Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, November 4, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Bucks	52%	114	115	109.5	105	104.4
	9	Timberwolves	48%	113	102	99.0	103	103.5

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

+10

-13

102

MIN

+11

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.13 56.4%

MIN

1.04 52.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

4 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jrue Holiday #21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 32	33.6	29	60%	8	6	2	0	0	0	1	7	1-1	100%	8-13	62%	4-11	36%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 28	33.6	26	48%	14	11	0	0	4	3	0	14	10-20	50%	5-13	38%	2-4	50%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 35	32.7	7	50%	8	0	0	1	2	4	3	5	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Grayson Allen #12 · SF · 6'3" 198 · 27	29.9	10	83%	5	2	2	0	2	2	3	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Jevon Carter #5 · SG · 6'0" 190 · 27	19.7	6	100%	1	2	1	1	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%

Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 28	30.4	18	60%	8	5	0	0	1	1	0	8	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	2-6	33%
MarJon Beauchamp #0 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 22	18.4	14	70%	5	0	0	0	2	2	0	5	0-1	0%	4-6	67%	2-4	50%
George Hill #3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 37	17.9	2	33%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 24	13.1	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Wesley Matthews #23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 36	10.2	3	150%	1	1	1	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 30	0.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Serge Ibaka #25 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nasal; Fracture Surgery
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Concussion Protocol
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Ligament Surgery
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	56%	51	29	7	2	13	22	7	44	16-28	57%	24-47	51%	17-38	45%

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4 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jrue Holiday #21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 32	33.6	29	60%	8	6	2	0	0	0	1	7	1-1	100%	8-13	62%	4-11	36%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 28	33.6	26	48%	14	11	0	0	4	3	0	14	10-20	50%	5-13	38%	2-4	50%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 35	32.7	7	50%	8	0	0	1	2	4	3	5	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Grayson Allen #12 · SF · 6'3" 198 · 27	29.9	10	83%	5	2	2	0	2	2	3	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Jevon Carter #5 · SG · 6'0" 190 · 27	19.7	6	100%	1	2	1	1	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%

Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 28	30.4	18	60%	8	5	0	0	1	1	0	8	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	2-6	33%
MarJon Beauchamp #0 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 22	18.4	14	70%	5	0	0	0	2	2	0	5	0-1	0%	4-6	67%	2-4	50%
George Hill #3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 37	17.9	2	33%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 24	13.1	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Wesley Matthews #23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 36	10.2	3	150%	1	1	1	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 30	0.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Serge Ibaka #25 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nasal; Fracture Surgery
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Concussion Protocol
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Ligament Surgery
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	56%	51	29	7	2	13	22	7	44	16-28	57%	24-47	51%	17-38	45%

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9 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 27	37.1	22	58%	11	5	0	0	2	6	2	9	1-1	100%	6-10	60%	3-9	33%
Anthony Edwards #1 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 21	37.0	24	63%	3	3	1	0	3	4	1	2	1-2	50%	7-10	70%	3-9	33%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 30	30.5	7	58%	13	0	1	1	0	4	4	9	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
D'Angelo Russell #0 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 27	27.2	9	28%	3	4	0	0	3	0	1	2	1-2	50%	1-7	14%	2-8	25%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	18.5	9	90%	2	1	0	1	4	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-1	100%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 23	22.0	8	50%	5	0	0	1	1	3	0	5	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Kyle Anderson #5 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 29	20.5	4	50%	3	3	0	1	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jaylen Nowell #4 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 23	17.2	13	54%	3	3	0	0	1	3	0	3	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
Taurean Prince #12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 29	15.1	6	43%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 27	14.9	0	0%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Bryn Forbes #10 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Austin Rivers #25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nathan Knight #13 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	52%	47	22	2	4	16	25	10	37	13-17	76%	28-51	55%	11-41	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	MIN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.13 56.4%

MIN

1.04 52.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

71%

MIN

68%

Midrange

MIL

30%

MIN

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

25.5

45%

67%

MIN

16.5

27%

40%

Free Throws

MIL

57%

MIN

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Holiday	29	60%	14.5 / 24
G. Antetokounmpo	26	48%	13.0 / 27
B. Portis	18	60%	9.0 / 15
M. Beauchamp	14	70%	7.0 / 10
G. Allen	10	83%	5.0 / 6
B. Lopez	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Carter	6	100%	3.0 / 3
W. Matthews	3	150%	1.5 / 1
G. Hill	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Nwora	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	24	63%	12.0 / 19
K. Towns	22	58%	11.0 / 19
J. Nowell	13	54%	6.5 / 12
D. Russell	9	28%	4.5 / 16
J. McDaniels	9	90%	4.5 / 5
N. Reid	8	50%	4.0 / 8
R. Gobert	7	58%	3.5 / 6
T. Prince	6	43%	3.0 / 7
K. Anderson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. McLaughlin	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 114.9 23 113.7	MIL 109.5 +10.5 MIN 99.0
Pace	9 101.0 10 101.0	MIL 104.4 +1.0 MIN 103.5
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.4 21 14.2	MIL 13.8 −0.1 MIN 13.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.5% 8 56.0%	MIL 58.2% +9.8% MIN 48.4%
TO %	19 13.6% 27 14.5%	MIL 11.8% −2.1% MIN 13.9%
ORB %	9 25.0% 27 21.5%	MIL 15.9% MIN 18.5% +2.6%
FTrt	25 24.8 12 27.0	MIL 32.9 +14.4 MIN 18.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 60.4% 12 61.0%	MIL 70.7% +14.3% MIN 56.4%
STL %	28 6.2% 7 7.9%	MIL 6.7% +4.8% MIN 1.9%
BLK %	18 8.3% 6 9.8%	MIL 3.9% MIN 8.5% +4.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.9% 8 58.0%	MIL 56.4% +4.4% MIN 52.0%
Rim FG%	6 65.3% 9 64.9%	MIL 70.8% +2.8% MIN 68.0%
Mid FG%	16 42.9% 14 43.2%	MIL 30.4% MIN 42.3% +11.9%
3P %	10 36.8% 13 36.5%	MIL 44.7% +17.9% MIN 26.8%
FT %	29 74.3% 24 75.5%	MIL 57.1% MIN 76.5% +19.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 31.6% 5 38.7%	MIL 28.2% +1.1% MIN 27.2%
Mid Att. %	10 23.8% 8 23.2%	MIL 27.1% −1.2% MIN 28.3%
3P Att. %	4 44.6% 14 38.1%	MIL 44.7% +0.1% MIN 44.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	MIN
Possessions	105	103
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	115	102
Rebounds	51	47
Assists	29	22
Steals	7	2
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls	22	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (3)	10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	44 (2)	37 (4)
Field Goals	41-85	39-92
At-the-Rim FG	17-24	17-25
Midrange FG	7-23	11-26
2-Point FG	24-47	28-51
3-Point FG	17-38	11-41
Free Throws	16-28	13-17
Fast Break Pts	13	13
2nd Chance Pts	12	9
Points in Paint	40	42
Pts off Turnovers	24	12
Bench Points	37	31
Biggest Lead	22	1

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg