Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Heat	41%	114	110	108.9	101	101.5
	9	Warriors	59%	118	123	124.2	99	98.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	37.7	26	76%	8	1	4	3	5	2	4	4	6-8	75%	10-13	77%	0-0	-
Jimmy Butler III #22 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	37.0	27	90%	6	8	6	0	2	2	1	5	7-7	100%	4-6	67%	4-7	57%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	33.1	12	55%	5	8	3	0	2	4	1	4	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-8	25%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	31.8	7	29%	4	2	0	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-5	20%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	29.5	8	40%	1	1	1	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-6	17%	2-4	50%

Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	32.1	14	58%	5	0	0	2	0	1	1	4	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	3-8	38%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	17.9	9	50%	1	3	1	0	0	3	0	1	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	13.2	3	21%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 19	7.6	4	50%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Plantar fasciitis
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left ankle impingement
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	55%	31	25	16	5	12	15	8	23	18-22	82%	25-45	56%	14-43	33%

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7 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	37.7	26	76%	8	1	4	3	5	2	4	4	6-8	75%	10-13	77%	0-0	-
Jimmy Butler III #22 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	37.0	27	90%	6	8	6	0	2	2	1	5	7-7	100%	4-6	67%	4-7	57%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	33.1	12	55%	5	8	3	0	2	4	1	4	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-8	25%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	31.8	7	29%	4	2	0	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-5	20%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	29.5	8	40%	1	1	1	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-6	17%	2-4	50%

Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	32.1	14	58%	5	0	0	2	0	1	1	4	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	3-8	38%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	17.9	9	50%	1	3	1	0	0	3	0	1	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	13.2	3	21%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 19	7.6	4	50%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Plantar fasciitis
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left ankle impingement
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	55%	31	25	16	5	12	15	8	23	18-22	82%	25-45	56%	14-43	33%

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9 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 35	36.9	33	75%	7	9	1	0	3	0	1	6	0-0	-	6-8	75%	7-14	50%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 28	36.7	18	69%	10	2	1	1	2	4	3	7	6-6	100%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	30.1	10	50%	7	4	0	0	5	1	2	5	0-1	0%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Kevon Looney #5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 27	29.2	7	58%	8	4	0	0	1	2	2	6	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 33	29.0	19	48%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	5-14	36%

Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 23	21.4	11	69%	1	7	1	0	2	2	0	1	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
JaMychal Green #1 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 32	17.9	6	75%	5	2	1	1	1	1	4	1	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 20	17.4	6	50%	4	1	0	0	2	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
James Wiseman #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 22	13.9	10	63%	6	0	0	0	2	2	3	3	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Ty Jerome #10 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 25	7.5	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ryan Rollins #2 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anthony Lamb #40 · SF · 6'6" 227 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Andre Iguodala #9 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	61%	50	30	4	2	19	13	16	34	13-15	87%	28-46	61%	18-46	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.09 54.5%

GSW

1.22 60.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

7

9

78%

GSW

16

22

73%

Midrange

MIA

18

36

50%

GSW

12

24

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

14

21.0

43

33%

49%

GSW

18

27.0

46

39%

59%

Free Throws

MIA

18

22

82%

GSW

13

15

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	27	90%	13.5 / 15
B. Adebayo	26	76%	13.0 / 17
M. Strus	14	58%	7.0 / 12
K. Lowry	12	55%	6.0 / 11
G. Vincent	9	50%	4.5 / 9
C. Martin	8	40%	4.0 / 10
T. Herro	7	29%	3.5 / 12
N. Jović	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Robinson	3	21%	1.5 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	33	75%	16.5 / 22
K. Thompson	19	48%	9.5 / 20
A. Wiggins	18	69%	9.0 / 13
J. Poole	11	69%	5.5 / 8
D. Green	10	50%	5.0 / 10
J. Wiseman	10	63%	5.0 / 8
K. Looney	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Green	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Moody	6	50%	3.0 / 6
T. Jerome	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 112.9 10 115.6	MIA 108.9 GSW 124.2 +15.3
Pace	29 96.3 1 102.1	MIA 101.5 +3.0 GSW 98.5
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.0 27 13.9	MIA 14.2 −0.4 GSW 14.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 53.0% 3 57.1%	MIA 52.3% GSW 59.8% +7.5%
TO %	15 13.2% 29 15.3%	MIA 10.9% −6.7% GSW 17.6%
ORB %	21 22.8% 14 24.4%	MIA 19.0% GSW 41.0% +22.0%
FTrt	13 27.0 30 22.4	MIA 25.0 +8.7 GSW 16.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 60.8% 1 69.1%	MIA 64.1% GSW 65.2% +1.1%
STL %	3 8.2% 19 7.0%	MIA 15.8% +11.8% GSW 4.0%
BLK %	29 6.3% 25 7.1%	MIA 10.9% +6.5% GSW 4.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.9% 3 58.7%	MIA 54.5% GSW 60.9% +6.4%
Rim FG%	20 62.6% 2 67.1%	MIA 77.8% +5.1% GSW 72.7%
Mid FG%	7 45.3% 25 41.2%	MIA 50.0% GSW 50.0%
3P %	27 34.4% 2 38.5%	MIA 32.6% GSW 39.1% +6.5%
FT %	2 83.1% 9 79.4%	MIA 81.8% GSW 86.7% +4.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 29.9% 26 30.7%	MIA 10.2% GSW 23.9% +13.7%
Mid Att. %	24 29.4% 4 21.4%	MIA 40.9% GSW 26.1% −14.8%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 3 47.9%	MIA 48.9% GSW 50.0% +1.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Game Totals	MIA	GSW
Possessions	101	99
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	110	123
Rebounds	31	50
Assists	25	30
Steals	16	4
Blocks	5	2
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	19 (2)
Fouls	15	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (4)	16 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (3)	34 (5)
Field Goals	39-88	46-92
At-the-Rim FG	7-9	16-22
Midrange FG	18-36	12-24
2-Point FG	25-45	28-46
3-Point FG	14-43	18-46
Free Throws	18-22	13-15
Fast Break Pts	19	12
2nd Chance Pts	8	27
Points in Paint	34	48
Pts off Turnovers	15	18
Bench Points	30	36
Biggest Lead	3	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg