Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, October 24, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Nuggets	61%	122	110	114.6	96	94.2
	19	Blazers	39%	118	135	142.1	95	96.8

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+12

-8

100

POR

+11

-8

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.09 54.5%

POR

1.38 68.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	30.4	6	43%	2	5	1	0	1	2	1	1	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	27.6	26	76%	6	1	0	0	1	4	2	4	2-2	100%	12-14	86%	0-2	0%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	27.0	9	90%	9	9	0	0	1	5	1	8	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	26.6	8	31%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-2	0%	1-8	13%	2-4	50%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24	25.5	18	64%	4	2	0	0	1	5	1	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	4-8	50%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	24.4	6	50%	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	19.7	7	39%	2	1	1	0	0	2	1	1	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	18.1	15	68%	1	3	0	0	1	1	0	1	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	4-7	57%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	12.6	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	10.0	4	50%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	7.6	3	38%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	4.1	4	67%	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	3.6	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	2.7	4	67%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| right lower leg, fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	55%	38	28	4	1	8	28	10	28	8-14	57%	33-60	55%	12-31	39%

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4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	30.4	6	43%	2	5	1	0	1	2	1	1	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	27.6	26	76%	6	1	0	0	1	4	2	4	2-2	100%	12-14	86%	0-2	0%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	27.0	9	90%	9	9	0	0	1	5	1	8	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	26.6	8	31%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-2	0%	1-8	13%	2-4	50%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24	25.5	18	64%	4	2	0	0	1	5	1	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	4-8	50%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	24.4	6	50%	5	4	1	1	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	19.7	7	39%	2	1	1	0	0	2	1	1	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	18.1	15	68%	1	3	0	0	1	1	0	1	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	4-7	57%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	12.6	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	10.0	4	50%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	7.6	3	38%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	4.1	4	67%	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	3.6	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	2.7	4	67%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| right lower leg, fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	55%	38	28	4	1	8	28	10	28	8-14	57%	33-60	55%	12-31	39%

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19 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 23	35.6	29	85%	3	5	1	1	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	7-12	58%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 29	35.5	21	66%	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	2	6-7	86%	6-7	86%	1-6	17%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 28	35.5	13	43%	12	6	0	1	0	5	2	10	5-7	71%	4-11	36%	0-1	0%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	34.7	31	82%	6	8	1	0	1	2	1	5	7-8	88%	6-9	67%	4-7	57%
Josh Hart #11 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	34.5	6	43%	11	1	0	0	1	1	4	7	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%

Nassir Little #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	18.2	11	79%	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	1-3	33%	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 19	16.1	11	79%	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Drew Eubanks #24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26	12.1	4	100%	2	0	1	1	0	3	1	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Keon Johnson #6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	9.6	3	75%	2	1	0	2	3	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Greg Brown III #4 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 21	4.1	4	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 20	4.1	2	100%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Justise Winslow #26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| right ankle, sprain
John Butler Jr. #21 · C · 7'1" 190 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Olivier Sarr #33 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| right wrist, sprain
Trendon Watford #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| right hip, flexor strain
Gary Payton II #00 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Return to Competition Reconditioning
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	135	69%	45	23	3	6	8	15	9	36	23-31	74%	32-48	67%	16-35	46%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	POR
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	POR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.09 54.5%

POR

1.38 68.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

64%

POR

75%

Midrange

DEN

33%

POR

25%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

18.0

39%

58%

POR

24.0

46%

69%

Free Throws

DEN

57%

POR

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Gordon	26	76%	13.0 / 17
M. Porter	18	64%	9.0 / 14
B. Hyland	15	68%	7.5 / 11
N. Jokić	9	90%	4.5 / 5
J. Murray	8	31%	4.0 / 13
J. Green	7	39%	3.5 / 9
K. Caldwell-Pope	6	43%	3.0 / 7
B. Brown	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Jordan	4	50%	2.0 / 4
Z. Nnaji	4	67%	2.0 / 3
P. Watson	4	67%	2.0 / 3
D. Reed	3	38%	1.5 / 4
C. Braun	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	31	82%	15.5 / 19
A. Simons	29	85%	14.5 / 17
J. Grant	21	66%	10.5 / 16
J. Nurkić	13	43%	6.5 / 15
N. Little	11	79%	5.5 / 7
S. Sharpe	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. Hart	6	43%	3.0 / 7
D. Eubanks	4	100%	2.0 / 2
G. Brown III	4	100%	2.0 / 2
K. Johnson	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Walker	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.1 17 114.6	DEN 114.6 POR 142.1 +27.5
Pace	21 98.5 18 98.7	DEN 94.2 POR 96.8 +2.6
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.7 12 14.7	DEN 15.3 POR 14.9 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.3% 14 54.9%	DEN 56.0% POR 67.5% +11.5%
TO %	22 14.0% 20 13.8%	DEN 7.6% −1.8% POR 9.4%
ORB %	13 24.8% 24 22.4%	DEN 21.7% POR 24.3% +2.6%
FTrt	19 25.9 6 28.9	DEN 15.4 POR 37.3 +21.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 66.3% 18 59.7%	DEN 62.2% +14.3% POR 47.9%
STL %	9 7.6% 24 6.8%	DEN 4.2% +1.0% POR 3.2%
BLK %	19 8.3% 17 8.4%	DEN 2.1% POR 10.0% +7.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.7% 9 57.5%	DEN 54.5% POR 68.9% +14.4%
Rim FG%	3 66.5% 22 62.3%	DEN 64.3% POR 75.0% +10.7%
Mid FG%	13 43.4% 24 42.2%	DEN 33.3% +8.3% POR 25.0%
3P %	4 37.9% 14 36.5%	DEN 38.7% POR 45.7% +7.0%
FT %	26 75.1% 8 79.6%	DEN 57.1% POR 74.2% +17.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 39.0% 9 37.5%	DEN 46.2% POR 48.2% +2.0%
Mid Att. %	12 24.9% 3 21.2%	DEN 19.8% POR 9.6% −10.1%
3P Att. %	21 36.1% 7 41.3%	DEN 34.1% POR 42.2% +8.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	POR
Possessions	96	95
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	110	135
Rebounds	38	45
Assists	28	23
Steals	4	3
Blocks	1	6
Turnovers (Team)	8 (0)	8 (2)
Fouls	28	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (2)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (1)	36 (1)
Field Goals	45-91	48-83
At-the-Rim FG	27-42	30-40
Midrange FG	6-18	2-8
2-Point FG	33-60	32-48
3-Point FG	12-31	16-35
Free Throws	8-14	23-31
Fast Break Pts	13	26
2nd Chance Pts	15	18
Points in Paint	60	62
Pts off Turnovers	13	11
Bench Points	43	35
Biggest Lead	13	27

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg