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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 16, 2022
7:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Thunder39%111121
23Wizards61%115120
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 24.3
35
34
42
6
7
0
1
1
2
2
4
12-17
71%
12-19
9-16
63%
53%
2-3
67%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 23.6
34
29
16
2
3
1
1
1
2
1
1
1-3
33%
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 23.9
27
18
7
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
54%
1-1
100%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 20.1
20
31
11
6
2
0
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
4-8
5-10
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Aleksej Pokusevski
C · 7'0" 190 · 20.9
14
27
8
1
1
0
1
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
50%
2-3
67%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 21.6
28
27
10
4
6
0
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-7
3-5
29%
54%
2-4
50%
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 25.3
27
4
9
4
2
2
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
54%
3-7
43%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.0
26
19
9
5
1
1
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
55%
1-2
50%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 22.0
13
17
8
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
1-2
50%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 31.4
11
8
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.4
6
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 23.4
9
0
0-1
48%
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 19.5
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 20.5
Eugene Omoruyi
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.8
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 21.8
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 22.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Kuzma
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.3
39
33
18
10
9
1
1
0
7
2
8
1-1
100%
4-7
5-9
57%
55%
3-8
38%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 29.4
37
33
25
6
6
1
1
1
1
2
4
5-5
100%
7-15
6-11
47%
54%
2-4
50%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 27.3
36
30
27
9
4
1
1
1
2
2
7
7-9
78%
4-8
5-9
50%
53%
4-7
57%
Deni Avdija
F · 6'9" 210 · 21.9
30
30
12
7
2
0
1
2
4
3
4
2-2
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
53%
2-3
67%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 27.4
27
26
11
3
4
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
54%
3-5
60%
Jordan Goodwin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.1
20
22
4
3
1
0
1
1
3
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Rui Hachimura
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.8
18
22
14
1
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
4-7
80%
53%
2-3
67%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 31.9
16
21
5
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Corey Kispert
F · 6'6" 224 · 23.7
11
27
2
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
63%
0-2
0%
Daniel Gafford
F-C · 6'11" 238 · 24.1
6
16
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-4
100%
69%
0-0
-
Anthony Gill
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.1
7
0
1-1
59%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 37.4
2
0
0-0
58%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 30.6
Jordan Schakel
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.4
Isaiah Todd
F · 6'9" 219 · 21.1
Johnny Davis
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.7
Vernon Carey Jr.
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.