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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 4, 2022
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Bulls26%106119
1Celtics74%116123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.7
36.7
33.3
16
56%
7
3
2
1
0
2
1
6
2-3
67%
4-7
4-9
57%
51%
2-6
33%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.2
35.9
30.5
46
70%
3
5
2
1
1
2
0
3
20-22
91%
13-20
7-13
65%
50%
0-3
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 32.0
35.2
30.5
24
86%
12
3
1
1
0
1
3
9
0-0
-
6-9
4-9
67%
51%
4-5
80%
Patrick Williams
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.2
30.3
28.4
7
39%
5
1
0
1
1
4
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
53%
1-4
25%
Ayo Dosunmu
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.8
29.4
28.9
11
69%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
56%
1-1
100%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 28.7
22.6
24.5
5
83%
1
3
0
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 36.5
19.4
16.5
5
28%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
47%
1-4
25%
Javonte Green
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.3
15.8
20.5
5
63%
3
1
2
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
58%
1-3
33%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 25.7
14.8
15.3
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
58%
0-0
-
Dalen Terry
F · 6'7" 195 · 20.3
1.8
0
0-0
47%
Tony Bradley
C · 6'10" 248 · 24.8
1.3
0
0-0
59%
Malcolm Hill
F · 6'6" 220 · 27.0
0.4
0
0-0
67%
Coby White
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.7
Kostas Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 195 · 25.0
Marko Simonovic
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.1
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.0
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 29.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.7
40.0
35.2
36
57%
12
6
1
1
1
1
2
10
17-20
85%
5-13
5-10
38%
53%
3-10
30%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 26.0
33.8
36.4
16
49%
5
2
0
1
0
3
1
4
4-5
80%
6-11
7-12
55%
55%
0-3
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.4
33.4
31.7
11
59%
5
5
0
1
1
1
1
4
2-3
67%
3-3
2-3
100%
56%
1-5
20%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.3
26.2
25.9
7
58%
3
2
1
1
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
1-3
33%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.7
24.5
32.1
12
60%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 29.9
28.9
21.6
25
90%
2
4
0
1
1
4
0
2
7-9
78%
9-10
3-6
90%
52%
0-0
-
Grant Williams
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.9
20.6
24.3
4
67%
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
56%
0-1
0%
Sam Hauser
F · 6'7" 217 · 24.9
18.1
12.6
8
67%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
55%
2-4
50%
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 27.3
14.5
9.4
4
52%
3
1
2
0
2
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
60%
0-1
0%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.2
4.3
0
0-1
54%
Payton Pritchard
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.8
3.7
0
0-0
50%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 33.6
3.5
0
0-1
52%
Justin Jackson
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.6
2.0
0
0-0
50%
Robert Williams III
F · 6'10" 241 · 25.0
JD Davison
G · 6'3" 195 · 20.1
Mfiondu Kabengele
F · 6'10" 256 · 25.2
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 34.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.