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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 10, 2022
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Hornets19%103112
2Heat81%116117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.7
43.4
34.4
22
41%
8
3
0
1
0
1
3
5
3-4
75%
5-15
5-10
33%
48%
3-10
30%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.7
38.8
26.8
13
92%
15
5
0
1
0
3
2
13
5-7
71%
4-4
3-6
100%
60%
0-0
-
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.9
38.7
30.5
29
73%
7
2
2
1
1
3
0
7
0-0
-
4-7
4-7
57%
52%
7-13
54%
P.J. Washington
F · 6'7" 236 · 24.2
34.8
31.0
9
46%
5
0
0
1
0
4
0
5
0-2
0%
3-6
4-7
50%
52%
1-3
33%
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.0
33.5
28.3
12
67%
2
8
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
6-6
3-7
100%
44%
0-3
0%
Jalen McDaniels
F · 6'10" 192 · 24.8
34.2
24.1
16
74%
4
4
0
1
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
51%
3-5
60%
James Bouknight
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.1
17.2
20.3
1
9%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-4
0%
Nick Richards
C · 6'11" 245 · 24.9
14.2
17.8
10
94%
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
2
2-3
67%
4-4
3-5
100%
56%
0-0
-
Theo Maledon
G · 6'5" 175 · 21.4
7.6
11.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-1
0%
JT Thor
F · 6'9" 203 · 20.2
2.6
11.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Bryce McGowens
G · 6'6" 175 · 20.0
3.3
0
0-1
48%
Kai Jones
C-F · 6'10" 221 · 21.8
2.3
0
0-0
50%
Mark Williams
C · 7'0" 240 · 20.9
1.9
0
0-0
51%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 32.6
LaMelo Ball
G · 6'8" 180 · 21.2
Cody Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 33.2
42.3
33.8
35
68%
10
8
2
2
0
2
3
7
13-15
87%
11-18
6-12
61%
54%
0-1
0%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
39.7
29.6
12
40%
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
60%
2-11
18%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 36.6
38.8
34.0
10
73%
3
3
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
52%
2-5
40%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 25.3
38.6
33.2
18
51%
14
4
2
1
0
5
2
12
6-6
100%
6-14
7-12
43%
59%
0-1
0%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.1
30.8
29.3
9
51%
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
55%
2-4
50%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
37.8
29.9
12
47%
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
52%
2-7
29%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.6
22.6
23.2
14
62%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
3-4
1-2
75%
59%
2-6
33%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 33.2
14.4
13.0
7
45%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-4
25%
3-5
2-3
60%
61%
0-1
0%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.9
2.7
0
0-0
52%
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 19.4
2.2
0
0-0
55%
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.9
1.4
0
0-0
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 42.4
0.9
0
0-0
47%
Jamal Cain
F · 6'7" 191 · 23.6
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.4
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.5
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.