Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, November 5, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Spurs	18%	116	101	103.1	98	100.5
	2	Nuggets	82%	129	126	128.6	98	95.6

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

-15

DEN

+13

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.11 55.5%

DEN

1.33 66.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	31.1	25	74%	3	4	0	0	3	0	0	3	5-6	83%	4-7	57%	4-7	57%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 27	28.6	14	54%	8	2	1	1	2	2	3	5	0-2	0%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 19	24.2	5	125%	2	1	1	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	24.2	4	29%	0	7	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 19	22.6	4	29%	2	2	1	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-4	0%

Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 22	24.7	20	77%	4	4	1	1	1	1	0	4	2-3	67%	3-6	50%	4-6	67%
Josh Richardson #7 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 29	19.0	8	57%	1	3	0	0	2	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 27	18.4	8	67%	3	1	2	0	1	0	2	1	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Roby #18 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	16.2	7	44%	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	4	1-3	33%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	15.9	1	10%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-3	33%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Gorgui Dieng #41 · C · 6'11" 251 · 33	10.3	5	83%	1	1	1	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Jordan Hall #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 21	4.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left MCL; Sprain
Romeo Langford #35 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left 5th Toe; Soreness
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	56%	28	28	8	3	15	13	6	22	11-19	58%	27-50	54%	12-30	40%

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23 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	31.1	25	74%	3	4	0	0	3	0	0	3	5-6	83%	4-7	57%	4-7	57%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 27	28.6	14	54%	8	2	1	1	2	2	3	5	0-2	0%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 19	24.2	5	125%	2	1	1	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	24.2	4	29%	0	7	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 19	22.6	4	29%	2	2	1	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-4	0%

Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 22	24.7	20	77%	4	4	1	1	1	1	0	4	2-3	67%	3-6	50%	4-6	67%
Josh Richardson #7 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 29	19.0	8	57%	1	3	0	0	2	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 27	18.4	8	67%	3	1	2	0	1	0	2	1	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Roby #18 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	16.2	7	44%	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	4	1-3	33%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	15.9	1	10%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-3	33%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Gorgui Dieng #41 · C · 6'11" 251 · 33	10.3	5	83%	1	1	1	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Jordan Hall #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 21	4.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left MCL; Sprain
Romeo Langford #35 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left 5th Toe; Soreness
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	56%	28	28	8	3	15	13	6	22	11-19	58%	27-50	54%	12-30	40%

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2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24	29.8	15	75%	9	0	1	0	2	3	1	8	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-6	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	27.0	12	86%	1	3	4	0	2	3	0	1	0-3	0%	3-3	100%	2-3	67%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	26.6	21	95%	6	10	2	0	4	2	0	6	2-2	100%	8-9	89%	1-1	100%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	23.0	13	65%	1	9	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-3	33%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	22.6	8	57%	6	2	0	0	0	1	2	4	0-2	0%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%

Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	25.4	9	56%	4	1	0	0	4	1	2	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	25.0	24	71%	5	7	2	0	1	0	1	4	0-0	-	3-9	33%	6-8	75%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	20.0	9	45%	3	3	1	0	0	2	1	2	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	0-3	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	16.6	10	83%	8	1	0	0	1	3	2	6	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	14.4	2	25%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	4.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	4.8	3	150%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	66%	47	37	10	0	16	15	10	37	5-10	50%	38-58	66%	15-29	52%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.11 55.5%

DEN

1.33 66.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

75%

DEN

74%

Midrange

SAS

35%

DEN

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

18.0

40%

60%

DEN

22.5

52%

78%

Free Throws

SAS

58%

DEN

50%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Johnson	25	74%	12.5 / 17
D. Vassell	20	77%	10.0 / 13
J. Poeltl	14	54%	7.0 / 13
J. Richardson	8	57%	4.0 / 7
K. Bates-Diop	8	67%	4.0 / 6
I. Roby	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Sochan	5	125%	2.5 / 2
G. Dieng	5	83%	2.5 / 3
T. Jones	4	29%	2.0 / 7
M. Branham	4	29%	2.0 / 7
D. McDermott	1	10%	0.5 / 5
J. Hall	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Hyland	24	71%	12.0 / 17
N. Jokić	21	95%	10.5 / 11
M. Porter	15	75%	7.5 / 10
J. Murray	13	65%	6.5 / 10
K. Caldwell-Pope	12	86%	6.0 / 7
D. Jordan	10	83%	5.0 / 6
J. Green	9	56%	4.5 / 8
B. Brown	9	45%	4.5 / 10
A. Gordon	8	57%	4.0 / 7
V. Cancar	3	150%	1.5 / 1
C. Braun	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 110.2 5 117.1	SAS 103.1 DEN 128.6 +25.5
Pace	2 101.7 21 98.5	SAS 100.5 +4.9 DEN 95.6
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.0 13 14.7	SAS 14.3 −0.7 DEN 15.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 52.5% 1 57.3%	SAS 56.3% DEN 69.5% +13.2%
TO %	24 14.4% 22 14.0%	SAS 14.5% −2.0% DEN 16.5%
ORB %	7 25.6% 13 24.8%	SAS 14.0% DEN 31.3% +17.3%
FTrt	29 22.9 19 25.9	SAS 23.8 +12.3 DEN 11.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 63.2% 2 66.3%	SAS 71.8% +2.0% DEN 69.8%
STL %	23 6.8% 9 7.6%	SAS 8.2% DEN 10.2% +2.0%
BLK %	28 6.7% 19 8.3%	SAS 5.2% +5.2% DEN 0.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 54.3% 5 58.7%	SAS 55.5% DEN 66.3% +10.8%
Rim FG%	25 61.3% 3 66.5%	SAS 75.0% +0.7% DEN 74.3%
Mid FG%	23 42.3% 13 43.4%	SAS 34.6% DEN 52.2% +17.6%
3P %	26 34.5% 4 37.9%	SAS 40.0% DEN 51.7% +11.7%
FT %	28 74.3% 26 75.1%	SAS 57.9% +7.9% DEN 50.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 36.7% 2 39.0%	SAS 30.0% DEN 40.2% +10.2%
Mid Att. %	22 28.6% 12 24.9%	SAS 32.5% DEN 26.4% −6.1%
3P Att. %	27 34.8% 21 36.1%	SAS 37.5% +4.2% DEN 33.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	DEN
Possessions	98	98
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	101	126
Rebounds	28	47
Assists	28	37
Steals	8	10
Blocks	3	0
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	16 (2)
Fouls	13	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (2)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	22 (2)	37 (1)
Field Goals	39-80	53-87
At-the-Rim FG	18-24	26-35
Midrange FG	9-26	12-23
2-Point FG	27-50	38-58
3-Point FG	12-30	15-29
Free Throws	11-19	5-10
Fast Break Pts	8	26
2nd Chance Pts	9	8
Points in Paint	54	60
Pts off Turnovers	22	21
Bench Points	49	57
Biggest Lead	3	31

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg