Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Blazers	25%	104	110	115.8	95	97.0
	2	Heat	75%	114	107	113.8	94	92.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Josh Hart #11 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	36.9	12	75%	9	8	2	0	5	3	0	9	5-7	71%	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 29	35.0	23	77%	6	2	0	1	3	3	1	5	0-0	-	4-7	57%	5-8	63%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	34.5	19	63%	3	6	0	0	4	2	0	3	8-9	89%	1-4	25%	3-8	38%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 23	31.6	25	60%	0	4	1	0	3	1	0	0	3-3	100%	5-8	63%	4-12	33%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 28	28.6	4	67%	11	3	2	0	2	3	1	10	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Justise Winslow #26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	28.6	12	75%	2	2	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	6-7	86%	0-1	0%
Drew Eubanks #24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26	13.1	2	50%	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Trendon Watford #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	13.0	2	33%	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 19	12.0	5	125%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Nassir Little #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	6.8	6	100%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Keon Johnson #6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Greg Brown III #4 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gary Payton II #00 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 30	INACTIVE
John Butler Jr. #21 · C · 7'1" 190 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Olivier Sarr #33 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	67%	37	27	7	2	18	16	4	33	18-21	86%	22-35	63%	16-37	43%

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24 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Josh Hart #11 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	36.9	12	75%	9	8	2	0	5	3	0	9	5-7	71%	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 29	35.0	23	77%	6	2	0	1	3	3	1	5	0-0	-	4-7	57%	5-8	63%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	34.5	19	63%	3	6	0	0	4	2	0	3	8-9	89%	1-4	25%	3-8	38%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 23	31.6	25	60%	0	4	1	0	3	1	0	0	3-3	100%	5-8	63%	4-12	33%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 28	28.6	4	67%	11	3	2	0	2	3	1	10	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Justise Winslow #26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	28.6	12	75%	2	2	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	6-7	86%	0-1	0%
Drew Eubanks #24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26	13.1	2	50%	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Trendon Watford #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	13.0	2	33%	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 19	12.0	5	125%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Nassir Little #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	6.8	6	100%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Keon Johnson #6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Greg Brown III #4 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gary Payton II #00 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 30	INACTIVE
John Butler Jr. #21 · C · 7'1" 190 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Olivier Sarr #33 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	67%	37	27	7	2	18	16	4	33	18-21	86%	22-35	63%	16-37	43%

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2 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	34.8	15	94%	7	8	0	0	3	4	0	7	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	4-6	67%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	34.8	10	45%	5	1	1	0	0	0	3	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-5	0%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	33.4	16	57%	5	3	1	1	1	1	2	3	0-1	0%	8-14	57%	0-0	-
Jimmy Butler III #22 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	33.2	16	47%	4	7	6	0	2	3	0	4	6-6	100%	5-13	38%	0-1	0%
Max Strus #31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	25.2	16	80%	0	2	1	0	0	5	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-8	50%

Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	35.5	15	54%	1	3	2	1	3	3	0	1	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	3-9	33%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	28.5	9	50%	4	3	0	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-9	33%
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	14.6	10	71%	6	1	0	0	0	0	0	6	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinosis
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Impingement
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	56%	32	28	11	2	10	18	5	27	13-15	87%	26-45	58%	14-39	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.34 67.1%

MIA

1.13 56.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

12

21

57%

MIA

18

28

64%

Midrange

POR

10

14

71%

MIA

8

17

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

16

24.0

37

43%

65%

MIA

14

21.0

39

36%

54%

Free Throws

POR

18

21

86%

MIA

13

15

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Simons	25	60%	12.5 / 21
J. Grant	23	77%	11.5 / 15
D. Lillard	19	63%	9.5 / 15
J. Hart	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. Winslow	12	75%	6.0 / 8
N. Little	6	100%	3.0 / 3
S. Sharpe	5	125%	2.5 / 2
J. Nurkić	4	67%	2.0 / 3
D. Eubanks	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Watford	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	16	57%	8.0 / 14
J. Butler	16	47%	8.0 / 17
M. Strus	16	80%	8.0 / 10
K. Lowry	15	94%	7.5 / 8
G. Vincent	15	54%	7.5 / 14
C. Martin	10	45%	5.0 / 11
D. Dedmon	10	71%	5.0 / 7
D. Robinson	9	50%	4.5 / 9

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.6 25 112.9	POR 115.8 +2.0 MIA 113.8
Pace	18 98.7 29 96.3	POR 97.0 +4.9 MIA 92.1
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.7 5 15.0	POR 14.8 −0.8 MIA 15.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 54.9% 25 53.0%	POR 63.9% +7.9% MIA 56.0%
TO %	20 13.8% 15 13.2%	POR 19.0% MIA 11.7% −7.3%
ORB %	24 22.4% 21 22.8%	POR 12.9% MIA 13.2% +0.3%
FTrt	6 28.9 13 27.0	POR 29.2 +11.3 MIA 17.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 59.7% 14 60.8%	POR 71.1% +1.1% MIA 70.0%
STL %	24 6.8% 3 8.2%	POR 7.4% MIA 11.7% +4.3%
BLK %	17 8.4% 29 6.3%	POR 4.4% MIA 5.7% +1.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.5% 22 55.9%	POR 67.1% +10.8% MIA 56.3%
Rim FG%	22 62.3% 20 62.6%	POR 57.1% MIA 64.3% +7.2%
Mid FG%	24 42.2% 7 45.3%	POR 71.4% +24.3% MIA 47.1%
3P %	14 36.5% 27 34.4%	POR 43.2% +7.3% MIA 35.9%
FT %	8 79.6% 2 83.1%	POR 85.7% MIA 86.7% +1.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 37.5% 29 29.9%	POR 29.2% MIA 33.3% +4.2%
Mid Att. %	3 21.2% 24 29.4%	POR 19.4% −0.8% MIA 20.2%
3P Att. %	7 41.3% 9 40.8%	POR 51.4% +5.0% MIA 46.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	MIA
Possessions	95	94
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	110	107
Rebounds	37	32
Assists	27	28
Steals	7	11
Blocks	2	2
Turnovers (Team)	18 (1)	10 (2)
Fouls	16	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	4 (1)	5 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (4)	27 (3)
Field Goals	38-72	40-84
At-the-Rim FG	12-21	18-28
Midrange FG	10-14	8-17
2-Point FG	22-35	26-45
3-Point FG	16-37	14-39
Free Throws	18-21	13-15
Fast Break Pts	13	16
2nd Chance Pts	10	6
Points in Paint	38	40
Pts off Turnovers	17	24
Bench Points	27	34
Biggest Lead	7	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg