Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Nuggets	59%	124	122	111.9	109	102.6
	19	Pacers	41%	120	119	108.2	110	118.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 24	36.3	17	61%	6	2	0	1	1	0	2	4	0-0	-	4-7	57%	3-7	43%
Aaron Gordon #50 · SF · 6'8" 235 · 27	34.4	18	75%	16	6	1	1	5	2	4	12	7-9	78%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	31.4	15	94%	8	2	2	0	3	0	1	7	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-4	75%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	29.8	18	53%	8	4	3	0	3	0	3	5	5-5	100%	5-13	38%	1-2	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	20.7	24	57%	4	6	2	1	1	5	1	3	3-3	100%	9-17	53%	1-3	33%

Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	29.8	16	53%	2	3	1	1	2	2	0	2	5-5	100%	1-6	17%	3-7	43%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	21.6	2	20%	1	3	1	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	18.5	4	67%	0	0	0	1	1	4	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	17.6	8	100%	2	1	0	1	3	0	0	2	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	60%	47	27	10	7	20	15	11	36	24-26	92%	31-60	52%	12-28	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 24	36.3	17	61%	6	2	0	1	1	0	2	4	0-0	-	4-7	57%	3-7	43%
Aaron Gordon #50 · SF · 6'8" 235 · 27	34.4	18	75%	16	6	1	1	5	2	4	12	7-9	78%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	31.4	15	94%	8	2	2	0	3	0	1	7	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-4	75%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	29.8	18	53%	8	4	3	0	3	0	3	5	5-5	100%	5-13	38%	1-2	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	20.7	24	57%	4	6	2	1	1	5	1	3	3-3	100%	9-17	53%	1-3	33%

Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	29.8	16	53%	2	3	1	1	2	2	0	2	5-5	100%	1-6	17%	3-7	43%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	21.6	2	20%	1	3	1	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	18.5	4	67%	0	0	0	1	1	4	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	17.6	8	100%	2	1	0	1	3	0	0	2	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	60%	47	27	10	7	20	15	11	36	24-26	92%	31-60	52%	12-28	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

19 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Buddy Hield #24 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 30	34.1	17	53%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	2-9	22%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 23	33.2	21	70%	1	12	3	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	6-7	86%	3-8	38%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 23	28.9	8	67%	4	4	2	0	4	2	0	4	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	25.7	14	54%	11	2	1	3	0	5	2	9	4-5	80%	5-7	71%	0-4	0%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 23	18.1	6	33%	5	1	0	0	2	1	1	4	0-0	-	0-4	0%	2-5	40%

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	24.7	30	79%	2	0	1	0	4	3	0	2	4-6	67%	4-8	50%	6-9	67%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 23	22.4	0	0%	3	3	1	1	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 21	17.7	17	85%	10	1	0	1	2	3	4	6	5-6	83%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31	16.7	2	25%	3	4	1	0	1	4	2	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 24	11.8	2	50%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 23	6.7	2	25%	1	1	0	0	2	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Terry Taylor #21 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trevelin Queen #8 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chris Duarte #3 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Daniel Theis #27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	56%	44	28	9	5	18	23	11	33	15-19	79%	31-54	57%	14-42	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	IND
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.20 59.8%

IND

1.12 56.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

19

35

54%

IND

22

37

59%

Midrange

DEN

12

25

48%

IND

9

17

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

12

18.0

28

43%

64%

IND

14

21.0

42

33%

50%

Free Throws

DEN

24

26

92%

IND

15

19

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	24	57%	12.0 / 21
A. Gordon	18	75%	9.0 / 12
J. Murray	18	53%	9.0 / 17
M. Porter	17	61%	8.5 / 14
B. Hyland	16	53%	8.0 / 15
K. Caldwell-Pope	15	94%	7.5 / 8
D. Jordan	8	100%	4.0 / 4
J. Green	4	67%	2.0 / 3
B. Brown	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Mathurin	30	79%	15.0 / 19
T. Haliburton	21	70%	10.5 / 15
B. Hield	17	53%	8.5 / 16
I. Jackson	17	85%	8.5 / 10
M. Turner	14	54%	7.0 / 13
A. Nembhard	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Smith	6	33%	3.0 / 9
T. McConnell	2	25%	1.0 / 4
O. Brissett	2	50%	1.0 / 2
G. Bitadze	2	25%	1.0 / 4
A. Nesmith	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.1 20 114.3	DEN 111.9 +3.7 IND 108.2
Pace	21 98.5 5 101.3	DEN 102.6 IND 118.9 +16.3
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.7 28 13.9	DEN 14.0 IND 12.1 −1.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.3% 16 54.5%	DEN 55.7% +1.5% IND 54.2%
TO %	22 14.0% 21 13.9%	DEN 18.1% IND 14.7% −3.4%
ORB %	13 24.8% 18 23.4%	DEN 25.0% +1.6% IND 23.4%
FTrt	19 25.9 15 26.5	DEN 29.5 +9.7 IND 19.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 66.3% 4 64.3%	DEN 62.8% +0.6% IND 62.2%
STL %	9 7.6% 11 7.6%	DEN 9.2% +1.0% IND 8.2%
BLK %	19 8.3% 3 10.4%	DEN 13.0% +4.7% IND 8.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.7% 18 56.7%	DEN 59.8% +3.7% IND 56.1%
Rim FG%	3 66.5% 28 60.5%	DEN 54.3% IND 59.5% +5.2%
Mid FG%	13 43.4% 17 42.8%	DEN 48.0% IND 52.9% +4.9%
3P %	4 37.9% 11 36.7%	DEN 42.9% +9.6% IND 33.3%
FT %	26 75.1% 13 79.0%	DEN 92.3% +13.4% IND 78.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 39.0% 11 37.2%	DEN 39.8% +1.2% IND 38.5%
Mid Att. %	12 24.9% 5 21.6%	DEN 28.4% IND 17.7% −10.7%
3P Att. %	21 36.1% 8 41.2%	DEN 31.8% IND 43.8% +11.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	IND
Possessions	109	110
Possession Minutes	25.5	22.2
Points	122	119
Rebounds	47	44
Assists	27	28
Steals	10	9
Blocks	7	5
Turnovers (Team)	20 (2)	18 (0)
Fouls	15	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (2)	11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (3)	33 (1)
Field Goals	43-88	45-96
At-the-Rim FG	19-35	22-37
Midrange FG	12-25	9-17
2-Point FG	31-60	31-54
3-Point FG	12-28	14-42
Free Throws	24-26	15-19
Fast Break Pts	18	12
2nd Chance Pts	16	14
Points in Paint	54	52
Pts off Turnovers	26	15
Bench Points	30	53
Biggest Lead	12	18

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg