Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Nuggets	35%	113	112	120.4	93	94.7
	1	Celtics	65%	118	131	140.9	93	91.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 26	34.7	14	39%	4	10	0	0	0	2	0	4	1-2	50%	5-12	42%	1-5	20%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · PG · 6'5" 204 · 30	33.5	15	68%	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-4	0%	5-7	71%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	30.4	17	65%	7	2	0	0	0	3	3	4	4-6	67%	5-8	63%	1-2	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	29.7	29	66%	8	3	0	0	2	4	3	5	3-4	75%	10-16	63%	2-4	50%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24	25.1	7	35%	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-6	17%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	36.7	16	50%	10	6	2	0	1	1	5	5	5-5	100%	4-12	33%	1-2	50%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	21.1	7	70%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	13.3	2	100%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	9.2	2	50%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	2.1	3	150%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	2.0	0	0%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	NWT - Health and Safety Protocols
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ish Smith #4 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	54%	38	26	3	1	5	16	11	27	16-20	80%	30-63	48%	12-29	41%

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5 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 26	34.7	14	39%	4	10	0	0	0	2	0	4	1-2	50%	5-12	42%	1-5	20%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · PG · 6'5" 204 · 30	33.5	15	68%	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-4	0%	5-7	71%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	30.4	17	65%	7	2	0	0	0	3	3	4	4-6	67%	5-8	63%	1-2	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	29.7	29	66%	8	3	0	0	2	4	3	5	3-4	75%	10-16	63%	2-4	50%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24	25.1	7	35%	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-6	17%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	36.7	16	50%	10	6	2	0	1	1	5	5	5-5	100%	4-12	33%	1-2	50%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	21.1	7	70%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	13.3	2	100%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	9.2	2	50%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	2.1	3	150%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	2.0	0	0%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	NWT - Health and Safety Protocols
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ish Smith #4 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	54%	38	26	3	1	5	16	11	27	16-20	80%	30-63	48%	12-29	41%

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1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jayson Tatum #0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 25	37.3	34	71%	8	5	0	0	1	4	0	8	10-11	91%	9-14	64%	2-7	29%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SG · 6'6" 223 · 26	34.8	25	83%	8	8	0	0	3	3	0	8	0-0	-	8-11	73%	3-4	75%
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 36	34.4	21	81%	7	2	1	0	0	0	0	7	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	6-8	75%
Grant Williams #12 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 24	32.3	13	81%	4	4	1	1	0	3	1	3	1-3	33%	3-3	100%	2-5	40%
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 29	23.8	4	50%	0	4	0	0	1	5	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 28	24.2	10	50%	1	4	0	1	0	1	1	0	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-6	33%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 25	20.1	5	36%	5	1	0	2	0	2	0	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 25	15.7	11	79%	5	0	1	0	2	0	4	1	1-2	50%	5-5	100%	0-1	0%
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 27	12.9	8	50%	7	1	0	1	0	1	4	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Noah Vonleh #4 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 27	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 20	2.0	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Blake Griffin #91 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Jackson #43 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mfiondu Kabengele #28 · PF · 6'10" 256 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Danilo Gallinari #8 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Repair
Robert Williams III #44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Malcolm Brogdon #13 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	66%	46	30	3	5	7	19	10	36	15-20	75%	34-53	64%	16-37	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	BOS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.09 54.4%

BOS

1.32 66.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

18

31

58%

BOS

16

22

73%

Midrange

DEN

12

32

38%

BOS

18

31

58%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

12

18.0

29

41%

62%

BOS

16

24.0

37

43%

65%

Free Throws

DEN

16

20

80%

BOS

15

20

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	29	66%	14.5 / 22
A. Gordon	17	65%	8.5 / 13
B. Brown	16	50%	8.0 / 16
K. Caldwell-Pope	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Murray	14	39%	7.0 / 18
M. Porter	7	35%	3.5 / 10
J. Green	7	70%	3.5 / 5
D. Reed	3	150%	1.5 / 1
C. Braun	2	100%	1.0 / 1
D. Jordan	2	50%	1.0 / 2
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 1
V. Cancar	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Tatum	34	71%	17.0 / 24
J. Brown	25	83%	12.5 / 14
A. Horford	21	81%	10.5 / 13
G. Williams	13	81%	6.5 / 8
P. Pritchard	11	79%	5.5 / 7
D. White	10	50%	5.0 / 10
L. Kornet	8	50%	4.0 / 8
S. Hauser	5	36%	2.5 / 7
M. Smart	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.1 2 117.6	DEN 120.4 BOS 140.9 +20.4
Pace	21 98.5 17 98.8	DEN 94.7 +3.3 BOS 91.4
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.7 8 14.8	DEN 15.2 −0.6 BOS 15.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.3% 4 56.6%	DEN 52.2% BOS 64.4% +12.2%
TO %	22 14.0% 6 12.7%	DEN 5.6% −1.0% BOS 6.6%
ORB %	13 24.8% 25 22.1%	DEN 23.4% BOS 27.0% +3.6%
FTrt	19 25.9 27 24.3	DEN 21.7 BOS 22.2 +0.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 66.3% 5 63.2%	DEN 61.9% +1.9% BOS 60.0%
STL %	9 7.6% 27 6.3%	DEN 3.2% BOS 3.2%
BLK %	19 8.3% 9 9.3%	DEN 1.9% BOS 7.9% +6.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.7% 4 58.7%	DEN 54.4% BOS 66.2% +11.8%
Rim FG%	3 66.5% 8 65.1%	DEN 58.1% BOS 72.7% +14.6%
Mid FG%	13 43.4% 18 42.8%	DEN 37.5% BOS 58.1% +20.6%
3P %	4 37.9% 6 37.7%	DEN 41.4% BOS 43.2% +1.8%
FT %	26 75.1% 4 81.2%	DEN 80.0% +5.0% BOS 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 39.0% 24 32.3%	DEN 33.7% +9.3% BOS 24.4%
Mid Att. %	12 24.9% 1 19.7%	DEN 34.8% BOS 34.4% −0.3%
3P Att. %	21 36.1% 2 48.0%	DEN 31.5% BOS 41.1% +9.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.17 and 2.17.

Game Totals	DEN	BOS
Possessions	93	93
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	112	131
Rebounds	38	46
Assists	26	30
Steals	3	3
Blocks	1	5
Turnovers (Team)	5 (1)	7 (0)
Fouls	16	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (4)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (2)	36 (2)
Field Goals	42-92	50-90
At-the-Rim FG	18-31	16-22
Midrange FG	12-32	18-31
2-Point FG	30-63	34-53
3-Point FG	12-29	16-37
Free Throws	16-20	15-20
Fast Break Pts	11	18
2nd Chance Pts	17	13
Points in Paint	46	52
Pts off Turnovers	4	9
Bench Points	30	34
Biggest Lead	1	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg