Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, November 14, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Hawks	44%	111	121	119.8	101	98.3
	12	Bucks	56%	113	106	103.9	102	104.8

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+14

-9

106

MIL

+17

-15

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.14 57.1%

MIL

1.02 51.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

13 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 26	36.0	19	56%	8	5	0	0	1	2	0	8	6-7	86%	5-10	50%	1-4	25%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 25	35.2	24	60%	3	2	0	0	1	3	0	3	10-10	100%	4-12	33%	2-3	67%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 24	33.8	21	50%	3	9	1	0	2	0	0	3	5-5	100%	5-14	36%	2-5	40%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 25	33.5	16	50%	9	0	1	1	1	4	4	5	3-3	100%	5-10	50%	1-5	20%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 28	30.0	19	73%	10	2	0	2	1	2	7	3	1-4	25%	9-11	82%	0-0	-

Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 26	20.2	4	40%	3	2	1	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 22	17.1	6	60%	5	1	0	1	0	5	1	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 19	17.1	7	58%	2	1	0	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 21	14.5	5	125%	2	1	1	0	1	3	0	2	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jarrett Culver #7 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 24	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tyrese Martin #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 22	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #8 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Frank Kaminsky #0 · C · 7'0" 242 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	57%	45	23	4	4	9	23	13	32	26-30	87%	37-72	51%	7-20	35%

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13 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 26	36.0	19	56%	8	5	0	0	1	2	0	8	6-7	86%	5-10	50%	1-4	25%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 25	35.2	24	60%	3	2	0	0	1	3	0	3	10-10	100%	4-12	33%	2-3	67%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 24	33.8	21	50%	3	9	1	0	2	0	0	3	5-5	100%	5-14	36%	2-5	40%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 25	33.5	16	50%	9	0	1	1	1	4	4	5	3-3	100%	5-10	50%	1-5	20%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 28	30.0	19	73%	10	2	0	2	1	2	7	3	1-4	25%	9-11	82%	0-0	-

Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 26	20.2	4	40%	3	2	1	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 22	17.1	6	60%	5	1	0	1	0	5	1	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 19	17.1	7	58%	2	1	0	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 21	14.5	5	125%	2	1	1	0	1	3	0	2	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jarrett Culver #7 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 24	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tyrese Martin #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 22	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #8 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Frank Kaminsky #0 · C · 7'0" 242 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	57%	45	23	4	4	9	23	13	32	26-30	87%	37-72	51%	7-20	35%

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12 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
MarJon Beauchamp #0 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 22	34.2	20	100%	8	1	0	1	2	2	2	6	3-3	100%	4-5	80%	3-4	75%
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 27	33.4	12	50%	3	6	2	1	1	4	3	0	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	0-3	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 35	33.1	12	55%	5	1	0	0	1	2	1	4	6-7	86%	3-4	75%	0-4	0%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 28	30.9	27	47%	8	4	1	0	8	6	1	7	11-18	61%	8-18	44%	0-3	0%
Grayson Allen #12 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 27	9.6	2	33%	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-

George Hill #3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 37	25.9	2	50%	3	3	0	1	2	0	0	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 28	23.0	14	44%	10	2	0	0	1	5	3	7	2-3	67%	6-10	60%	0-5	0%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 24	21.3	10	56%	5	3	0	0	0	4	0	5	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Serge Ibaka #25 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 33	13.3	5	83%	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Wesley Matthews #23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 36	12.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 23	1.6	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 30	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Ligament Surgery
Jrue Holiday #21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nasal; Fracture Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	51%	46	21	4	3	15	26	11	35	32-41	78%	28-53	53%	6-29	21%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.14 57.1%

MIL

1.02 51.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

68%

MIL

66%

Midrange

ATL

41%

MIL

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

10.5

35%

53%

MIL

9.0

21%

31%

Free Throws

ATL

87%

MIL

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Hunter	24	60%	12.0 / 20
T. Young	21	50%	10.5 / 21
D. Murray	19	56%	9.5 / 17
C. Capela	19	73%	9.5 / 13
J. Collins	16	50%	8.0 / 16
A. Griffin	7	58%	3.5 / 6
O. Okongwu	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Johnson	5	125%	2.5 / 2
A. Holiday	4	40%	2.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	27	47%	13.5 / 29
M. Beauchamp	20	100%	10.0 / 10
B. Portis	14	44%	7.0 / 16
J. Carter	12	50%	6.0 / 12
B. Lopez	12	55%	6.0 / 11
J. Nwora	10	56%	5.0 / 9
S. Ibaka	5	83%	2.5 / 3
G. Allen	2	33%	1.0 / 3
G. Hill	2	50%	1.0 / 2
S. Mamukelashvili	2	100%	1.0 / 1
W. Matthews	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 115.8 13 114.9	ATL 119.8 +15.9 MIL 103.9
Pace	4 101.3 9 101.0	ATL 98.3 MIL 104.8 +6.5
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.0 16 14.4	ATL 14.6 MIL 13.7 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	19 54.1% 10 55.5%	ATL 51.6% +6.5% MIL 45.1%
TO %	3 12.1% 19 13.6%	ATL 7.9% −6.6% MIL 14.5%
ORB %	8 25.1% 9 25.0%	ATL 27.1% +1.5% MIL 25.6%
FTrt	26 24.4 25 24.8	ATL 32.6 MIL 50.0 +17.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 56.0% 15 60.4%	ATL 52.3% MIL 61.8% +9.5%
STL %	20 6.9% 28 6.2%	ATL 4.0% +0.1% MIL 3.9%
BLK %	16 8.6% 18 8.3%	ATL 7.5% +3.3% MIL 4.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 56.5% 16 56.9%	ATL 57.1% +6.1% MIL 51.0%
Rim FG%	17 62.7% 6 65.3%	ATL 67.9% +2.4% MIL 65.5%
Mid FG%	2 46.7% 16 42.9%	ATL 40.9% +3.4% MIL 37.5%
3P %	21 35.2% 10 36.8%	ATL 35.0% +14.3% MIL 20.7%
FT %	3 81.8% 29 74.3%	ATL 86.7% +8.7% MIL 78.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 33.7% 25 31.6%	ATL 30.4% MIL 35.4% +4.9%
Mid Att. %	29 33.2% 10 23.8%	ATL 47.8% MIL 29.3% −18.6%
3P Att. %	30 33.1% 4 44.6%	ATL 21.7% MIL 35.4% +13.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	MIL
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	121	106
Rebounds	45	46
Assists	23	21
Steals	4	4
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	15 (2)
Fouls	23	26
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (1)	11 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (3)	35 (1)
Field Goals	44-92	34-82
At-the-Rim FG	19-28	19-29
Midrange FG	18-44	9-24
2-Point FG	37-72	28-53
3-Point FG	7-20	6-29
Free Throws	26-30	32-41
Fast Break Pts	15	19
2nd Chance Pts	20	16
Points in Paint	56	48
Pts off Turnovers	20	10
Bench Points	22	33
Biggest Lead	18	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg