Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Warriors	43%	114	109	112.4	97	101.5
	3	Heat	57%	116	116	118.4	98	93.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 28	34.6	21	81%	4	5	0	2	1	3	1	3	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	4-7	57%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 35	34.5	23	72%	13	13	1	0	5	3	4	9	5-5	100%	3-4	75%	4-10	40%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	32.2	5	83%	6	3	3	0	1	4	0	6	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 33	30.6	19	50%	3	2	1	1	4	1	0	3	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	4-12	33%
Kevon Looney #5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 27	23.8	4	100%	3	2	1	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-

Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 23	28.9	9	41%	2	2	0	0	5	2	0	2	2-4	50%	2-3	67%	1-7	14%
JaMychal Green #1 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 32	17.7	9	41%	9	1	1	1	1	1	5	4	1-1	100%	4-9	44%	0-2	0%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 20	14.8	6	75%	0	2	1	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Ty Jerome #10 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 25	13.4	8	80%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-4	50%
James Wiseman #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 22	9.4	5	50%	0	0	0	1	1	3	0	0	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ryan Rollins #2 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anthony Lamb #40 · SF · 6'6" 227 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Andre Iguodala #9 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	60%	41	31	8	5	20	22	10	31	13-17	76%	21-35	60%	18-49	37%

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5 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 28	34.6	21	81%	4	5	0	2	1	3	1	3	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	4-7	57%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 35	34.5	23	72%	13	13	1	0	5	3	4	9	5-5	100%	3-4	75%	4-10	40%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	32.2	5	83%	6	3	3	0	1	4	0	6	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 33	30.6	19	50%	3	2	1	1	4	1	0	3	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	4-12	33%
Kevon Looney #5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 27	23.8	4	100%	3	2	1	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-

Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 23	28.9	9	41%	2	2	0	0	5	2	0	2	2-4	50%	2-3	67%	1-7	14%
JaMychal Green #1 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 32	17.7	9	41%	9	1	1	1	1	1	5	4	1-1	100%	4-9	44%	0-2	0%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 20	14.8	6	75%	0	2	1	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Ty Jerome #10 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 25	13.4	8	80%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-4	50%
James Wiseman #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 22	9.4	5	50%	0	0	0	1	1	3	0	0	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ryan Rollins #2 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anthony Lamb #40 · SF · 6'6" 227 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Andre Iguodala #9 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	60%	41	31	8	5	20	22	10	31	13-17	76%	21-35	60%	18-49	37%

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3 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	37.2	19	56%	7	6	3	1	2	4	1	6	3-3	100%	8-15	53%	0-0	-
Jimmy Butler III #22 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	36.8	23	57%	6	8	0	1	3	1	3	3	9-9	100%	4-10	40%	2-7	29%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	36.6	13	72%	5	9	0	0	2	1	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-8	38%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	19.4	5	63%	4	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	9.9	2	25%	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	32.6	24	67%	1	2	1	0	2	2	0	1	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	4-10	40%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	31.0	4	29%	8	3	2	0	2	4	3	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	25.7	17	85%	2	3	0	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	5-8	63%
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	10.8	9	75%	5	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42	DNP – Coach's Decision
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Impingement
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinosis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	60%	39	32	7	3	15	16	9	30	20-20	100%	24-46	52%	16-42	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.20 59.9%

MIA

1.20 59.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

15

22

68%

MIA

18

23

78%

Midrange

GSW

6

13

46%

MIA

6

23

26%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

18

27.0

49

37%

55%

MIA

16

24.0

42

38%

57%

Free Throws

GSW

13

17

76%

MIA

20

100%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	23	72%	11.5 / 16
A. Wiggins	21	81%	10.5 / 13
K. Thompson	19	50%	9.5 / 19
J. Poole	9	41%	4.5 / 11
J. Green	9	41%	4.5 / 11
T. Jerome	8	80%	4.0 / 5
M. Moody	6	75%	3.0 / 4
D. Green	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Wiseman	5	50%	2.5 / 5
K. Looney	4	100%	2.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Strus	24	67%	12.0 / 18
J. Butler	23	57%	11.5 / 20
B. Adebayo	19	56%	9.5 / 17
D. Robinson	17	85%	8.5 / 10
K. Lowry	13	72%	6.5 / 9
D. Dedmon	9	75%	4.5 / 6
C. Martin	5	63%	2.5 / 4
G. Vincent	4	29%	2.0 / 7
T. Herro	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 115.6 25 112.9	GSW 112.4 MIA 118.4 +6.0
Pace	1 102.1 29 96.3	GSW 101.5 +7.6 MIA 93.9
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.9 5 15.0	GSW 14.2 −1.1 MIA 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 57.1% 25 53.0%	GSW 57.1% +2.6% MIA 54.5%
TO %	29 15.3% 15 13.2%	GSW 17.9% MIA 13.4% −4.5%
ORB %	14 24.4% 21 22.8%	GSW 25.0% +2.5% MIA 22.5%
FTrt	30 22.4 13 27.0	GSW 20.2 MIA 22.7 +2.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 69.1% 14 60.8%	GSW 79.5% MIA 80.0% +0.5%
STL %	19 7.0% 3 8.2%	GSW 8.2% +1.1% MIA 7.1%
BLK %	25 7.1% 29 6.3%	GSW 10.9% +2.3% MIA 8.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 58.7% 22 55.9%	GSW 59.9% +0.1% MIA 59.8%
Rim FG%	2 67.1% 20 62.6%	GSW 68.2% MIA 78.3% +10.1%
Mid FG%	25 41.2% 7 45.3%	GSW 46.2% +20.1% MIA 26.1%
3P %	2 38.5% 27 34.4%	GSW 36.7% MIA 38.1% +1.4%
FT %	9 79.4% 2 83.1%	GSW 76.5% MIA 100.0% +23.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 30.7% 29 29.9%	GSW 26.2% +0.1% MIA 26.1%
Mid Att. %	4 21.4% 24 29.4%	GSW 15.5% −10.7% MIA 26.1%
3P Att. %	3 47.9% 9 40.8%	GSW 58.3% +10.6% MIA 47.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Game Totals	GSW	MIA
Possessions	97	98
Possession Minutes	22.9	25.1
Points	109	116
Rebounds	41	39
Assists	31	32
Steals	8	7
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	20 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls	22	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (3)	30 (4)
Field Goals	39-84	40-88
At-the-Rim FG	15-22	18-23
Midrange FG	6-13	6-23
2-Point FG	21-35	24-46
3-Point FG	18-49	16-42
Free Throws	13-17	20-20
Fast Break Pts	5	3
2nd Chance Pts	13	12
Points in Paint	32	42
Pts off Turnovers	17	28
Bench Points	37	54
Biggest Lead	10	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg