Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Heat	55%	116	99	96.1	103	99.2
	21	Pacers	45%	115	101	100.0	101	106.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	39.6	17	61%	7	3	2	0	3	3	1	6	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	3-7	43%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	38.4	29	60%	5	5	2	0	5	1	0	5	9-9	100%	4-10	40%	4-10	40%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	37.5	10	42%	6	3	2	1	1	3	2	4	7-7	100%	0-3	0%	1-6	17%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	33.9	18	60%	10	4	1	0	5	4	3	7	4-4	100%	7-13	54%	0-1	0%
Caleb Martin #16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 27	27.8	6	60%	4	2	0	1	2	3	1	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%

Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	25.5	15	75%	3	0	3	0	1	5	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-6	50%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	16.6	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-6	0%
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	14.1	4	50%	4	0	0	0	1	2	1	3	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	6.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Tightness
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Impingement
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinosis
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nasal; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	52%	42	17	10	2	19	22	8	34	26-26	100%	20-42	48%	11-39	28%

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12 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	39.6	17	61%	7	3	2	0	3	3	1	6	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	3-7	43%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	38.4	29	60%	5	5	2	0	5	1	0	5	9-9	100%	4-10	40%	4-10	40%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	37.5	10	42%	6	3	2	1	1	3	2	4	7-7	100%	0-3	0%	1-6	17%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	33.9	18	60%	10	4	1	0	5	4	3	7	4-4	100%	7-13	54%	0-1	0%
Caleb Martin #16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 27	27.8	6	60%	4	2	0	1	2	3	1	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%

Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	25.5	15	75%	3	0	3	0	1	5	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-6	50%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	16.6	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-6	0%
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	14.1	4	50%	4	0	0	0	1	2	1	3	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	6.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Tightness
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Impingement
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinosis
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nasal; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	52%	42	17	10	2	19	22	8	34	26-26	100%	20-42	48%	11-39	28%

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21 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Buddy Hield #24 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 30	40.3	25	69%	9	0	2	0	5	1	1	8	0-0	-	5-6	83%	5-12	42%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 23	36.1	22	61%	9	9	2	0	1	1	0	9	1-4	25%	6-8	75%	3-8	38%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	31.4	16	80%	7	1	0	3	3	4	2	5	1-3	33%	6-7	86%	1-2	50%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 23	11.4	0	0%	1	2	0	0	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Chris Duarte #3 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 25	4.8	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	36.7	23	72%	1	2	0	1	3	1	0	1	10-12	83%	2-4	50%	3-7	43%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 23	27.8	4	25%	3	6	0	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-4	0%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31	23.0	4	33%	6	4	2	0	1	1	0	6	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 21	16.6	6	50%	4	0	0	1	2	4	1	3	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 24	11.9	1	17%	2	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 23	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Soreness
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Terry Taylor #21 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trevelin Queen #8 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daniel Theis #27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	56%	42	28	7	5	19	19	5	37	15-23	65%	25-41	61%	12-39	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	IND
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	IND

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.03 51.6%

IND

1.12 56.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

13

23

57%

IND

18

24

75%

Midrange

MIA

7

19

37%

IND

7

17

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

11

16.5

39

28%

42%

IND

12

18.0

39

31%

46%

Free Throws

MIA

26

100%

IND

15

23

65%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Herro	29	60%	14.5 / 24
B. Adebayo	18	60%	9.0 / 15
M. Strus	17	61%	8.5 / 14
G. Vincent	15	75%	7.5 / 10
K. Lowry	10	42%	5.0 / 12
C. Martin	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Dedmon	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Robinson	0	-	0.0 / 7
H. Highsmith	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Hield	25	69%	12.5 / 18
B. Mathurin	23	72%	11.5 / 16
T. Haliburton	22	61%	11.0 / 18
M. Turner	16	80%	8.0 / 10
I. Jackson	6	50%	3.0 / 6
A. Nembhard	4	25%	2.0 / 8
T. McConnell	4	33%	2.0 / 6
O. Brissett	1	17%	0.5 / 3
J. Smith	0	-	0.0 / 3
C. Duarte	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 112.9 20 114.3	MIA 96.1 IND 100.0 +3.9
Pace	29 96.3 5 101.3	MIA 99.2 IND 106.7 +7.5
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.0 28 13.9	MIA 14.5 IND 13.5 −1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 53.0% 16 54.5%	MIA 45.1% IND 53.8% +8.7%
TO %	15 13.2% 21 13.9%	MIA 17.0% −0.4% IND 17.4%
ORB %	21 22.8% 18 23.4%	MIA 17.8% +5.0% IND 12.8%
FTrt	13 27.0 15 26.5	MIA 32.1 +3.3 IND 28.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 60.8% 4 64.3%	MIA 54.8% IND 75.7% +20.9%
STL %	3 8.2% 11 7.6%	MIA 9.7% +2.8% IND 6.9%
BLK %	29 6.3% 3 10.4%	MIA 4.9% IND 11.9% +7.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.9% 18 56.7%	MIA 51.6% IND 56.1% +4.5%
Rim FG%	20 62.6% 28 60.5%	MIA 56.5% IND 75.0% +18.5%
Mid FG%	7 45.3% 17 42.8%	MIA 36.8% IND 41.2% +4.4%
3P %	27 34.4% 11 36.7%	MIA 28.2% IND 30.8% +2.6%
FT %	2 83.1% 13 79.0%	MIA 100.0% +34.8% IND 65.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 29.9% 11 37.2%	MIA 28.4% IND 30.0% +1.6%
Mid Att. %	24 29.4% 5 21.6%	MIA 23.5% IND 21.3% −2.2%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 8 41.2%	MIA 48.1% IND 48.8% +0.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	IND
Possessions	103	101
Possession Minutes	24.9	22.7
Points	99	101
Rebounds	42	42
Assists	17	28
Steals	10	7
Blocks	2	5
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	19 (0)
Fouls	22	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (4)	5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (4)	37 (1)
Field Goals	31-81	37-80
At-the-Rim FG	13-23	18-24
Midrange FG	7-19	7-17
2-Point FG	20-42	25-41
3-Point FG	11-39	12-39
Free Throws	26-26	15-23
Fast Break Pts	9	25
2nd Chance Pts	11	9
Points in Paint	36	46
Pts off Turnovers	20	23
Bench Points	19	38
Biggest Lead	7	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg