Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, October 28, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Jazz	38%	118	101	106.3	95	95.2
	6	Nuggets	62%	123	117	120.6	97	98.7

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+13

-9

DEN

+19

-12

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.02 51.0%

DEN

1.13 56.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

12 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jarred Vanderbilt #8 · C · 6'8" 214 · 24	28.3	7	44%	7	2	0	1	1	2	0	7	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Lauri Markkanen #23 · SF · 7'1" 240 · 25	25.9	17	61%	10	1	0	0	3	3	2	8	0-0	-	4-8	50%	3-6	50%
Mike Conley #11 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 35	23.5	14	100%	2	5	0	0	0	2	1	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	4-5	80%
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 30	22.4	6	25%	5	3	1	2	1	3	0	5	4-5	80%	1-3	33%	0-7	0%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 32	20.5	7	58%	3	3	1	1	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%

Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 26	22.1	5	31%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3-3	100%	1-5	20%	0-2	0%
Talen Horton-Tucker #0 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 22	21.1	6	27%	4	2	1	1	0	4	2	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-5	0%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	19.0	9	56%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	4-4	100%	0-3	0%
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 24	16.5	13	65%	0	1	1	0	1	5	0	0	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
Leandro Bolmaro #10 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	15.3	2	33%	1	2	0	1	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Udoka Azubuike #20 · C · 7'0" 280 · 23	8.5	4	67%	2	0	2	1	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #6 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	8.5	7	58%	0	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Micah Potter #25 · PF · 6'9" 248 · 25	8.5	4	100%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Rudy Gay #22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 36	Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
Simone Fontecchio #16 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 27	Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	51%	38	24	7	8	9	30	8	30	15-19	79%	28-52	54%	10-39	26%

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12 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jarred Vanderbilt #8 · C · 6'8" 214 · 24	28.3	7	44%	7	2	0	1	1	2	0	7	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Lauri Markkanen #23 · SF · 7'1" 240 · 25	25.9	17	61%	10	1	0	0	3	3	2	8	0-0	-	4-8	50%	3-6	50%
Mike Conley #11 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 35	23.5	14	100%	2	5	0	0	0	2	1	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	4-5	80%
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 30	22.4	6	25%	5	3	1	2	1	3	0	5	4-5	80%	1-3	33%	0-7	0%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 32	20.5	7	58%	3	3	1	1	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%

Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 26	22.1	5	31%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3-3	100%	1-5	20%	0-2	0%
Talen Horton-Tucker #0 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 22	21.1	6	27%	4	2	1	1	0	4	2	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-5	0%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	19.0	9	56%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	4-4	100%	0-3	0%
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 24	16.5	13	65%	0	1	1	0	1	5	0	0	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
Leandro Bolmaro #10 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	15.3	2	33%	1	2	0	1	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Udoka Azubuike #20 · C · 7'0" 280 · 23	8.5	4	67%	2	0	2	1	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #6 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	8.5	7	58%	0	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Micah Potter #25 · PF · 6'9" 248 · 25	8.5	4	100%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Rudy Gay #22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 36	Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
Simone Fontecchio #16 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 27	Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	51%	38	24	7	8	9	30	8	30	15-19	79%	28-52	54%	10-39	26%

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6 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bruce Brown #11 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 26	30.4	7	50%	5	3	0	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24	30.1	22	65%	13	1	0	0	0	2	4	9	4-5	80%	3-10	30%	4-5	80%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	25.5	12	43%	10	6	1	1	1	1	3	7	6-8	75%	3-6	50%	0-4	0%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	21.3	3	30%	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	1	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	20.6	13	65%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	32.4	10	71%	6	1	0	1	1	1	2	4	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	24.7	10	71%	6	2	0	0	0	2	2	4	4-5	80%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	24.0	26	65%	1	3	1	0	2	3	0	1	3-4	75%	1-6	17%	7-12	58%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	20.5	12	67%	13	1	0	0	4	5	4	9	3-6	50%	3-5	60%	1-1	100%
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	3.4	2	50%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	1.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	1.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	56%	58	18	2	4	12	18	17	41	22-34	65%	22-48	46%	17-37	46%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.02 51.0%

DEN

1.13 56.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

65%

DEN

39%

Midrange

UTA

33%

DEN

59%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

15.0

26%

38%

DEN

25.5

46%

69%

Free Throws

UTA

79%

DEN

65%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Markkanen	17	61%	8.5 / 14
M. Conley	14	100%	7.0 / 7
C. Sexton	13	65%	6.5 / 10
O. Agbaji	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. Vanderbilt	7	44%	3.5 / 8
K. Olynyk	7	58%	3.5 / 6
N. Alexander-Walker	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Clarkson	6	25%	3.0 / 12
T. Horton-Tucker	6	27%	3.0 / 11
M. Beasley	5	31%	2.5 / 8
U. Azubuike	4	67%	2.0 / 3
M. Potter	4	100%	2.0 / 2
L. Bolmaro	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Hyland	26	65%	13.0 / 20
M. Porter	22	65%	11.0 / 17
J. Murray	13	65%	6.5 / 10
N. Jokić	12	43%	6.0 / 14
D. Jordan	12	67%	6.0 / 9
C. Braun	10	71%	5.0 / 7
J. Green	10	71%	5.0 / 7
B. Brown	7	50%	3.5 / 7
A. Gordon	3	30%	1.5 / 5
I. Smith	2	50%	1.0 / 2
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 1
P. Watson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 115.6 5 117.1	UTA 106.3 DEN 120.6 +14.3
Pace	12 100.6 21 98.5	UTA 95.2 DEN 98.7 +3.5
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 13 14.7	UTA 15.1 DEN 14.6 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.8% 1 57.3%	UTA 47.3% DEN 55.9% +8.6%
TO %	28 14.7% 22 14.0%	UTA 9.1% −1.6% DEN 10.7%
ORB %	4 26.8% 13 24.8%	UTA 16.3% DEN 36.2% +19.9%
FTrt	14 26.6 19 25.9	UTA 20.9 DEN 40.0 +19.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 61.1% 2 66.3%	UTA 63.2% +17.0% DEN 46.2%
STL %	30 6.0% 9 7.6%	UTA 7.4% +5.3% DEN 2.1%
BLK %	11 9.2% 19 8.3%	UTA 16.7% +9.0% DEN 7.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 57.3% 5 58.7%	UTA 51.0% DEN 56.3% +5.3%
Rim FG%	12 64.1% 3 66.5%	UTA 64.7% +26.0% DEN 38.7%
Mid FG%	9 44.3% 13 43.4%	UTA 33.3% DEN 58.8% +25.5%
3P %	20 35.3% 4 37.9%	UTA 25.6% DEN 45.9% +20.3%
FT %	14 78.6% 26 75.1%	UTA 78.9% +14.2% DEN 64.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 34.5% 2 39.0%	UTA 37.4% +0.9% DEN 36.5%
Mid Att. %	9 23.5% 12 24.9%	UTA 19.8% −0.2% DEN 20.0%
3P Att. %	6 42.1% 21 36.1%	UTA 42.9% DEN 43.5% +0.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	UTA	DEN
Possessions	95	97
Possession Minutes	23.9	23.6
Points	101	117
Rebounds	38	58
Assists	24	18
Steals	7	2
Blocks	8	4
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	12 (0)
Fouls	30	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (5)	17 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (5)	41 (1)
Field Goals	38-91	39-85
At-the-Rim FG	22-34	12-31
Midrange FG	6-18	10-17
2-Point FG	28-52	22-48
3-Point FG	10-39	17-37
Free Throws	15-19	22-34
Fast Break Pts	20	24
2nd Chance Pts	9	19
Points in Paint	54	34
Pts off Turnovers	16	7
Bench Points	50	60
Biggest Lead	6	29

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg