Final Win Prob. pScore
255%110
104
1345%108
112
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
111.89398.0
TOR logo Raptors
119.19489.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.104
112
Q4 - 0:17.6RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound104
112
Q4 - 0:21.0HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot104
112
Q4 - 0:23.9Heat 60 second timeout104
112
Q4 - 0:23.9RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes regular free throw 2 of 2104
112
Q4 - 0:23.9RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes regular free throw 1 of 2104
111
Q4 - 0:23.9HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (O.G. Anunoby draws the foul)104
110
Q4 - 0:30.5RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound104
110
Q4 - 0:33.5HeatMax Strus misses three point turnaround jump shot104
110
Q4 - 0:35.5Heat 60 second timeout104
110
Q4 - 0:35.5RaptorsFred VanVleet personal foul (Loose ball) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)104
110
Q4 - 0:35.5HeatHeat offensive rebound104
110
Q4 - 0:37.0HeatGabe Vincent misses three point running jump shot104
110
Q4 - 0:40.6HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound104
110
Q4 - 0:42.9RaptorsO.G. Anunoby misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot104
110
Q4 - 1:06HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving finger roll layup104
110
Q4 - 1:18Stoppage (Out of bounds)102
110
Q4 - 1:29Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)102
110
Q4 - 1:29RaptorsChris Boucher makes three point jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)102
110
Q4 - 1:48Stoppage (Court cleanup)102
107
Q4 - 1:48HeatGabe Vincent turnover (offensive foul)102
107
Q4 - 1:48HeatGabe Vincent offensive foul (Off the ball) (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)102
107
Q4 - 1:48Stoppage (Out of bounds)102
107
Q4 - 2:03RaptorsChris Boucher makes two point cutting dunk (O.G. Anunoby assists)102
107
Q4 - 2:29HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup102
105
Q4 - 2:40RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
105
Q4 - 2:40RaptorsO.G. Anunoby misses regular free throw 1 of 2100
104
Q4 - 2:40HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (O.G. Anunoby draws the foul)100
104
Q4 - 2:56RaptorsO.G. Anunoby defensive rebound100
104
Q4 - 3:00HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot100
104
Q4 - 3:12Heat 60 second timeout100
104
Q4 - 3:12RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point hook shot100
104
Q4 - 3:12RaptorsO.G. Anunoby offensive rebound100
102
Q4 - 3:14RaptorsMax Strus blocks Fred VanVleet's three point jump shot100
102
Q4 - 3:21RaptorsThaddeus Young offensive rebound100
102
Q4 - 3:24RaptorsFred VanVleet misses two point floating jump shot100
102
Q4 - 3:52HeatMax Strus makes two point floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)100
102
Q4 - 4:03RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point cutting layup (Fred VanVleet assists)98
102
Q4 - 4:12RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound98
100
Q4 - 4:14HeatJimmy Butler misses two point running layup98
100
Q4 - 4:20RaptorsThaddeus Young turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)98
100
Q4 - 4:41HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 298
100
Q4 - 4:41HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 297
100
Q4 - 4:41RaptorsThaddeus Young shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)96
100
Q4 - 4:41HeatMax Strus defensive rebound96
100
Q4 - 4:43RaptorsCaleb Martin blocks Fred VanVleet's two point driving hook shot96
100
Q4 - 5:03HeatCaleb Martin turnover (traveling)96
100
Q4 - 5:16HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound96
100
Q4 - 5:17RaptorsO.G. Anunoby misses three point pullup jump shot96
100
Q4 - 5:34HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)96
100
Q4 - 5:41HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound93
100
Q4 - 5:44RaptorsChris Boucher misses regular free throw 1 of 193
100
Q4 - 5:44HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Chris Boucher draws the foul)93
100
Q4 - 5:44RaptorsChris Boucher makes two point hook shot (Thaddeus Young assists)93
100
Q4 - 6:04HeatKyle Lowry makes three point stepback jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)93
98
Q4 - 6:19RaptorsFred VanVleet personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)90
98
Q4 - 6:29RaptorsThaddeus Young makes two point tip layup90
98
Q4 - 6:29RaptorsThaddeus Young offensive rebound90
96
Q4 - 6:33RaptorsScottie Barnes misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot90
96
Q4 - 6:56HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 290
96
Q4 - 6:56HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 289
96
Q4 - 6:56Raptors 60 second timeout88
96
Q4 - 6:56RaptorsChris Boucher shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)88
96
Q4 - 7:11Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry)88
96
Q4 - 7:11Stoppage (Out of bounds)88
96
Q4 - 7:11HeatHeat defensive rebound88
96
Q4 - 7:12RaptorsO.G. Anunoby misses two point driving floating jump shot88
96
Q4 - 7:31HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving bank hook shot88
96
Q4 - 7:48RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes regular free throw 2 of 286
96
Q4 - 7:48Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry)86
95
Q4 - 7:48RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes regular free throw 1 of 286
95
Q4 - 7:48HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Loose ball) (O.G. Anunoby draws the foul)86
94
Q4 - 7:48RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound86
94
Q4 - 7:50HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot86
94
Q4 - 8:08RaptorsChris Boucher makes regular free throw 2 of 286
94
Q4 - 8:08RaptorsChris Boucher makes regular free throw 1 of 286
93
Q4 - 8:08HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Chris Boucher draws the foul)86
92
Q4 - 8:10Stoppage (Court cleanup)86
92
Q4 - 8:10HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Thaddeus Young draws the foul)86
92
Q4 - 8:20HeatCaleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)86
92
Q4 - 8:20HeatCaleb Martin offensive foul (Off the ball) (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)86
92
Q4 - 8:35RaptorsThaddeus Young makes two point turnaround hook shot86
92
Q4 - 8:37RaptorsThaddeus Young offensive rebound86
90
Q4 - 8:39RaptorsScottie Barnes misses two point reverse layup86
90
Q4 - 8:52Stoppage (Court cleanup)86
90
Q4 - 8:52Raptors lineup change (Thaddeus Young, Chris Boucher, Fred VanVleet, O.G. Anunoby, Scottie Barnes)86
90
Q4 - 8:52Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Nikola Jovic, Duncan Robinson, Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry)86
90
Q4 - 8:52HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (O.G. Anunoby draws the foul)86
90
Q4 - 9:09HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds step)86
90
Q4 - 9:36RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point stepback jump shot86
90
Q4 - 9:46RaptorsJuancho Hernangomez defensive rebound86
88
Q4 - 9:50HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot86
88
Q4 - 9:59Stoppage (Out of bounds)86
88
Q4 - 9:59HeatHeat defensive rebound86
88
Q4 - 10:01RaptorsChris Boucher misses three point jump shot86
88
Q4 - 10:18HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point driving finger roll layup86
88
Q4 - 10:30RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point driving layup (Chris Boucher assists)84
88
Q4 - 10:49HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)84
86
Q4 - 11:11RaptorsJuancho Hernangomez turnover (traveling)81
86
Q4 - 11:24HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point alley-oop dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)81
86
Q4 - 11:38RaptorsChris Boucher makes regular free throw 2 of 279
86
Q4 - 11:38RaptorsChris Boucher makes regular free throw 1 of 279
85
Q4 - 11:38HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Chris Boucher draws the foul)79
84
Q4 - 12:00Raptors lineup change (Chris Boucher, Juancho Hernangomez, O.G. Anunoby, Scottie Barnes, Khem Birch)79
84
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Dewayne Dedmon, Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry)79
84
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.79
84
Q3 - 0:00.2RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound79
84
Q3 - 0:00.2RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point turnaround bank jump shot79
84
Q3 - 0:04.8HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point turnaround hook shot79
84
Q3 - 0:16.9HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound77
84
Q3 - 0:19.8RaptorsJuancho Hernangomez misses three point jump shot77
84
Q3 - 0:36.4HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot77
84
Q3 - 0:45.2RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point cutting dunk (Fred VanVleet assists)74
84
Q3 - 1:00RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound74
82
Q3 - 1:03HeatDewayne Dedmon misses regular free throw 2 of 274
82
Q3 - 1:03Raptors lineup change (Chris Boucher, Fred VanVleet, Juancho Hernangomez, Christian Koloko, Scottie Barnes)74
82
Q3 - 1:03HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 1 of 274
82
Q3 - 1:03RaptorsChristian Koloko shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)73
82
Q3 - 1:18RaptorsFred VanVleet makes two point pullup jump shot73
82
Q3 - 1:34HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 173
80
Q3 - 1:34RaptorsChristian Koloko shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)72
80
Q3 - 1:34HeatGabe Vincent makes two point floating jump shot72
80
Q3 - 1:45RaptorsO.G. Anunoby turnover (offensive foul)70
80
Q3 - 1:45RaptorsO.G. Anunoby offensive foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)70
80
Q3 - 1:56HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (traveling)70
80
Q3 - 2:03Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Dewayne Dedmon, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler)70
80
Q3 - 2:03Heat 60 second timeout70
80
Q3 - 2:04RaptorsFred VanVleet makes three point pullup jump shot70
80
Q3 - 2:21RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound70
77
Q3 - 2:24HeatJamal Cain misses three point jump shot70
77
Q3 - 2:38RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point alley-oop dunk (Fred VanVleet assists)70
77
Q3 - 2:52RaptorsJuancho Hernangomez defensive rebound70
75
Q3 - 2:54HeatJamal Cain misses two point driving layup70
75
Q3 - 3:06Dewayne Dedmon defensive goaltending violation70
75
Q3 - 3:06RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point driving hook shot (Fred VanVleet assists)70
75
Q3 - 3:17RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound70
73
Q3 - 3:21HeatJamal Cain misses three point jump shot70
73
Q3 - 3:39RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point stepback jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)70
73
Q3 - 3:53Raptors lineup change (Chris Boucher, Fred VanVleet, Juancho Hernangomez, Christian Koloko, O.G. Anunoby)70
71
Q3 - 3:53Heat lineup change (Jamal Cain, Max Strus, Dewayne Dedmon, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler)70
71
Q3 - 3:53HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)70
71
Q3 - 3:53HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Off the ball) (Juancho Hernangomez draws the foul)70
71
Q3 - 4:05Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)70
71
Q3 - 4:05Stoppage (Out of bounds)70
71
Q3 - 4:05HeatHeat defensive rebound70
71
Q3 - 4:07RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point pullup jump shot70
71
Q3 - 4:15Jump ball. O.G. Anunoby vs. Jamal Cain (Scottie Barnes gains possession)70
71
Q3 - 4:19RaptorsO.G. Anunoby offensive rebound70
71
Q3 - 4:21RaptorsFred VanVleet misses two point pullup jump shot70
71
Q3 - 4:34HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)70
71
Q3 - 4:40Heat 60 second timeout70
71
Q3 - 4:43HeatJamal Cain defensive rebound70
71
Q3 - 4:46RaptorsFred VanVleet misses regular free throw 2 of 270
71
Q3 - 4:46Heat lineup change (Jamal Cain, Nikola Jovic, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler)70
71
Q3 - 4:46RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 1 of 270
71
Q3 - 4:46HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)70
70
Q3 - 4:49RaptorsFred VanVleet defensive rebound70
70
Q3 - 4:51HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot70
70
Q3 - 5:09RaptorsFred VanVleet makes two point pullup jump shot70
70
Q3 - 5:25HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds lost ball)70
68
Q3 - 5:43RaptorsThaddeus Young personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)70
68
Q3 - 5:43HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound70
68
Q3 - 5:44RaptorsThaddeus Young misses two point floating jump shot70
68
Q3 - 5:55RaptorsO.G. Anunoby defensive rebound70
68
Q3 - 5:57HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot70
68
Q3 - 6:18RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes three point stepback jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)70
68
Q3 - 6:20RaptorsScottie Barnes offensive rebound70
65
Q3 - 6:23RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point pullup jump shot70
65
Q3 - 6:30HeatNikola Jovic turnover (traveling)70
65
Q3 - 6:43RaptorsThaddeus Young makes two point hook shot70
65
Q3 - 6:44RaptorsThaddeus Young offensive rebound70
63
Q3 - 6:49RaptorsScottie Barnes misses three point jump shot70
63
Q3 - 6:54Raptors 60 second timeout70
63
Q3 - 6:54HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Thaddeus Young draws the foul)70
63
Q3 - 6:54RaptorsThaddeus Young offensive rebound70
63
Q3 - 6:57RaptorsO.G. Anunoby misses three point running jump shot70
63
Q3 - 7:00RaptorsThaddeus Young defensive rebound70
63
Q3 - 7:03HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving hook shot70
63
Q3 - 7:16RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 2 of 270
63
Q3 - 7:16RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 1 of 270
62
Q3 - 7:16HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)70
61
Q3 - 7:32RaptorsJuancho Hernangomez defensive rebound70
61
Q3 - 7:35HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot70
61
Q3 - 7:44HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound70
61
Q3 - 7:45HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving floating jump shot70
61
Q3 - 7:59HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound70
61
Q3 - 8:02RaptorsThaddeus Young misses two point driving finger roll layup70
61
Q3 - 8:19Raptors lineup change (Thaddeus Young, Fred VanVleet, Juancho Hernangomez, O.G. Anunoby, Scottie Barnes)70
61
Q3 - 8:19HeatNikola Jovic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)70
61
Q3 - 8:35Stoppage (Other)70
61
Q3 - 8:36RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point turnaround hook shot70
61
Q3 - 8:52HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (Caleb Martin assists)70
59
Q3 - 8:55HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound68
59
Q3 - 8:57RaptorsDalano Banton misses three point jump shot68
59
Q3 - 9:12HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)68
59
Q3 - 9:28RaptorsFred VanVleet turnover (out of bounds bad pass)65
59
Q3 - 9:36RaptorsO.G. Anunoby defensive rebound65
59
Q3 - 9:39HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot65
59
Q3 - 10:04RaptorsFred VanVleet makes three point jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)65
59
Q3 - 10:06RaptorsScottie Barnes offensive rebound65
56
Q3 - 10:09RaptorsDalano Banton misses three point jump shot65
56
Q3 - 10:26HeatKyle Lowry turnover (traveling)65
56
Q3 - 10:31Stoppage (Blood rule)65
56
Q3 - 10:31RaptorsDalano Banton personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)65
56
Q3 - 10:36HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound65
56
Q3 - 10:40RaptorsDalano Banton misses three point jump shot65
56
Q3 - 10:51HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)65
56
Q3 - 11:12RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point pullup jump shot62
56
Q3 - 11:35HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot62
54
Q3 - 11:48RaptorsThaddeus Young personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)60
54
Q3 - 12:00Raptors lineup change (Thaddeus Young, Fred VanVleet, O.G. Anunoby, Scottie Barnes, Dalano Banton)60
54
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Nikola Jovic, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry)60
54
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.60
54
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound60
54
Q2 - 0:00.3HeatKyle Lowry misses three point running pullup jump shot60
54
Q2 - 0:03.6HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound60
54
Q2 - 0:05.7RaptorsJuancho Hernangomez misses three point bank jump shot60
54
Q2 - 0:28.0Heat lineup change (Jamal Cain, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry)60
54
Q2 - 0:28.2HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds lost ball)60
54
Q2 - 0:29.6RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point tip dunk60
54
Q2 - 0:29.6RaptorsO.G. Anunoby offensive rebound60
52
Q2 - 0:31.4RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point stepback jump shot60
52
Q2 - 0:52.9HeatMax Strus turnover (traveling)60
52
Q2 - 1:05RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 2 of 260
52
Q2 - 1:05RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 1 of 260
51
Q2 - 1:05HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)60
50
Q2 - 1:21HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 260
50
Q2 - 1:21HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 259
