Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, October 22, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Rockets	13%	103	105	106.1	99	100.5
	8	Bucks	87%	120	125	126.3	99	97.5

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+19

-12

106

MIL

+10

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.99 49.5%

MIL

1.34 67.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · PG · 6'5" 203 · 22	33.7	18	50%	5	7	2	0	2	4	2	3	6-7	86%	3-11	27%	2-4	50%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 21	31.6	22	50%	4	2	1	0	2	3	1	3	6-6	100%	2-12	17%	4-7	57%
KJ Martin #6 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 22	29.9	14	64%	5	2	0	0	1	1	2	3	0-1	0%	4-6	67%	2-5	40%
Jabari Smith Jr. #1 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 19	27.6	13	43%	11	1	0	2	0	3	2	9	0-0	-	2-8	25%	3-7	43%
Usman Garuba #16 · C · 6'8" 229 · 21	25.0	6	75%	8	2	4	0	2	2	4	4	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%

Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 20	23.0	9	45%	9	2	1	1	1	2	3	6	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 21	18.8	11	61%	2	1	1	3	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-4	75%
Josh Christopher #9 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 21	15.9	3	25%	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Daishen Nix #15 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 21	14.3	2	33%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	12.6	1	50%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	1-1	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Trevor Hudgins #12 · PG · 6'0" 180 · 24	3.8	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 34	3.8	3	75%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Darius Days #5 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 23	INACTIVE
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
TyTy Washington Jr. #0 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Bruno Fernando #20 · C · 6'10" 233 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Eric Gordon #10 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Injury Maintenance
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	50%	47	20	9	6	12	22	15	32	17-22	77%	20-56	36%	16-37	43%

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30 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · PG · 6'5" 203 · 22	33.7	18	50%	5	7	2	0	2	4	2	3	6-7	86%	3-11	27%	2-4	50%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 21	31.6	22	50%	4	2	1	0	2	3	1	3	6-6	100%	2-12	17%	4-7	57%
KJ Martin #6 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 22	29.9	14	64%	5	2	0	0	1	1	2	3	0-1	0%	4-6	67%	2-5	40%
Jabari Smith Jr. #1 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 19	27.6	13	43%	11	1	0	2	0	3	2	9	0-0	-	2-8	25%	3-7	43%
Usman Garuba #16 · C · 6'8" 229 · 21	25.0	6	75%	8	2	4	0	2	2	4	4	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%

Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 20	23.0	9	45%	9	2	1	1	1	2	3	6	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 21	18.8	11	61%	2	1	1	3	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-4	75%
Josh Christopher #9 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 21	15.9	3	25%	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Daishen Nix #15 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 21	14.3	2	33%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	12.6	1	50%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	1-1	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Trevor Hudgins #12 · PG · 6'0" 180 · 24	3.8	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 34	3.8	3	75%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Darius Days #5 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 23	INACTIVE
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
TyTy Washington Jr. #0 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Bruno Fernando #20 · C · 6'10" 233 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Eric Gordon #10 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Injury Maintenance
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	50%	47	20	9	6	12	22	15	32	17-22	77%	20-56	36%	16-37	43%

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8 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jrue Holiday #21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 32	32.1	19	63%	5	10	0	3	2	2	0	5	0-0	-	5-11	45%	3-4	75%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 35	28.8	9	64%	5	2	2	5	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-6	50%
Grayson Allen #12 · SF · 6'3" 198 · 27	27.9	11	42%	5	2	1	0	0	2	2	3	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	2-7	29%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 28	27.6	44	96%	12	3	0	0	4	2	2	10	8-13	62%	15-18	83%	2-3	67%
Jevon Carter #5 · SG · 6'0" 190 · 27	25.3	0	0%	1	4	2	0	3	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%

George Hill #3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 36	23.6	9	90%	2	6	0	0	0	2	0	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 28	22.5	13	65%	8	1	1	1	2	2	3	5	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-1	100%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 24	17.7	9	75%	3	0	0	0	3	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-1	100%
Serge Ibaka #25 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 33	14.8	9	75%	5	0	0	1	0	3	1	4	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	2-2	100%
Wesley Matthews #23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 36	12.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
MarJon Beauchamp #0 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 22	2.2	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 23	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	2.2	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 30	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left knee; ACL Surgery
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Ligament Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	67%	47	29	6	10	16	22	8	39	13-21	62%	32-54	59%	16-31	52%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	MIL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.99 49.5%

MIL

1.34 67.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

52%

MIL

75%

Midrange

HOU

21%

MIL

28%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

24.0

43%

65%

MIL

24.0

52%

77%

Free Throws

HOU

77%

MIL

62%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Green	22	50%	11.0 / 22
K. Porter	18	50%	9.0 / 18
K. Martin	14	64%	7.0 / 11
J. Smith	13	43%	6.5 / 15
T. Eason	11	61%	5.5 / 9
A. Sengun	9	45%	4.5 / 10
U. Garuba	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Christopher	3	25%	1.5 / 6
T. Hudgins	3	150%	1.5 / 1
B. Marjanovic	3	75%	1.5 / 2
D. Nix	2	33%	1.0 / 3
G. Mathews	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	44	96%	22.0 / 23
J. Holiday	19	63%	9.5 / 15
B. Portis	13	65%	6.5 / 10
G. Allen	11	42%	5.5 / 13
B. Lopez	9	64%	4.5 / 7
G. Hill	9	90%	4.5 / 5
J. Nwora	9	75%	4.5 / 6
S. Ibaka	9	75%	4.5 / 6
M. Beauchamp	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Carter	0	-	0.0 / 4
W. Matthews	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 111.0 13 114.9	HOU 106.1 MIL 126.3 +20.2
Pace	13 99.4 9 101.0	HOU 100.5 +3.0 MIL 97.5
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.7 16 14.4	HOU 14.3 −0.4 MIL 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 51.6% 10 55.5%	HOU 47.3% MIL 65.9% +18.6%
TO %	30 15.5% 19 13.6%	HOU 12.0% −2.5% MIL 14.5%
ORB %	1 30.3% 9 25.0%	HOU 27.8% +7.8% MIL 20.0%
FTrt	7 28.5 25 24.8	HOU 23.7 MIL 24.7 +1.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 55.1% 15 60.4%	HOU 55.6% MIL 60.4% +4.8%
STL %	14 7.4% 28 6.2%	HOU 9.1% +3.0% MIL 6.1%
BLK %	10 9.2% 18 8.3%	HOU 11.1% MIL 17.9% +6.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 53.9% 16 56.9%	HOU 49.5% MIL 67.2% +17.7%
Rim FG%	29 59.6% 6 65.3%	HOU 51.9% MIL 75.0% +23.1%
Mid FG%	30 40.4% 16 42.9%	HOU 20.7% MIL 27.8% +7.1%
3P %	30 32.7% 10 36.8%	HOU 43.2% MIL 51.6% +8.4%
FT %	25 75.4% 29 74.3%	HOU 77.3% +15.4% MIL 61.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 42.0% 25 31.6%	HOU 29.0% MIL 42.4% +13.3%
Mid Att. %	6 22.0% 10 23.8%	HOU 31.2% MIL 21.2% −10.0%
3P Att. %	24 35.9% 4 44.6%	HOU 39.8% +3.3% MIL 36.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Game Totals	HOU	MIL
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	105	125
Rebounds	47	47
Assists	20	29
Steals	9	6
Blocks	6	10
Turnovers (Team)	12 (2)	16 (0)
Fouls	22	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (4)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (0)	39 (3)
Field Goals	36-93	48-85
At-the-Rim FG	14-27	27-36
Midrange FG	6-29	5-18
2-Point FG	20-56	32-54
3-Point FG	16-37	16-31
Free Throws	17-22	13-21
Fast Break Pts	9	25
2nd Chance Pts	14	11
Points in Paint	38	58
Pts off Turnovers	16	19
Bench Points	32	42
Biggest Lead	0	27

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg