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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
October 22, 2022
9:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Thunder25%113117
11Nuggets75%123122
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 24.3
34
33
28
3
7
1
1
0
5
0
3
5-5
100%
10-19
8-15
53%
51%
1-5
20%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 20.0
33
32
19
12
6
1
1
1
1
4
8
1-2
50%
6-13
5-9
46%
49%
2-4
50%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 23.5
30
31
13
7
4
3
1
0
2
3
4
6-8
75%
2-6
3-7
33%
46%
1-7
14%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 22.0
18
13
10
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
2-4
50%
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 20.8
12
24
0
1
0
2
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 21.7
28
19
13
4
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-3
33%
3-6
2-4
50%
43%
2-5
40%
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 22.4
21
22
6
2
3
2
1
3
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
48%
2-4
50%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 31.3
19
8
18
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
53%
4-7
57%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.9
16
12
3
3
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
0-0
-
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 23.8
16
12
5
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
1-2
50%
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 19.4
7
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Eugene Omoruyi
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.7
3
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 25.2
2
15
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.3
4
0
0-1
48%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 23.3
2
0
0-0
41%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 21.5
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 20.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 27.7
39
33
19
16
13
1
1
1
3
1
15
6-9
67%
5-9
10-15
56%
62%
1-1
100%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.7
32
30
21
5
2
0
1
0
2
0
5
1-1
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
6-10
60%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.1
28
29
11
10
2
0
1
3
2
5
5
4-8
50%
2-6
5-8
33%
57%
1-3
33%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 24.3
28
27
22
6
1
1
1
1
3
2
4
1-1
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
59%
5-10
50%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 25.7
28
31
16
4
5
2
1
0
5
0
4
3-4
75%
5-8
5-9
63%
52%
1-4
25%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 26.2
26
26
5
2
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-2
0%
1-5
3-6
20%
55%
1-3
33%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.2
20
18
14
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
3-3
2-3
100%
58%
2-2
100%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.5
17
14
9
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
52%
3-4
75%
Bones Hyland
G · 6'2" 169 · 22.1
14
19
1
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-4
2-3
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 21.8
9
5
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
56%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.3
10
0
2-2
68%
Davon Reed
G · 6'6" 210 · 27.4
10
0
1-1
55%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 34.3
3
0
0-1
46%
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 25.5
3
0
0-0
57%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 20.1
2
0
0-0
53%
Collin Gillespie
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.3
Jack White
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.