Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Nuggets	68%	125	115	111.7	103	99.6
	23	Spurs	32%	118	109	105.8	103	107.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	34.0	26	59%	8	10	2	3	4	2	1	7	4-5	80%	11-19	58%	0-1	0%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	31.6	19	53%	5	6	1	0	4	1	1	4	1-3	33%	9-14	64%	0-3	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	31.6	11	69%	4	3	3	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24	30.3	24	75%	6	2	1	0	0	2	0	6	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	4-8	50%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	29.7	9	64%	5	5	4	1	0	1	2	3	3-5	60%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	24.7	2	20%	0	3	1	2	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	23.4	14	64%	2	1	2	0	5	3	0	2	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	3-5	60%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	18.1	6	60%	2	1	0	1	1	1	1	1	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	14.1	4	67%	8	1	0	0	2	1	3	5	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	2.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	58%	40	33	14	7	20	14	8	32	13-20	65%	39-64	61%	8-24	33%

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4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	34.0	26	59%	8	10	2	3	4	2	1	7	4-5	80%	11-19	58%	0-1	0%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	31.6	19	53%	5	6	1	0	4	1	1	4	1-3	33%	9-14	64%	0-3	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	31.6	11	69%	4	3	3	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24	30.3	24	75%	6	2	1	0	0	2	0	6	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	4-8	50%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	29.7	9	64%	5	5	4	1	0	1	2	3	3-5	60%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	24.7	2	20%	0	3	1	2	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	23.4	14	64%	2	1	2	0	5	3	0	2	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	3-5	60%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	18.1	6	60%	2	1	0	1	1	1	1	1	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	14.1	4	67%	8	1	0	0	2	1	3	5	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	2.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	58%	40	33	14	7	20	14	8	32	13-20	65%	39-64	61%	8-24	33%

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23 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	35.7	30	75%	5	2	2	0	6	2	1	4	1-2	50%	7-9	78%	5-11	45%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 22	34.1	17	47%	3	4	2	0	3	0	0	3	2-3	67%	3-9	33%	3-8	38%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	33.4	20	77%	3	9	3	0	3	3	1	2	1-1	100%	8-11	73%	1-2	50%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 27	31.8	4	50%	7	9	2	3	3	1	0	7	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 19	28.4	2	25%	4	2	2	1	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%

Josh Richardson #7 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 29	27.7	22	85%	3	3	1	0	6	3	1	2	4-5	80%	6-6	100%	2-5	40%
Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	19.1	9	56%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 22	15.7	3	38%	8	1	1	1	1	3	3	5	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 27	12.0	2	25%	4	0	1	0	2	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Roby #18 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Malaki Branham #22 · SF · 6'4" 180 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gorgui Dieng #41 · C · 6'11" 251 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Hall #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left MCL; Sprain
Romeo Langford #35 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left 5th Toe; Soreness
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	61%	38	31	14	5	24	17	10	28	11-18	61%	31-49	63%	12-33	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.16 58.1%

SAS

1.21 60.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

23

34

68%

SAS

20

26

77%

Midrange

DEN

16

30

53%

SAS

11

23

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

8

12.0

24

33%

50%

SAS

12

18.0

33

36%

55%

Free Throws

DEN

13

20

65%

SAS

11

18

61%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	26	59%	13.0 / 22
M. Porter	24	75%	12.0 / 16
J. Murray	19	53%	9.5 / 18
B. Hyland	14	64%	7.0 / 11
K. Caldwell-Pope	11	69%	5.5 / 8
A. Gordon	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Green	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Jordan	4	67%	2.0 / 3
B. Brown	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Johnson	30	75%	15.0 / 20
J. Richardson	22	85%	11.0 / 13
T. Jones	20	77%	10.0 / 13
D. Vassell	17	47%	8.5 / 18
D. McDermott	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. Poeltl	4	50%	2.0 / 4
C. Bassey	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Sochan	2	25%	1.0 / 4
K. Bates-Diop	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.1 29 110.2	DEN 111.7 +5.8 SAS 105.8
Pace	21 98.5 2 101.7	DEN 99.6 SAS 107.9 +8.3
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.7 26 14.0	DEN 14.5 SAS 13.3 −1.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.3% 26 52.5%	DEN 58.0% SAS 59.8% +1.8%
TO %	22 14.0% 24 14.4%	DEN 18.5% −2.6% SAS 21.1%
ORB %	13 24.8% 7 25.6%	DEN 22.2% SAS 23.8% +1.6%
FTrt	19 25.9 29 22.9	DEN 22.7 +0.7 SAS 22.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 66.3% 6 63.2%	DEN 70.2% SAS 72.1% +1.9%
STL %	9 7.6% 23 6.8%	DEN 13.6% SAS 13.6%
BLK %	19 8.3% 28 6.7%	DEN 14.3% +6.5% SAS 7.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.7% 28 54.3%	DEN 58.1% SAS 60.6% +2.5%
Rim FG%	3 66.5% 25 61.3%	DEN 67.6% SAS 76.9% +9.3%
Mid FG%	13 43.4% 23 42.3%	DEN 53.3% +5.5% SAS 47.8%
3P %	4 37.9% 26 34.5%	DEN 33.3% SAS 36.4% +3.1%
FT %	26 75.1% 28 74.3%	DEN 65.0% +3.9% SAS 61.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 39.0% 12 36.7%	DEN 38.6% +6.9% SAS 31.7%
Mid Att. %	12 24.9% 22 28.6%	DEN 34.1% SAS 28.0% −6.0%
3P Att. %	21 36.1% 27 34.8%	DEN 27.3% SAS 40.2% +13.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	SAS
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	24.8	22.9
Points	115	109
Rebounds	40	38
Assists	33	31
Steals	14	14
Blocks	7	5
Turnovers (Team)	20 (2)	24 (0)
Fouls	14	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (8)	10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (0)	28 (1)
Field Goals	47-88	43-82
At-the-Rim FG	23-34	20-26
Midrange FG	16-30	11-23
2-Point FG	39-64	31-49
3-Point FG	8-24	12-33
Free Throws	13-20	11-18
Fast Break Pts	18	16
2nd Chance Pts	11	16
Points in Paint	62	54
Pts off Turnovers	35	24
Bench Points	26	36
Biggest Lead	11	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg