Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Heat	65%	118	113	109.7	103	104.1
	25	Kings	35%	113	119	119.0	100	99.0

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	37.7	23	61%	6	4	0	2	1	6	2	4	5-6	83%	9-16	56%	0-0	-
Jimmy Butler III #22 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	37.1	13	46%	7	6	2	0	2	0	1	6	5-7	71%	4-10	40%	0-1	0%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	36.8	15	63%	5	5	2	1	2	4	1	4	8-8	100%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	34.9	34	71%	3	0	0	0	3	1	1	2	3-4	75%	8-14	57%	5-8	63%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	25.9	9	45%	4	1	2	0	0	3	1	3	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	1-2	50%

Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	34.4	11	37%	5	1	1	0	0	4	2	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	3-11	27%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	19.7	3	38%	1	1	0	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42	8.0	3	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	4.6	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 19	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	INACTIVE
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Head; Upper respiratory infection
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 24	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	52%	34	18	7	3	8	25	9	25	26-31	84%	27-61	44%	11-28	39%

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3 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	37.7	23	61%	6	4	0	2	1	6	2	4	5-6	83%	9-16	56%	0-0	-
Jimmy Butler III #22 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	37.1	13	46%	7	6	2	0	2	0	1	6	5-7	71%	4-10	40%	0-1	0%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	36.8	15	63%	5	5	2	1	2	4	1	4	8-8	100%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	34.9	34	71%	3	0	0	0	3	1	1	2	3-4	75%	8-14	57%	5-8	63%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	25.9	9	45%	4	1	2	0	0	3	1	3	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	1-2	50%

Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	34.4	11	37%	5	1	1	0	0	4	2	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	3-11	27%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	19.7	3	38%	1	1	0	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42	8.0	3	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	4.6	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 19	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	INACTIVE
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Head; Upper respiratory infection
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 24	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	52%	34	18	7	3	8	25	9	25	26-31	84%	27-61	44%	11-28	39%

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25 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	38.2	27	96%	3	7	0	0	0	2	0	3	4-6	67%	1-3	33%	7-8	88%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 25	36.2	17	45%	13	5	0	2	3	4	2	11	5-5	100%	6-15	40%	0-2	0%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 22	35.8	22	79%	1	3	0	2	5	4	0	1	3-4	75%	5-6	83%	3-7	43%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 30	33.7	11	69%	4	6	0	0	2	5	1	3	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 26	22.7	18	100%	7	3	0	1	2	6	2	5	2-2	100%	8-9	89%	0-0	-

Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 29	21.2	5	50%	4	0	0	0	1	2	0	4	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 27	18.4	10	63%	5	0	1	1	1	1	1	4	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 25	13.5	6	60%	2	2	0	0	2	2	0	2	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 24	11.8	2	50%	3	1	0	0	4	2	0	3	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Terence Davis #3 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 25	5.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 29	3.1	1	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
KZ Okpala #30 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 24	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chimezie Metu #7 · C · 6'10" 219 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chima Moneke #19 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Matthew Dellavedova #8 · PG · 6'4" 198 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 23	INACTIVE
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 23	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	68%	43	27	1	6	20	29	6	37	21-29	72%	28-45	62%	14-31	45%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	SAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.04 51.8%

SAC

1.35 67.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

18

28

64%

SAC

19

24

79%

Midrange

MIA

9

33

27%

SAC

9

21

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

11

16.5

28

39%

59%

SAC

14

21.0

31

45%

68%

Free Throws

MIA

26

31

84%

SAC

21

29

72%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Herro	34	71%	17.0 / 24
B. Adebayo	23	61%	11.5 / 19
K. Lowry	15	63%	7.5 / 12
J. Butler	13	46%	6.5 / 14
M. Strus	11	37%	5.5 / 15
C. Martin	9	45%	4.5 / 10
G. Vincent	3	38%	1.5 / 4
U. Haslem	3	50%	1.5 / 3
D. Robinson	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Huerter	27	96%	13.5 / 14
K. Murray	22	79%	11.0 / 14
D. Sabonis	18	100%	9.0 / 9
D. Fox	17	45%	8.5 / 19
H. Barnes	11	69%	5.5 / 8
T. Lyles	10	63%	5.0 / 8
M. Monk	6	60%	3.0 / 5
R. Holmes	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Mitchell	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Len	1	50%	0.5 / 1
T. Davis	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 112.9 1 119.1	MIA 109.7 SAC 119.0 +9.3
Pace	29 96.3 11 100.6	MIA 104.1 +5.1 SAC 99.0
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.0 30 13.7	MIA 13.8 −0.7 SAC 14.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 53.0% 2 57.2%	MIA 48.9% SAC 64.5% +15.6%
TO %	15 13.2% 10 12.9%	MIA 8.1% −11.0% SAC 19.1%
ORB %	21 22.8% 22 22.7%	MIA 19.6% +0.2% SAC 19.4%
FTrt	13 27.0 9 28.4	MIA 34.8 SAC 38.2 +3.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 60.8% 7 62.6%	MIA 47.4% SAC 64.3% +16.9%
STL %	3 8.2% 22 6.9%	MIA 6.8% +5.8% SAC 1.0%
BLK %	29 6.3% 30 6.0%	MIA 6.7% SAC 9.8% +3.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.9% 1 59.6%	MIA 51.8% SAC 67.6% +15.8%
Rim FG%	20 62.6% 4 66.4%	MIA 64.3% SAC 79.2% +14.9%
Mid FG%	7 45.3% 3 46.5%	MIA 27.3% SAC 42.9% +15.6%
3P %	27 34.4% 9 36.9%	MIA 39.3% SAC 45.2% +5.9%
FT %	2 83.1% 12 79.0%	MIA 83.9% +11.5% SAC 72.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 29.9% 14 35.2%	MIA 31.5% SAC 31.6% +0.1%
Mid Att. %	24 29.4% 7 22.5%	MIA 37.1% SAC 27.6% −9.4%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 5 42.3%	MIA 31.5% SAC 40.8% +9.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	SAC
Possessions	103	100
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	113	119
Rebounds	34	43
Assists	18	27
Steals	7	1
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	8 (1)	20 (1)
Fouls	25	29
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (5)	6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (6)	37 (2)
Field Goals	38-89	42-76
At-the-Rim FG	18-28	19-24
Midrange FG	9-33	9-21
2-Point FG	27-61	28-45
3-Point FG	11-28	14-31
Free Throws	26-31	21-29
Fast Break Pts	8	17
2nd Chance Pts	19	10
Points in Paint	46	52
Pts off Turnovers	28	14
Bench Points	19	24
Biggest Lead	0	22

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg