast Break Pts	12	17
2nd Chance Pts	20	14
Points in Paint	42	46
Pts off Turnovers	13	19
Bench Points	40	10
Biggest Lead	12	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg