Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, October 22, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Thunder	24%	113	117	112.5	104	108.0
	9	Nuggets	76%	123	122	118.4	103	99.1

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+15

-12

107

DEN

+14

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.09 54.7%

DEN

1.23 61.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

26 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 24	33.9	28	54%	3	7	1	0	5	4	0	3	5-5	100%	10-19	53%	1-5	20%
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 20	32.7	19	56%	12	6	1	1	1	2	4	8	1-2	50%	6-13	46%	2-4	50%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	30.0	13	38%	7	4	3	0	2	5	3	4	6-8	75%	2-6	33%	1-7	14%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · C · 6'9" 240 · 22	18.3	10	83%	2	0	1	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 21	12.1	0	0%	1	0	2	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-

Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 22	28.4	13	54%	4	4	0	0	1	4	1	3	1-3	33%	3-6	50%	2-5	40%
Darius Bazley #55 · PF · 6'9" 208 · 22	21.0	6	75%	2	3	2	3	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Mike Muscala #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 31	18.8	18	82%	6	1	0	0	0	3	0	6	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	4-7	57%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 28	16.1	3	75%	3	3	0	0	0	3	2	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	15.8	5	63%	6	1	0	0	0	1	0	6	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 19	7.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 26	3.4	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	2.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot Surgery
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Orbital Bone Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	55%	47	29	10	5	12	27	10	37	18-23	78%	27-56	48%	15-38	39%

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26 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 24	33.9	28	54%	3	7	1	0	5	4	0	3	5-5	100%	10-19	53%	1-5	20%
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 20	32.7	19	56%	12	6	1	1	1	2	4	8	1-2	50%	6-13	46%	2-4	50%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	30.0	13	38%	7	4	3	0	2	5	3	4	6-8	75%	2-6	33%	1-7	14%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · C · 6'9" 240 · 22	18.3	10	83%	2	0	1	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 21	12.1	0	0%	1	0	2	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-

Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 22	28.4	13	54%	4	4	0	0	1	4	1	3	1-3	33%	3-6	50%	2-5	40%
Darius Bazley #55 · PF · 6'9" 208 · 22	21.0	6	75%	2	3	2	3	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Mike Muscala #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 31	18.8	18	82%	6	1	0	0	0	3	0	6	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	4-7	57%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 28	16.1	3	75%	3	3	0	0	0	3	2	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	15.8	5	63%	6	1	0	0	0	1	0	6	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 19	7.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 26	3.4	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	2.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot Surgery
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Orbital Bone Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	55%	47	29	10	5	12	27	10	37	18-23	78%	27-56	48%	15-38	39%

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9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	38.7	19	68%	16	13	1	1	3	2	1	15	6-9	67%	5-9	56%	1-1	100%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	31.9	21	81%	5	2	0	0	2	5	0	5	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	6-10	60%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	28.4	11	42%	10	2	0	2	2	0	5	5	4-8	50%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24	27.6	22	73%	6	1	1	1	3	4	2	4	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	5-10	50%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	27.5	16	57%	4	5	2	0	5	0	0	4	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	26.3	5	28%	2	3	0	1	0	1	1	1	0-2	0%	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	19.6	14	117%	1	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	2-4	50%	3-3	100%	2-2	100%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	16.5	9	90%	1	2	1	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-4	75%
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	14.3	1	8%	1	3	0	0	1	2	0	1	1-2	50%	0-4	0%	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	9.2	4	67%	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	INACTIVE
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	62%	46	33	5	6	18	21	9	37	18-31	58%	22-47	47%	20-38	53%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.09 54.7%

DEN

1.23 61.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

67%

DEN

59%

Midrange

OKC

31%

DEN

28%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

22.5

39%

59%

DEN

30.0

53%

79%

Free Throws

OKC

78%

DEN

58%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	28	54%	14.0 / 26
J. Giddey	19	56%	9.5 / 17
M. Muscala	18	82%	9.0 / 11
L. Dort	13	38%	6.5 / 17
T. Mann	13	54%	6.5 / 12
J. Robinson-Earl	10	83%	5.0 / 6
D. Bazley	6	75%	3.0 / 4
A. Wiggins	5	63%	2.5 / 4
K. Williams	3	75%	1.5 / 2
E. Omoruyi	2	100%	1.0 / 1
A. Pokusevski	0	-	0.0 / 1
O. Dieng	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Porter	22	73%	11.0 / 15
K. Caldwell-Pope	21	81%	10.5 / 13
N. Jokić	19	68%	9.5 / 14
J. Murray	16	57%	8.0 / 14
J. Green	14	117%	7.0 / 6
A. Gordon	11	42%	5.5 / 13
C. Braun	9	90%	4.5 / 5
B. Brown	5	28%	2.5 / 9
Z. Nnaji	4	67%	2.0 / 3
B. Hyland	1	8%	0.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 114.6 5 117.1	OKC 112.5 DEN 118.4 +5.9
Pace	3 101.6 21 98.5	OKC 108.0 +8.9 DEN 99.1
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.8 13 14.7	OKC 13.3 −1.2 DEN 14.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.1% 1 57.3%	OKC 52.7% DEN 61.2% +8.5%
TO %	4 12.1% 22 14.0%	OKC 11.1% −4.3% DEN 15.4%
ORB %	12 24.8% 13 24.8%	OKC 21.3% +1.7% DEN 19.6%
FTrt	23 25.6 19 25.9	OKC 24.5 DEN 36.5 +12.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 56.7% 2 66.3%	OKC 69.0% DEN 78.6% +9.6%
STL %	5 8.1% 9 7.6%	OKC 9.6% +4.7% DEN 4.9%
BLK %	24 7.9% 19 8.3%	OKC 10.6% DEN 10.7% +0.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.7% 5 58.7%	OKC 54.7% DEN 61.6% +6.9%
Rim FG%	30 58.7% 3 66.5%	OKC 66.7% +8.1% DEN 58.6%
Mid FG%	12 43.7% 13 43.4%	OKC 31.0% +3.2% DEN 27.8%
3P %	17 35.6% 4 37.9%	OKC 39.5% DEN 52.6% +13.1%
FT %	6 80.9% 26 75.1%	OKC 78.3% +20.2% DEN 58.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 38.9% 2 39.0%	OKC 28.7% DEN 34.1% +5.4%
Mid Att. %	11 24.2% 12 24.9%	OKC 30.9% DEN 21.2% −9.7%
3P Att. %	18 36.8% 21 36.1%	OKC 40.4% DEN 44.7% +4.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.14 and 2.14.

Game Totals	OKC	DEN
Possessions	104	103
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	117	122
Rebounds	47	46
Assists	29	33
Steals	10	5
Blocks	5	6
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	18 (0)
Fouls	27	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (5)	9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (2)	37 (4)
Field Goals	42-94	42-85
At-the-Rim FG	18-27	17-29
Midrange FG	9-29	5-18
2-Point FG	27-56	22-47
3-Point FG	15-38	20-38
Free Throws	18-23	18-31
Fast Break Pts	18	5
2nd Chance Pts	11	20
Points in Paint	50	38
Pts off Turnovers	21	10
Bench Points	47	33
Biggest Lead	6	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg