Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, October 23, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Timberwolves	71%	120	116	116.0	100	101.5
	26	Thunder	29%	112	106	106.0	100	98.6

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+15

-15

100

OKC

+15

-11

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.16 58.0%

OKC

1.02 51.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

11 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #1 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 21	33.5	30	75%	11	3	1	0	4	4	2	9	1-3	33%	10-12	83%	3-7	43%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 27	30.3	15	68%	8	5	1	0	3	2	1	7	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	27.3	11	55%	1	0	4	1	1	3	1	0	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
D'Angelo Russell #0 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 27	25.8	6	50%	3	6	1	0	3	0	1	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 30	24.6	15	75%	15	1	0	1	1	2	2	13	1-3	33%	7-8	88%	0-1	0%

Jaylen Nowell #4 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 23	23.8	14	39%	6	1	2	0	1	0	1	5	3-4	75%	4-10	40%	1-6	17%
Taurean Prince #12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 29	23.3	11	69%	3	3	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 27	21.4	0	0%	3	4	0	0	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 23	13.1	14	78%	2	1	0	1	0	4	1	1	2-4	50%	3-3	100%	2-4	50%
Bryn Forbes #10 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	12.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Nathan Knight #13 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 25	2.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 21	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Austin Rivers #25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 20	INACTIVE
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 24	INACTIVE
Kyle Anderson #5 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back Spasms
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	58%	54	24	9	3	15	17	12	42	14-22	64%	36-54	67%	10-34	29%

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11 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #1 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 21	33.5	30	75%	11	3	1	0	4	4	2	9	1-3	33%	10-12	83%	3-7	43%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 27	30.3	15	68%	8	5	1	0	3	2	1	7	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	27.3	11	55%	1	0	4	1	1	3	1	0	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
D'Angelo Russell #0 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 27	25.8	6	50%	3	6	1	0	3	0	1	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 30	24.6	15	75%	15	1	0	1	1	2	2	13	1-3	33%	7-8	88%	0-1	0%

Jaylen Nowell #4 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 23	23.8	14	39%	6	1	2	0	1	0	1	5	3-4	75%	4-10	40%	1-6	17%
Taurean Prince #12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 29	23.3	11	69%	3	3	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 27	21.4	0	0%	3	4	0	0	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 23	13.1	14	78%	2	1	0	1	0	4	1	1	2-4	50%	3-3	100%	2-4	50%
Bryn Forbes #10 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	12.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Nathan Knight #13 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 25	2.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 21	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Austin Rivers #25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 20	INACTIVE
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 24	INACTIVE
Kyle Anderson #5 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back Spasms
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	58%	54	24	9	3	15	17	12	42	14-22	64%	36-54	67%	10-34	29%

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26 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	29.9	20	56%	3	2	2	0	2	1	1	2	6-6	100%	4-8	50%	2-7	29%
Tre Mann #23 · SG · 6'4" 178 · 22	27.5	10	42%	3	3	1	0	2	3	2	1	0-1	0%	5-6	83%	0-6	0%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · C · 6'9" 240 · 22	25.6	15	107%	2	3	1	0	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	3-4	75%
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 20	21.7	10	45%	2	5	0	0	4	2	0	2	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 28	18.4	6	33%	2	1	1	0	1	0	0	2	0-2	0%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%

Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	25.3	5	50%	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	2	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 19	23.4	5	42%	6	3	1	2	1	2	1	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	13.7	3	30%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-6	17%
Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 21	13.2	2	17%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 26	11.9	13	72%	3	1	0	0	0	2	1	2	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Mike Muscala #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 31	11.3	11	92%	9	0	0	1	0	1	1	8	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 20	7.6	4	50%	6	2	0	0	0	2	3	3	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 23	6.0	2	33%	1	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Darius Bazley #55 · PF · 6'9" 208 · 22	4.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · SG · 6'6" 195 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Contusion
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Orbital Bone Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	51%	42	24	7	4	11	15	11	31	15-21	71%	32-53	60%	9-41	22%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	OKC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.16 58.0%

OKC

1.02 51.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

81%

OKC

70%

Midrange

MIN

48%

OKC

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

15.0

29%

44%

OKC

13.5

22%

33%

Free Throws

MIN

64%

OKC

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	30	75%	15.0 / 20
K. Towns	15	68%	7.5 / 11
R. Gobert	15	75%	7.5 / 10
J. Nowell	14	39%	7.0 / 18
N. Reid	14	78%	7.0 / 9
J. McDaniels	11	55%	5.5 / 10
T. Prince	11	69%	5.5 / 8
D. Russell	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. McLaughlin	0	-	0.0 / 2
B. Forbes	0	-	0.0 / 3
W. Moore	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Dort	20	56%	10.0 / 18
J. Robinson-Earl	15	107%	7.5 / 7
E. Omoruyi	13	72%	6.5 / 9
M. Muscala	11	92%	5.5 / 6
T. Mann	10	42%	5.0 / 12
J. Giddey	10	45%	5.0 / 11
K. Williams	6	33%	3.0 / 9
A. Wiggins	5	50%	2.5 / 5
O. Dieng	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Williams	4	50%	2.0 / 4
L. Waters	3	30%	1.5 / 5
A. Pokusevski	2	17%	1.0 / 6
I. Joe	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Bazley	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 113.7 16 114.6	MIN 116.0 +10.0 OKC 106.0
Pace	10 101.0 3 101.6	MIN 101.5 +2.9 OKC 98.6
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.2 29 13.8	MIN 14.2 −0.4 OKC 14.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.0% 24 53.1%	MIN 58.0% +9.6% OKC 48.4%
TO %	27 14.5% 4 12.1%	MIN 13.3% OKC 9.6% −3.7%
ORB %	27 21.5% 12 24.8%	MIN 27.9% +7.1% OKC 20.8%
FTrt	12 27.0 23 25.6	MIN 25.0 +2.7 OKC 22.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 61.0% 27 56.7%	MIN 52.2% OKC 58.5% +6.3%
STL %	7 7.9% 5 8.1%	MIN 9.0% +2.0% OKC 7.0%
BLK %	6 9.8% 24 7.9%	MIN 5.7% OKC 7.4% +1.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 58.0% 24 55.7%	MIN 58.0% +7.0% OKC 51.0%
Rim FG%	9 64.9% 30 58.7%	MIN 80.6% +10.9% OKC 69.7%
Mid FG%	14 43.2% 12 43.7%	MIN 47.8% +2.8% OKC 45.0%
3P %	13 36.5% 17 35.6%	MIN 29.4% +7.4% OKC 22.0%
FT %	24 75.5% 6 80.9%	MIN 63.6% OKC 71.4% +7.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 38.7% 3 38.9%	MIN 35.2% +0.1% OKC 35.1%
Mid Att. %	8 23.2% 11 24.2%	MIN 26.1% OKC 21.3% −4.9%
3P Att. %	14 38.1% 18 36.8%	MIN 38.6% OKC 43.6% +5.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.14 and 2.14.

Game Totals	MIN	OKC
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	116	106
Rebounds	54	42
Assists	24	24
Steals	9	7
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls	17	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (3)	11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	42 (0)	31 (1)
Field Goals	46-88	41-94
At-the-Rim FG	25-31	23-33
Midrange FG	11-23	9-20
2-Point FG	36-54	32-53
3-Point FG	10-34	9-41
Free Throws	14-22	15-21
Fast Break Pts	11	19
2nd Chance Pts	17	19
Points in Paint	60	54
Pts off Turnovers	14	19
Bench Points	39	45
Biggest Lead	22	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg