Final Win Prob. pScore
2430%108
115
270%115
132
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo Hornets
112.7102106.7
MIA logo Heat
128.210398.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.115
132
Q4 - 0:15.7HornetsNick Richards makes two point putback layup115
132
Q4 - 0:15.7HornetsNick Richards offensive rebound113
132
Q4 - 0:20.1HornetsJames Bouknight misses three point jump shot113
132
Q4 - 0:35.0HeatJamal Cain makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)113
132
Q4 - 0:47.5HornetsKai Jones makes two point running dunk (JT Thor assists)113
129
Q4 - 0:51.9HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (JT Thor steals)111
129
Q4 - 0:55.4HornetsJT Thor turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Cain steals)111
129
Q4 - 1:12HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)111
129
Q4 - 1:28HornetsJames Bouknight makes two point driving floating jump shot111
126
Q4 - 1:38Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith, Jamal Cain, Nikola Jovic)109
126
Q4 - 1:38HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Take) (Theo Maledon draws the foul)109
126
Q4 - 1:39HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1109
126
Q4 - 1:39Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith)109
125
Q4 - 1:39Hornets lineup change (Kai Jones, Theo Maledon, Nick Richards, James Bouknight, JT Thor)109
125
Q4 - 1:39HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)109
125
Q4 - 1:39HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk109
125
Q4 - 1:50HornetsLaMelo Ball makes three point running jump shot (Kelly Oubre Jr. assists)109
123
Q4 - 1:52HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound106
123
Q4 - 1:55HeatCaleb Martin misses two point running dunk106
123
Q4 - 1:57HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound106
123
Q4 - 2:00HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point running jump shot106
123
Q4 - 2:05HornetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound106
123
Q4 - 2:08HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot106
123
Q4 - 2:28HornetsMason Plumlee makes two point layup106
123
Q4 - 2:37HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound104
123
Q4 - 2:39HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot104
123
Q4 - 2:46HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound104
123
Q4 - 2:49HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point running layup104
123
Q4 - 2:53HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound104
123
Q4 - 2:56HeatMax Strus misses three point running jump shot104
123
Q4 - 3:00HornetsJalen McDaniels turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)104
123
Q4 - 3:13HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)104
123
Q4 - 3:16HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound104
121
Q4 - 3:19HeatKelly Oubre Jr. blocks Caleb Martin's two point cutting dunk104
121
Q4 - 3:37HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)104
121
Q4 - 3:52Hornets 60 second timeout102
121
Q4 - 4:00HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)102
121
Q4 - 4:16HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound102
118
Q4 - 4:19HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot102
118
Q4 - 4:31HeatKyle Lowry makes two point fadeaway jump shot102
118
Q4 - 4:54HornetsJalen McDaniels makes two point driving finger roll layup102
116
Q4 - 5:02Stoppage (Out of bounds)100
116
Q4 - 5:02HornetsHornets offensive rebound100
116
Q4 - 5:02HornetsKyle Lowry blocks Terry Rozier's two point running layup100
116
Q4 - 5:05HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Terry Rozier steals)100
116
Q4 - 5:06HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound100
116
Q4 - 5:10HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot100
116
Q4 - 5:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)100
116
Q4 - 5:41HeatMax Strus defensive rebound100
114
Q4 - 5:44HornetsTerry Rozier misses regular free throw 2 of 2100
114
Q4 - 5:44HornetsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 2100
114
Q4 - 5:44HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)99
114
Q4 - 5:48HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound99
114
Q4 - 5:50HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot99
114
Q4 - 6:03Hornets lineup change (Terry Rozier, Kelly Oubre Jr., Jalen McDaniels, LaMelo Ball, Mason Plumlee)99
114
Q4 - 6:03HornetsTheo Maledon personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)99
114
Q4 - 6:08HeatMax Strus defensive rebound99
114
Q4 - 6:12HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot99
114
Q4 - 6:20HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound99
114
Q4 - 6:23HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot99
114
Q4 - 6:36HornetsJalen McDaniels makes regular free throw 2 of 299
114
Q4 - 6:36Hornets lineup change (Terry Rozier, Kelly Oubre Jr., Jalen McDaniels, Theo Maledon, Mason Plumlee)98
114
Q4 - 6:36HornetsJalen McDaniels makes regular free throw 1 of 298
114
Q4 - 6:36HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Jalen McDaniels draws the foul)97
114
Q4 - 6:39HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Terry Rozier steals)97
114
Q4 - 6:59Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo)97
114
Q4 - 6:59Heat 60 second timeout97
114
Q4 - 6:59HornetsTheo Maledon makes two point driving floating jump shot97
114
Q4 - 7:20HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)95
114
Q4 - 7:31Stoppage (Out of bounds)95
111
Q4 - 7:33HeatHeat defensive rebound95
111
Q4 - 7:33HornetsDewayne Dedmon blocks Jalen McDaniels's two point driving layup95
111
Q4 - 7:38HornetsTheo Maledon defensive rebound95
111
Q4 - 7:41HeatDewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot95
111
Q4 - 7:57HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point pullup jump shot (Jalen McDaniels assists)95
111
Q4 - 8:19HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 3 of 393
111
Q4 - 8:19Hornets lineup change (Terry Rozier, Kelly Oubre Jr., Jalen McDaniels, Theo Maledon, Nick Richards)93
110
Q4 - 8:19HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 393
110
Q4 - 8:19HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 393
109
Q4 - 8:19HornetsLaMelo Ball shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)93
108
Q4 - 8:28HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound93
108
Q4 - 8:30HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot93
108
Q4 - 8:49HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound93
108
Q4 - 8:54HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses three point jump shot93
108
Q4 - 9:04HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)93
108
Q4 - 9:20HornetsLaMelo Ball personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)93
106
Q4 - 9:28HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving floating jump shot93
106
Q4 - 9:38HeatGabe Vincent makes two point jump shot (Dewayne Dedmon assists)91
106
Q4 - 9:47Hornets lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., Jalen McDaniels, Theo Maledon, Nick Richards, LaMelo Ball)91
104
Q4 - 9:47HornetsP.J. Washington personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)91
104
Q4 - 9:55HornetsP.J. Washington turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)91
104
Q4 - 10:08HeatGabe Vincent makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot91
104
Q4 - 10:26HornetsNick Richards makes regular free throw 1 of 191
102
Q4 - 10:26HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Nick Richards draws the foul)90
102
Q4 - 10:26HornetsNick Richards makes two point putback layup90
102
Q4 - 10:26HornetsNick Richards offensive rebound88
102
Q4 - 10:27HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point driving floating jump shot88
102
Q4 - 10:38HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound88
102
Q4 - 10:41HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot88
102
Q4 - 10:57HornetsNick Richards makes two point layup (LaMelo Ball assists)88
102
Q4 - 11:06HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound86
102
Q4 - 11:08HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot86
102
Q4 - 11:34HornetsNick Richards makes two point dunk (Jalen McDaniels assists)86
102
Q4 - 11:43Gabe Vincent kicked ball violation84
102
Q4 - 12:00Hornets lineup change (Jalen McDaniels, Theo Maledon, Nick Richards, LaMelo Ball, P.J. Washington)84
102
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.84
102
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound84
102
Q3 - 0:02.1HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point fadeaway jump shot84
102
Q3 - 0:15.1HeatGabe Vincent makes three point stepback jump shot84
102
Q3 - 0:31.9HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound84
99
Q3 - 0:35.9HornetsJalen McDaniels misses three point jump shot84
99
Q3 - 0:41.7HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving layup84
99
Q3 - 0:56.3HornetsLaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 2 of 284
97
Q3 - 0:56.3HornetsLaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 1 of 283
97
Q3 - 0:56.3HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)82
97
Q3 - 1:10HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)82
97
Q3 - 1:25HornetsJames Bouknight makes two point driving finger roll layup82
95
Q3 - 1:36Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Gabe Vincent, Max Strus, Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler)80
95
Q3 - 1:36Stoppage (Out of bounds)80
95
Q3 - 1:36HornetsHornets offensive rebound80
95
Q3 - 1:37HornetsJames Bouknight misses three point jump shot80
95
Q3 - 1:43HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (LaMelo Ball steals)80
95
Q3 - 2:02HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point pullup jump shot80
95
Q3 - 2:10HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound78
95
Q3 - 2:12HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot78
95
Q3 - 2:21HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound78
95
Q3 - 2:24HornetsP.J. Washington misses two point floating jump shot78
95
Q3 - 2:33HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds step)78
95
Q3 - 2:45HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point driving finger roll layup78
95
Q3 - 2:52HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 176
95
Q3 - 2:52Hornets lineup change (Jalen McDaniels, Nick Richards, LaMelo Ball, James Bouknight, P.J. Washington)76
94
Q3 - 2:52HornetsJames Bouknight shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)76
94
Q3 - 2:52HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)76
94
Q3 - 3:04HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound76
92
Q3 - 3:07HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point running jump shot76
92
Q3 - 3:11HornetsJalen McDaniels defensive rebound76
92
Q3 - 3:13HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot76
92
Q3 - 3:23HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound76
92
Q3 - 3:26HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot76
92
Q3 - 3:43HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound76
92
Q3 - 3:46HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running jump shot76
92
Q3 - 3:50HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound76
92
Q3 - 3:53HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot76
92
Q3 - 4:18HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)76
92
Q3 - 4:21HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound76
89
Q3 - 4:24HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 276
89
Q3 - 4:24HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 276
89
Q3 - 4:24HornetsJalen McDaniels shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)76
88
Q3 - 4:24HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound76
88
Q3 - 4:24HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot76
88
Q3 - 4:36Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson)76
88
Q3 - 4:36Hornets lineup change (Terry Rozier, Kelly Oubre Jr., Jalen McDaniels, Nick Richards, James Bouknight)76
88
Q3 - 4:36Heat 60 second timeout76
88
Q3 - 4:36HornetsJames Bouknight makes two point driving layup76
88
Q3 - 4:46HornetsJalen McDaniels defensive rebound74
88
Q3 - 4:48HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot74
88
Q3 - 5:05HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes two point driving dunk (Terry Rozier assists)74
88
Q3 - 5:26HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)72
88
Q3 - 5:30HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound72
88
Q3 - 5:33HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses two point alley-oop layup72
88
Q3 - 5:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running layup72
88
Q3 - 5:44HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound72
86
Q3 - 5:47HornetsJalen McDaniels misses two point floating jump shot72
86
Q3 - 6:00HeatMax Strus personal foul (Jalen McDaniels draws the foul)72
86
Q3 - 6:13HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 272
86
Q3 - 6:13Hornets lineup change (Terry Rozier, Kelly Oubre Jr., Jalen McDaniels, James Bouknight, Mason Plumlee)72
85
Q3 - 6:13HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 272
85
Q3 - 6:13HornetsP.J. Washington shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)72
84
Q3 - 6:29HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)72
84
Q3 - 6:39HeatMax Strus makes two point driving finger roll layup (Caleb Martin assists)69
84
Q3 - 6:50HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound69
82
Q3 - 6:53HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses three point jump shot69
82
Q3 - 7:00Hornets 60 second timeout69
82
Q3 - 7:04HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot69
82
Q3 - 7:24HornetsMason Plumlee turnover (out of bounds bad pass)69
80
Q3 - 7:24HornetsMason Plumlee offensive rebound69
80
Q3 - 7:24HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot69
80
Q3 - 7:39HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 169
80
Q3 - 7:39HornetsP.J. Washington shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)69
79
Q3 - 7:39HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Max Strus assists)69
79
Q3 - 7:45HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound69
77
Q3 - 7:47HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point stepback jump shot69
77
Q3 - 7:58HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)69
77
Q3 - 8:01Stoppage (Out of bounds)69
74
Q3 - 8:22HornetsMason Plumlee makes two point layup (LaMelo Ball assists)69
74
Q3 - 8:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 267
74
Q3 - 8:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 267
73
Q3 - 8:36HornetsP.J. Washington shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)67
72
Q3 - 8:56HornetsMason Plumlee makes regular free throw 1 of 167
72
Q3 - 8:56HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)66
72
Q3 - 8:56HornetsMason Plumlee makes two point driving hook shot66
72
Q3 - 9:19HeatMax Strus makes three point running jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)64
72
Q3 - 9:24HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound64
69
Q3 - 9:26HornetsTerry Rozier misses two point pullup jump shot64
69
Q3 - 9:44HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)64
69
Q3 - 9:57HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point driving floating jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)64
66
Q3 - 10:15HeatCaleb Martin makes two point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)62
66
Q3 - 10:30HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound62
64
Q3 - 10:32HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 262
64
Q3 - 10:32HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 262
64
Q3 - 10:32HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Kelly Oubre Jr. draws the foul)61
64
Q3 - 10:42HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup (Jimmy Butler assists)61
64
Q3 - 10:48HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound61
62
Q3 - 10:49HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot61
62
Q3 - 11:11HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot61
62
Q3 - 11:24Stoppage (Other)61
59
Q3 - 11:27HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point hook shot61
59
Q3 - 11:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)59
59
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler)59
57
Q3 - 12:00Hornets lineup change (Terry Rozier, Kelly Oubre Jr., LaMelo Ball, Mason Plumlee, P.J. Washington)59
57
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.59
57
Q2 - 0:02.3HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 159
57
Q2 - 0:02.3Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler)59
56
Q2 - 0:02.3HornetsNick Richards shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)59
56
Q2 - 0:02.3HeatKyle Lowry makes two point pullup jump shot59
56
Q2 - 0:10.7HornetsTheo Maledon makes two point driving floating jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)59
54
Q2 - 0:27.9HornetsTheo Maledon defensive rebound57
54
Q2 - 0:30.8HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot57
54
Q2 - 0:36.8HornetsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 157
54
Q2 - 0:36.8Hornets lineup change (Terry Rozier, Kelly Oubre Jr., Theo Maledon, Nick Richards, P.J. Washington)56
54
Q2 - 0:36.8Hornets 60 second timeout56
54
Q2 - 0:36.8HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)56
54
Q2 - 0:36.8HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Mason Plumlee assists)56
54
Q2 - 0:41.3HornetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound54
54
Q2 - 0:43.5HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot54
54
Q2 - 1:03HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes three point running pullup jump shot54
54
Q2 - 1:05HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound51
54
Q2 - 1:08HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot51
54
Q2 - 1:17HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound51
54
Q2 - 1:19HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot51
54
Q2 - 1:32HornetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound51
54
Q2 - 1:34HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot51
54
Q2 - 1:42HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound51
54
Q2 - 1:45HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot51
54
Q2 - 2:03HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot51
54
Q2 - 2:23HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes two point running layup (Theo Maledon assists)51
52
Q2 - 2:26HornetsTheo Maledon defensive rebound49
52
Q2 - 2:30HeatP.J. Washington blocks Gabe Vincent's two point driving layup49
52
Q2 - 2:49HornetsTheo Maledon makes two point driving finger roll layup (Terry Rozier assists)49
52
Q2 - 3:03HornetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound47
52
Q2 - 3:07HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot47
52
Q2 - 3:12HeatMax Strus defensive rebound47
52
Q2 - 3:15HornetsMason Plumlee misses two point driving hook shot47
52
Q2 - 3:37HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)47
52
Q2 - 3:39HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound47
52
Q2 - 3:41HornetsTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot47
52
Q2 - 3:54HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)47
52
Q2 - 3:54HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (P.J. Washington draws the foul)47
52
Q2 - 4:00HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point pullup jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)47
52
Q2 - 4:20HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 244
52
Q2 - 4:20Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler)44
51
Q2 - 4:20HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 244
51
Q2 - 4:20HornetsTheo Maledon personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)44
50
Q2 - 4:26HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 144
50
Q2 - 4:26Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry, Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler)43
50
Q2 - 4:26HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Kelly Oubre Jr. draws the foul)43
50
Q2 - 4:26HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)43
50
Q2 - 4:35HornetsTheo Maledon defensive rebound41
50
Q2 - 4:39HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 141
50
Q2 - 4:39HornetsP.J. Washington shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)41
50
Q2 - 4:39HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running dunk41
50
Q2 - 4:40HornetsTerry Rozier turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)41
48
Q2 - 4:53HeatKyle Lowry makes two point stepback jump shot41
48
Q2 - 5:04HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound41
46
Q2 - 5:06HornetsDewayne Dedmon blocks P.J. Washington's two point layup41
46
Q2 - 5:15Hornets lineup change (Terry Rozier, Kelly Oubre Jr., Theo Maledon, Mason Plumlee, P.J. Washington)41
46
Q2 - 5:15HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Kelly Oubre Jr. draws the foul)41
46
Q2 - 5:25HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point putback layup41
46
Q2 - 5:27HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound41
44
Q2 - 5:30HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot41
44
Q2 - 5:55HornetsTheo Maledon makes regular free throw 2 of 241
44
Q2 - 5:55HornetsTheo Maledon makes regular free throw 1 of 240
44
Q2 - 5:55HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Theo Maledon draws the foul)39
44
Q2 - 6:00HornetsJT Thor defensive rebound39
44
Q2 - 6:02HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot39
44
Q2 - 6:11HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound39
44
Q2 - 6:14HornetsDewayne Dedmon blocks Mason Plumlee's two point driving layup39
44
Q2 - 6:19HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)39
44
Q2 - 6:23HornetsTerry Rozier defensive rebound39
44
Q2 - 6:25HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point fadeaway jump shot39
44
Q2 - 6:46Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler)39
44
Q2 - 6:46Heat 60 second timeout39
44
Q2 - 6:46HornetsMason Plumlee turnover (offensive foul)39
44
Q2 - 6:46HornetsMason Plumlee offensive foul (Charge) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)39
44
Q2 - 6:49HornetsTheo Maledon defensive rebound39
44
Q2 - 6:51HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot39
44
Q2 - 7:10Hornets lineup change (Terry Rozier, Kelly Oubre Jr., Theo Maledon, Mason Plumlee, JT Thor)39
44
Q2 - 7:10Stoppage (Out of bounds)39
44
Q2 - 7:10HeatHeat defensive rebound39
44
Q2 - 7:11HornetsJT Thor misses three point jump shot39
44
Q2 - 7:27HeatMax Strus makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)39
44
Q2 - 7:41HornetsJT Thor makes two point layup (Theo Maledon assists)39
42
Q2 - 7:53HornetsTheo Maledon defensive rebound37
42
Q2 - 7:55HeatGabe Vincent misses three point running pullup jump shot37
42
Q2 - 7:59HornetsTerry Rozier turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)37
42
Q2 - 8:11HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Max Strus assists)37
42
Q2 - 8:24HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound37
40
Q2 - 8:26HornetsJT Thor misses two point driving floating jump shot37
40
Q2 - 8:39Stoppage (Out of bounds)37
40
Q2 - 8:39HornetsHornets offensive rebound37
40
Q2 - 8:41HornetsJT Thor misses two point floating jump shot37
40
Q2 - 8:59HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 3 of 337
40
Q2 - 8:59Hornets lineup change (Terry Rozier, Jalen McDaniels, Theo Maledon, Nick Richards, JT Thor)37
39
Q2 - 8:59HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 337
39
Q2 - 8:59HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 337
38
Q2 - 8:59HornetsLaMelo Ball shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)37
37
Q2 - 9:19HornetsJalen McDaniels makes two point running finger roll layup37
37
Q2 - 9:25HornetsJalen McDaniels defensive rebound35
37
Q2 - 9:28HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running jump shot35
37
Q2 - 9:32HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound35
37
Q2 - 9:34HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point pullup jump shot35
37
Q2 - 9:41HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound35
37
Q2 - 9:43HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving bank hook shot35
37
Q2 - 9:50HornetsNick Richards makes regular free throw 2 of 235
37
Q2 - 9:50HornetsNick Richards makes regular free throw 1 of 234
37
Q2 - 9:50HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Nick Richards draws the foul)33
37
Q2 - 10:04HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound33
37
Q2 - 10:06HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot33
37
Q2 - 10:13HornetsJalen McDaniels personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)33
37
Q2 - 10:22HornetsNick Richards personal foul (Loose ball) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)33
37
Q2 - 10:22HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (bad pass)33
37
Q2 - 10:27HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound33
37
Q2 - 10:32HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot33
37
Q2 - 10:54HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound33
37
Q2 - 10:56HornetsNick Richards misses two point floating jump shot33
37
Q2 - 11:06HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot33
37
Q2 - 11:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound33
34
Q2 - 11:23HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point stepback jump shot33
34
Q2 - 11:42Stoppage (Out of bounds)33
34
Q2 - 11:42HornetsHornets defensive rebound33
34
Q2 - 11:44HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot33
34
Q2 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson)33
34
Q2 - 12:00Hornets lineup change (Jalen McDaniels, Theo Maledon, Nick Richards, LaMelo Ball, P.J. Washington)33
34
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.33
34
Q1 - 0:00.0Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)33
34
Q1 - 0:00.3HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving floating jump shot33
34
Q1 - 0:03.3HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 231
34
Q1 - 0:03.3HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 231
33
Q1 - 0:03.3HornetsLaMelo Ball shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)31
33
Q1 - 0:05.9HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)31
33
Q1 - 0:19.0HornetsJalen McDaniels defensive rebound31
33
Q1 - 0:21.4HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot31
33
Q1 - 0:24.5Stoppage (Out of bounds)31
33
Q1 - 0:24.5HeatHeat offensive rebound31
33
Q1 - 0:24.5HeatJames Bouknight blocks Dewayne Dedmon's two point putback layup31
33
Q1 - 0:24.5HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound31
33
Q1 - 0:25.3HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot31
33
Q1 - 0:34.9HornetsJalen McDaniels makes three point jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)31
33
Q1 - 0:45.0HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Dewayne Dedmon assists)28
33
Q1 - 0:58.2HeatMax Strus defensive rebound28
30
Q1 - 1:02HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point running jump shot28
30
Q1 - 1:06HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound28
30
Q1 - 1:08HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point cutting finger roll layup28
30
Q1 - 1:20HornetsNick Richards makes two point cutting dunk (Jalen McDaniels assists)28
30
Q1 - 1:29HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (offensive foul)26
30
Q1 - 1:29HeatDuncan Robinson offensive foul (Off the ball) (James Bouknight draws the foul)26
30
Q1 - 1:29Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Gabe Vincent, Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Duncan Robinson)26
30
Q1 - 1:29Stoppage (Out of bounds)26
30
Q1 - 1:29HeatHeat offensive rebound26
30
Q1 - 1:30HeatCaleb Martin misses two point turnaround jump shot26
30
Q1 - 1:54HornetsNick Richards makes two point jump shot (Jalen McDaniels assists)26
30
Q1 - 2:06Stoppage (Out of bounds)24
30
Q1 - 2:16HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)24
30
Q1 - 2:25HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound24
28
Q1 - 2:27HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot24
28
Q1 - 2:41Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Gabe Vincent, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler)24
28
Q1 - 2:41Hornets lineup change (Jalen McDaniels, Nick Richards, LaMelo Ball, James Bouknight, P.J. Washington)24
28
Q1 - 2:41Hornets 60 second timeout24
28
Q1 - 2:41HornetsNick Richards turnover (offensive foul)24
28
Q1 - 2:41HornetsNick Richards offensive foul (Off the ball) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)24
28
Q1 - 2:51HeatDewayne Dedmon makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)24
28
Q1 - 3:02HornetsJames Bouknight makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)24
25
Q1 - 3:16HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)21
25
Q1 - 3:29HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point stepback jump shot21
23
Q1 - 3:38HeatKyle Lowry turnover (traveling)18
23
Q1 - 4:00HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point pullup jump shot18
23
Q1 - 4:13Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry, Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler)15
23
Q1 - 4:13Hornets lineup change (Terry Rozier, Kelly Oubre Jr., Jalen McDaniels, Nick Richards, James Bouknight)15
23
Q1 - 4:13HeatMax Strus personal foul (Kelly Oubre Jr. draws the foul)15
23
Q1 - 4:30HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)15
23
Q1 - 4:43HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point pullup jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)15
21
Q1 - 5:05HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)13
21
Q1 - 5:17HornetsMason Plumlee makes two point dunk (Terry Rozier assists)13
18
Q1 - 5:36HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)11
18
Q1 - 5:40HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound11
15
Q1 - 5:43HornetsBam Adebayo blocks Terry Rozier's two point driving layup11
15
Q1 - 6:04HeatJimmy Butler makes two point tip layup11
15
Q1 - 6:04HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound11
13
Q1 - 6:08HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot11
13
Q1 - 6:14Hornets lineup change (Terry Rozier, Kelly Oubre Jr., Jalen McDaniels, James Bouknight, Mason Plumlee)11
13
Q1 - 6:14Stoppage (Out of bounds)11
13
Q1 - 6:31HornetsMason Plumlee turnover (offensive foul)11
13
Q1 - 6:31HornetsMason Plumlee offensive foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)11
13
Q1 - 6:39HeatKyle Lowry makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)11
13
Q1 - 6:45HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound11
11
Q1 - 6:49HornetsP.J. Washington misses two point pullup jump shot11
11
Q1 - 6:58Heat 60 second timeout11
11
Q1 - 6:58HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)11
11
Q1 - 7:11HeatKyle Lowry turnover (offensive foul)11
11
Q1 - 7:11HeatKyle Lowry offensive foul (Off the ball) (P.J. Washington draws the foul)11
11
Q1 - 7:19HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes three point jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)11
11
Q1 - 7:35HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk8
11
Q1 - 7:45Stoppage (Out of bounds)8
9
Q1 - 7:45HeatHeat offensive rebound8
9
Q1 - 7:45HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot8
9
Q1 - 7:54HornetsLaMelo Ball personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)8
9
Q1 - 8:02HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound8
9
Q1 - 8:05HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot8
9
Q1 - 8:12HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound8
9
Q1 - 8:15HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot8
9
Q1 - 8:27HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving bank hook shot8
9
Q1 - 8:39HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound6
9
Q1 - 8:39HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot6
9
Q1 - 8:47HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot6
9
Q1 - 8:55Stoppage (Out of bounds)4
9
Q1 - 8:59HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound4
9
Q1 - 9:01HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot4
9
Q1 - 9:14HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot4
9
Q1 - 9:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot2
9
Q1 - 9:36HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound2
7
Q1 - 9:38HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point stepback jump shot2
7
Q1 - 9:52HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)2
7
Q1 - 10:10HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving floating jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)2
4
Q1 - 10:25HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
4
Q1 - 10:28HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound0
4
Q1 - 10:32HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot0
4
Q1 - 10:44HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound0
4
Q1 - 10:47HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot0
4
Q1 - 10:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)0
4
Q1 - 11:08HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Max Strus steals)0
2
Q1 - 11:09HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. offensive rebound0
2
Q1 - 11:16HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses three point jump shot0
2
Q1 - 11:30HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)0
2
Q1 - 11:44HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:46HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point driving layup0
0
Q1 - 12:00Mason Plumlee vs. Bam Adebayo (LaMelo Ball gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Hornets lineup change (Terry Rozier, Kelly Oubre Jr., LaMelo Ball, Mason Plumlee, P.J. Washington)0
0
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.19 59.3%
MIA
1.28 64.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
25
35
71%
MIA
22
31
71%
Midrange
CHA
12
24
50%
MIA
11
21
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
9
13.5
31
29%
44%
MIA
16
24.0
41
39%
59%
Free Throws
CHA
14
16
88%
MIA
18
21
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Rozier2261%11.0 / 18
K. Oubre2059%10.0 / 17
L. Ball1542%7.5 / 18
N. Richards1594%7.5 / 8
M. Plumlee975%4.5 / 6
J. McDaniels964%4.5 / 7
J. Bouknight975%4.5 / 6
T. Maledon8100%4.0 / 4
P. Washington429%2.0 / 7
J. Thor225%1.0 / 4
K. Jones2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Strus3191%15.5 / 17
B. Adebayo2463%12.0 / 19
J. Butler2091%10.0 / 11
G. Vincent2071%10.0 / 14
K. Lowry1250%6.0 / 12
C. Martin739%3.5 / 9
D. Dedmon750%3.5 / 7
D. Robinson528%2.5 / 9
J. Cain3150%1.5 / 1
N. Jović3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
90
+7
-12
97
MIA
91
+12
-12
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.19 59.3%
MIA
1.28 64.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.9
112.9
CHA 112.7
MIA 128.2 +15.4
Pace
101.1
96.3
CHA 106.7 +8.1
MIA 98.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.0
15.0
CHA 13.5 −1.1
MIA 14.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.6%
53.0%
CHA 56.1%
MIA 61.3% +5.2%
TO %
13.4%
13.2%
CHA 11.0%
MIA 10.5% −0.5%
ORB %
23.8%
22.8%
CHA 9.8%
MIA 21.4% +11.6%
FTrt
26.1
27.0
CHA 17.8
MIA 22.6 +4.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.9%
60.8%
CHA 54.3%
MIA 65.3% +11.0%
STL %
7.6%
8.2%
CHA 3.9%
MIA 6.8% +2.9%
BLK %
9.3%
6.3%
CHA 5.8%
MIA 8.5% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.42 and 2.42.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
55.9%
CHA 59.3%
MIA 64.1% +4.8%
Rim FG%
60.9%
62.6%
CHA 71.4% +0.4%
MIA 71.0%
Mid FG%
40.8%
45.3%
CHA 50.0%
MIA 52.4% +2.4%
3P %
33.0%
34.4%
CHA 29.0%
MIA 39.0% +10.0%
FT %
74.8%
83.1%
CHA 87.5% +1.8%
MIA 85.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.1%
29.9%
CHA 38.9% +5.6%
MIA 33.3%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
29.4%
CHA 26.7%
MIA 22.6% −4.1%
3P Att. %
36.0%
40.8%
CHA 34.4%
MIA 44.1% +9.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions102103
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points115132
Rebounds3746
Assists2532
Steals47
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)12 (0)
Fouls2119
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (3)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)37 (2)
Field Goals46-9049-93
At-the-Rim FG25-3522-31
Midrange FG12-2411-21
2-Point FG37-5933-52
3-Point FG9-3116-41
Free Throws14-1618-21
Fast Break Pts1410
2nd Chance Pts917
Points in Paint6458
Pts off Turnovers1713
Bench Points4538
Biggest Lead519

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#3 · SG · 6'1" 190 · 29
34.1
22
61%
1
6
2
0
2
0
0
1
2-3
67%
4-8
50%
4-9
44%
#12 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 27
33.8
20
59%
8
1
0
1
1
1
1
7
2-3
67%
6-11
55%
2-5
40%
#1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 21
28.2
15
42%
6
6
1
0
2
5
0
6
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
1-9
11%
#25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24
27.6
4
29%
1
0
0
1
1
5
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
#24 · C · 7'0" 254 · 33
26.7
9
75%
5
5
0
0
3
2
1
4
1-1
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
#6 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 25
27.6
9
64%
4
4
0
0
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
#4 · C · 6'11" 245 · 25
21.3
15
94%
5
0
0
0
1
3
2
3
3-3
100%
6-7
86%
0-0
-
#9 · PG · 6'5" 175 · 21
19.6
8
100%
6
2
0
0
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
#2 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22
14.1
9
75%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
#21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 20
5.4
2
25%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
#23 · C · 6'11" 221 · 22
1.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 21
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
#7 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 20
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#20 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Shoulder; Contusion
#11 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Procedure
#8 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
115
59%
37
25
4
3
12
21
4
33
14-16
88%
37-59
63%
9-31
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.