Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, November 11, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Bucks	54%	112	93	95.9	97	93.4
	25	Spurs	46%	111	111	113.3	98	101.9

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

+28

-13

112

SAS

+14

-19

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

0.83 41.5%

SAS

1.19 59.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

22 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
MarJon Beauchamp #0 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 22	34.4	8	31%	4	2	1	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-6	0%
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 27	33.0	21	66%	2	6	1	0	4	3	1	1	2-3	67%	2-8	25%	5-7	71%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 28	31.0	16	50%	12	2	1	0	2	0	5	7	3-3	100%	5-11	45%	1-4	25%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 35	29.6	19	59%	3	2	1	2	5	4	1	2	4-5	80%	3-7	43%	3-7	43%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SG · 6'8" 225 · 24	29.1	8	31%	7	5	0	0	0	0	3	4	1-1	100%	2-9	22%	1-4	25%

George Hill #3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 37	27.6	5	23%	2	4	0	1	1	1	2	0	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	0-5	0%
Wesley Matthews #23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 36	22.5	2	17%	2	1	3	2	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-5	0%
Serge Ibaka #25 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 33	18.7	11	50%	9	0	0	0	0	2	5	4	2-5	40%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 23	8.5	3	38%	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 30	5.8	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Grayson Allen #12 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nasal; Fracture surgery
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Jrue Holiday #21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL surgery
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Ligament surgery
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	42%	48	22	7	5	13	14	21	27	17-23	74%	20-55	36%	12-43	28%

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22 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
MarJon Beauchamp #0 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 22	34.4	8	31%	4	2	1	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-6	0%
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 27	33.0	21	66%	2	6	1	0	4	3	1	1	2-3	67%	2-8	25%	5-7	71%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 28	31.0	16	50%	12	2	1	0	2	0	5	7	3-3	100%	5-11	45%	1-4	25%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 35	29.6	19	59%	3	2	1	2	5	4	1	2	4-5	80%	3-7	43%	3-7	43%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SG · 6'8" 225 · 24	29.1	8	31%	7	5	0	0	0	0	3	4	1-1	100%	2-9	22%	1-4	25%

George Hill #3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 37	27.6	5	23%	2	4	0	1	1	1	2	0	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	0-5	0%
Wesley Matthews #23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 36	22.5	2	17%	2	1	3	2	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-5	0%
Serge Ibaka #25 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 33	18.7	11	50%	9	0	0	0	0	2	5	4	2-5	40%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 23	8.5	3	38%	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 30	5.8	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Grayson Allen #12 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nasal; Fracture surgery
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Jrue Holiday #21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL surgery
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Ligament surgery
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	42%	48	22	7	5	13	14	21	27	17-23	74%	20-55	36%	12-43	28%

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25 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	31.9	29	76%	2	2	1	0	4	2	0	2	6-6	100%	4-9	44%	5-8	63%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 22	31.3	22	61%	5	0	0	1	1	1	0	5	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	2-7	29%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 19	29.8	10	63%	7	2	0	1	2	4	1	6	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-2	0%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 27	29.8	15	63%	10	3	0	4	2	3	3	7	1-3	33%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	29.7	9	64%	5	9	1	1	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-1	100%

Doug McDermott #17 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 31	23.8	10	71%	3	1	0	0	3	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Josh Richardson #7 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 29	23.2	7	35%	2	0	0	1	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-6	17%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 22	18.2	5	83%	14	4	0	4	3	4	3	11	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Romeo Langford #35 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	17.3	4	40%	1	0	1	1	2	3	1	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 27	1.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Isaiah Roby #18 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan Hall #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 21	1.6	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gorgui Dieng #41 · C · 6'11" 251 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malaki Branham #22 · SF · 6'4" 180 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left MCL; Sprain
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fibula; Non-displaced head fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	60%	50	22	3	13	19	22	9	41	13-15	87%	31-54	57%	12-31	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

0.83 41.5%

SAS

1.19 59.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

42%

SAS

65%

Midrange

MIL

29%

SAS

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

18.0

28%

42%

SAS

18.0

39%

58%

Free Throws

MIL

74%

SAS

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Carter	21	66%	10.5 / 16
B. Lopez	19	59%	9.5 / 16
B. Portis	16	50%	8.0 / 16
S. Ibaka	11	50%	5.5 / 11
M. Beauchamp	8	31%	4.0 / 13
J. Nwora	8	31%	4.0 / 13
G. Hill	5	23%	2.5 / 11
S. Mamukelashvili	3	38%	1.5 / 4
W. Matthews	2	17%	1.0 / 6
T. Antetokounmpo	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Johnson	29	76%	14.5 / 19
D. Vassell	22	61%	11.0 / 18
J. Poeltl	15	63%	7.5 / 12
J. Sochan	10	63%	5.0 / 8
D. McDermott	10	71%	5.0 / 7
T. Jones	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Richardson	7	35%	3.5 / 10
C. Bassey	5	83%	2.5 / 3
R. Langford	4	40%	2.0 / 5
K. Bates-Diop	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 114.9 29 110.2	MIL 95.9 SAS 113.3 +17.4
Pace	9 101.0 2 101.7	MIL 93.4 SAS 101.9 +8.5
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.4 26 14.0	MIL 15.4 SAS 14.1 −1.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.5% 26 52.5%	MIL 38.8% SAS 57.6% +18.8%
TO %	19 13.6% 24 14.4%	MIL 13.6% −3.6% SAS 17.2%
ORB %	9 25.0% 7 25.6%	MIL 33.9% +8.9% SAS 25.0%
FTrt	25 24.8 29 22.9	MIL 23.5 +5.9 SAS 17.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 60.4% 6 63.2%	MIL 68.8% +17.6% SAS 51.2%
STL %	28 6.2% 23 6.8%	MIL 7.2% +4.1% SAS 3.1%
BLK %	18 8.3% 28 6.7%	MIL 9.3% SAS 23.6% +14.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.9% 28 54.3%	MIL 41.5% SAS 59.7% +18.2%
Rim FG%	6 65.3% 25 61.3%	MIL 41.9% SAS 65.2% +23.3%
Mid FG%	16 42.9% 23 42.3%	MIL 29.2% SAS 51.6% +22.4%
3P %	10 36.8% 26 34.5%	MIL 27.9% SAS 38.7% +10.8%
FT %	29 74.3% 28 74.3%	MIL 73.9% SAS 86.7% +12.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 31.6% 12 36.7%	MIL 31.6% +4.6% SAS 27.1%
Mid Att. %	10 23.8% 22 28.6%	MIL 24.5% −12.0% SAS 36.5%
3P Att. %	4 44.6% 27 34.8%	MIL 43.9% +7.4% SAS 36.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	SAS
Possessions	97	98
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	93	111
Rebounds	48	50
Assists	22	22
Steals	7	3
Blocks	5	13
Turnovers (Team)	13 (4)	19 (0)
Fouls	14	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	21 (7)	9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (2)	41 (2)
Field Goals	32-98	43-85
At-the-Rim FG	13-31	15-23
Midrange FG	7-24	16-31
2-Point FG	20-55	31-54
3-Point FG	12-43	12-31
Free Throws	17-23	13-15
Fast Break Pts	0	21
2nd Chance Pts	21	17
Points in Paint	32	50
Pts off Turnovers	24	23
Bench Points	21	26
Biggest Lead	3	21

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg