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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 11, 2022
10:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Kings51%117120
26Lakers49%116114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.9
35.5
30.3
32
75%
7
12
2
1
0
3
0
7
4-5
80%
11-14
6-12
79%
54%
2-5
40%
Kevin Huerter
G · 6'7" 194 · 24.2
32.5
30.1
16
60%
6
2
3
1
2
3
1
5
0-1
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
4-9
44%
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 26.5
31.6
32.7
21
64%
10
6
1
1
0
2
2
8
3-3
100%
9-15
6-10
60%
59%
0-0
-
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 30.5
30.6
30.7
13
67%
8
2
1
1
1
2
3
5
6-6
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
53%
1-3
33%
Keegan Murray
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.2
25.7
28.7
2
25%
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
53%
0-3
0%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.8
21.0
25.7
8
51%
1
3
0
1
0
3
1
0
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
53%
0-2
0%
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 24.2
19.6
19.4
6
75%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
2-3
67%
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 25.6
16.4
11.9
10
56%
5
0
1
0
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
3-5
1-3
60%
54%
1-3
33%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 27.0
14.5
15.3
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
54%
0-4
0%
Terence Davis
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.5
12.7
8.1
12
87%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
53%
2-4
50%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.1
4.6
0
1-1
62%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 32.2
4.1
0
0-0
43%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 29.4
1.8
0
0-0
58%
KZ Okpala
F · 6'9" 210 · 23.5
1.4
0
0-0
50%
Neemias Queta
C · 6'11" 248 · 23.3
Keon Ellis
G · 6'6" 175 · 22.8
Chima Moneke
F · 6'6" 223 · 26.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 29.7
34.2
32.1
24
55%
14
3
2
1
3
2
6
8
8-11
73%
8-16
8-14
50%
57%
0-1
0%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 23.9
33.2
25.6
19
64%
1
1
2
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
6-10
3-6
60%
52%
2-4
50%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.3
26.4
22.7
5
31%
3
3
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
49%
1-3
33%
Troy Brown Jr.
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.3
22.9
27.3
2
17%
3
0
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
53%
0-2
0%
Wenyen Gabriel
F · 6'9" 205 · 25.6
19.1
13.5
8
100%
2
1
0
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-4
1-3
100%
58%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.0
34.0
27.3
21
53%
4
11
0
1
0
5
3
1
5-6
83%
2-10
5-9
20%
50%
4-7
57%
Austin Reaves
G · 6'5" 197 · 24.5
33.1
29.2
19
67%
5
1
1
1
0
3
2
3
5-5
100%
7-10
2-3
70%
60%
0-2
0%
Max Christie
G · 6'6" 190 · 19.8
16.7
13.1
7
60%
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
53%
2-5
40%
Juan Toscano-Anderson
F · 6'6" 209 · 29.6
12.9
8.9
5
83%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
60%
1-1
100%
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.4
7.4
4.9
4
100%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
67%
0-0
-
Kendrick Nunn
G · 6'3" 193 · 27.3
14.7
0
2-3
55%
Matt Ryan
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.6
9.6
0
1-1
50%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 25.3
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 37.9
Scotty Pippen Jr.
G · 6'3" 170 · 22.0
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 29.2
Cole Swider
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.