50
Q2 - 1:21RaptorsThaddeus Young personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)58
50
Q2 - 1:21HeatHeat defensive rebound58
50
Q2 - 1:21RaptorsO.G. Anunoby misses two point driving floating bank jump shot58
50
Q2 - 1:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 258
50
Q2 - 1:36Raptors lineup change (Thaddeus Young, Fred VanVleet, Juancho Hernangomez, O.G. Anunoby, Scottie Barnes)57
50
Q2 - 1:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 257
50
Q2 - 1:36RaptorsDalano Banton shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)56
50
Q2 - 1:59RaptorsThaddeus Young makes two point floating jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)56
50
Q2 - 2:06RaptorsThaddeus Young defensive rebound56
48
Q2 - 2:09HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot56
48
Q2 - 2:22RaptorsThaddeus Young turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)56
48
Q2 - 2:41HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)56
48
Q2 - 2:44RaptorsScottie Barnes turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)54
48
Q2 - 2:53Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Nikola Jovic, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry)54
48
Q2 - 2:53Raptors 60 second timeout54
48
Q2 - 3:01HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)54
48
Q2 - 3:16RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point running jump shot51
48
Q2 - 3:21RaptorsScottie Barnes defensive rebound51
46
Q2 - 3:24HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot51
46
Q2 - 3:48RaptorsThaddeus Young makes two point driving hook shot51
46
Q2 - 4:06HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot51
44
Q2 - 4:24RaptorsScottie Barnes turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jovic steals)48
44
Q2 - 4:26Raptors lineup change (Thaddeus Young, Fred VanVleet, O.G. Anunoby, Scottie Barnes, Dalano Banton)48
44
Q2 - 4:26Stoppage (Out of bounds)48
44
Q2 - 4:47HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot48
44
Q2 - 5:08RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point driving layup45
44
Q2 - 5:29RaptorsO.G. Anunoby defensive rebound45
42
Q2 - 5:31HeatKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 2 of 245
42
Q2 - 5:31HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 245
42
Q2 - 5:31RaptorsDalano Banton personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)44
42
Q2 - 5:44RaptorsFred VanVleet makes three point stepback jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)44
42
Q2 - 5:46RaptorsKhem Birch offensive rebound44
39
Q2 - 5:51RaptorsDalano Banton misses three point running jump shot44
39
Q2 - 5:55RaptorsScottie Barnes defensive rebound44
39
Q2 - 5:57HeatNikola Jovic misses two point alley-oop layup44
39
Q2 - 6:13RaptorsFred VanVleet turnover (offensive foul)44
39
Q2 - 6:13RaptorsFred VanVleet offensive foul (Off the ball) (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)44
39
Q2 - 6:19HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Khem Birch draws the foul)44
39
Q2 - 6:29HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 244
39
Q2 - 6:29Raptors lineup change (Fred VanVleet, O.G. Anunoby, Scottie Barnes, Khem Birch, Dalano Banton)43
39
Q2 - 6:29Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry)43
39
Q2 - 6:29HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 243
39
Q2 - 6:29RaptorsKhem Birch shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)42
39
Q2 - 6:49RaptorsKhem Birch makes two point cutting dunk (O.G. Anunoby assists)42
39
Q2 - 6:59HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 242
37
Q2 - 6:59HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 241
37
Q2 - 6:59RaptorsKhem Birch shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)40
37
Q2 - 7:10Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Nikola Jovic, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry)40
37
Q2 - 7:10Heat 60 second timeout40
37
Q2 - 7:10RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point running finger roll layup (Juancho Hernangomez assists)40
37
Q2 - 7:14HeatMax Strus turnover (bad pass) (Juancho Hernangomez steals)40
35
Q2 - 7:17HeatMax Strus defensive rebound40
35
Q2 - 7:19RaptorsCaleb Martin blocks Dalano Banton's two point running jump shot40
35
Q2 - 7:25HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Dalano Banton steals)40
35
Q2 - 7:36HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound40
35
Q2 - 7:40RaptorsKhem Birch misses two point running jump shot40
35
Q2 - 7:45RaptorsJuancho Hernangomez defensive rebound40
35
Q2 - 7:49HeatO.G. Anunoby blocks Max Strus's three point jump shot40
35
Q2 - 8:08RaptorsDalano Banton makes two point running finger roll layup (Khem Birch assists)40
35
Q2 - 8:12HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Khem Birch steals)40
33
Q2 - 8:27Raptors lineup change (Juancho Hernangomez, O.G. Anunoby, Scottie Barnes, Khem Birch, Dalano Banton)40
33
Q2 - 8:27RaptorsO.G. Anunoby turnover (offensive foul)40
33
Q2 - 8:27RaptorsO.G. Anunoby offensive foul (Charge) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)40
33
Q2 - 8:43HeatMax Strus makes two point cutting dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)40
33
Q2 - 8:49HeatHeat defensive rebound38
33
Q2 - 8:49RaptorsChris Boucher misses regular free throw 2 of 238
33
Q2 - 8:49RaptorsChris Boucher makes regular free throw 1 of 238
33
Q2 - 8:49HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Chris Boucher draws the foul)38
32
Q2 - 9:10HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 138
32
Q2 - 9:10RaptorsChris Boucher shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)37
32
Q2 - 9:10HeatMax Strus makes two point running finger roll layup37
32
Q2 - 9:14RaptorsChris Boucher turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)35
32
Q2 - 9:29HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (3-second violation)35
32
Q2 - 9:45RaptorsJuancho Hernangomez personal foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)35
32
Q2 - 9:50HeatMax Strus defensive rebound35
32
Q2 - 9:53RaptorsDalano Banton misses three point jump shot35
32
Q2 - 10:08RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound35
32
Q2 - 10:10HeatDewayne Dedmon misses regular free throw 1 of 135
32
Q2 - 10:10RaptorsChris Boucher shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)35
32
Q2 - 10:10HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point bank hook shot (Gabe Vincent assists)35
32
Q2 - 10:32RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point running layup33
32
Q2 - 10:38RaptorsO.G. Anunoby defensive rebound33
30
Q2 - 10:40HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot33
30
Q2 - 10:47RaptorsChris Boucher makes regular free throw 2 of 233
30
Q2 - 10:47RaptorsChris Boucher misses regular free throw 1 of 233
29
Q2 - 10:47HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Chris Boucher draws the foul)33
29
Q2 - 11:06HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving reverse layup33
29
Q2 - 11:26RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point cutting dunk (Dalano Banton assists)31
29
Q2 - 11:33HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Loose ball) (Christian Koloko draws the foul)31
27
Q2 - 11:33RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound31
27
Q2 - 11:34RaptorsChris Boucher misses two point turnaround jump shot31
27
Q2 - 11:49HeatMax Strus turnover (traveling)31
27
Q2 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Duncan Robinson, Dewayne Dedmon, Gabe Vincent)31
27
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.31
27
Q1 - 0:00.3HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Chris Boucher steals)31
27
Q1 - 0:02.3HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound31
27
Q1 - 0:02.3HeatChristian Koloko blocks Duncan Robinson's two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot31
27
Q1 - 0:05.0Raptors lineup change (Chris Boucher, Juancho Hernangomez, Christian Koloko, O.G. Anunoby, Dalano Banton)31
27
Q1 - 0:05.0Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Nikola Jovic, Duncan Robinson, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler)31
27
Q1 - 0:05.7RaptorsFred VanVleet personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)31
27
Q1 - 0:09.1RaptorsFred VanVleet makes two point driving floating jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)31
27
Q1 - 0:28.9HeatCaleb Martin makes two point layup (Duncan Robinson assists)31
25
Q1 - 0:40.7HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound29
25
Q1 - 0:44.5RaptorsChris Boucher misses three point jump shot29
25
Q1 - 0:51.2RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound29
25
Q1 - 0:54.3HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot29
25
Q1 - 1:06HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound29
25
Q1 - 1:09RaptorsScottie Barnes misses two point running pullup jump shot29
25
Q1 - 1:14RaptorsScottie Barnes defensive rebound29
25
Q1 - 1:15HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot29
25
Q1 - 1:30RaptorsChris Boucher makes two point tip dunk29
25
Q1 - 1:30RaptorsChris Boucher offensive rebound29
23
Q1 - 1:31RaptorsJuancho Hernangomez misses two point cutting finger roll layup29
23
Q1 - 1:46HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)29
23
Q1 - 1:59RaptorsFred VanVleet makes two point driving finger roll layup27
23
Q1 - 2:23HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds lost ball)27
21
Q1 - 2:39RaptorsChristian Koloko makes two point alley-oop dunk (Fred VanVleet assists)27
21
Q1 - 2:50RaptorsFred VanVleet makes technical free throw 1 of 127
19
Q1 - 2:50Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Dewayne Dedmon, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler)27
18
Q1 - 2:50Heat 60 second timeout27
18
Q1 - 2:50Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)27
18
Q1 - 3:02HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot27
18
Q1 - 3:07RaptorsScottie Barnes makes three point jump shot24
18
Q1 - 3:08RaptorsScottie Barnes offensive rebound24
15
Q1 - 3:11RaptorsKyle Lowry blocks Fred VanVleet's two point driving floating jump shot24
15
Q1 - 3:23RaptorsChristian Koloko offensive rebound24
15
Q1 - 3:26RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point pullup jump shot24
15
Q1 - 3:36HeatKyle Lowry makes two point fadeaway jump shot24
15
Q1 - 4:01Raptors lineup change (Chris Boucher, Fred VanVleet, Juancho Hernangomez, Christian Koloko, Scottie Barnes)22
15
Q1 - 4:01RaptorsFred VanVleet turnover (offensive foul)22
15
Q1 - 4:01RaptorsFred VanVleet offensive foul (Charge) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)22
15
Q1 - 4:09Heat lineup change (Jamal Cain, Dewayne Dedmon, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry)22
15
Q1 - 4:09Stoppage (Out of bounds)22
15
Q1 - 4:09RaptorsChris Boucher offensive rebound22
15
Q1 - 4:09RaptorsFred VanVleet misses two point pullup jump shot22
15
Q1 - 4:22HeatKyle Lowry turnover (traveling)22
15
Q1 - 4:28RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point pullup jump shot22
15
Q1 - 4:43HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)22
13
Q1 - 5:01HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound20
13
Q1 - 5:05RaptorsFred VanVleet misses two point pullup jump shot20
13
Q1 - 5:17HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 220
13
Q1 - 5:17HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 219
13
Q1 - 5:17RaptorsChristian Koloko shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)18
13
Q1 - 5:29RaptorsChristian Koloko makes two point alley-oop dunk (Fred VanVleet assists)18
13
Q1 - 5:34Raptors lineup change (Chris Boucher, Fred VanVleet, Christian Koloko, O.G. Anunoby, Scottie Barnes)18
11
Q1 - 5:34HeatJamal Cain personal foul (O.G. Anunoby draws the foul)18
11
Q1 - 5:43Heat lineup change (Jamal Cain, Nikola Jovic, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry)18
11
Q1 - 5:43HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)18
11
Q1 - 5:56Stoppage (Out of bounds)18
11
Q1 - 5:56HeatHeat defensive rebound18
11
Q1 - 5:56RaptorsFred VanVleet misses two point driving reverse layup18
11
Q1 - 6:06RaptorsDalano Banton offensive rebound18
11
Q1 - 6:08RaptorsDalano Banton misses two point driving floating jump shot18
11
Q1 - 6:20HeatCaleb Martin makes three point stepback jump shot18
11
Q1 - 6:21HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound15
11
Q1 - 6:25HeatScottie Barnes blocks Caleb Martin's three point jump shot15
11
Q1 - 6:50Raptors 60 second timeout15
11
Q1 - 6:50RaptorsScottie Barnes turnover (traveling)15
11
Q1 - 6:50RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound15
11
Q1 - 6:50RaptorsScottie Barnes misses two point driving floating jump shot15
11
Q1 - 6:54HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Scottie Barnes steals)15
11
Q1 - 7:12RaptorsDalano Banton makes three point jump shot (Thaddeus Young assists)15
11
Q1 - 7:33HeatNikola Jovic makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)15
8
Q1 - 7:39HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 113
8
Q1 - 7:39Raptors technical foul (Defensive three second)12
8
Q1 - 7:51RaptorsThaddeus Young makes two point hook shot (O.G. Anunoby assists)12
8
Q1 - 7:59RaptorsThaddeus Young defensive rebound12
6
Q1 - 8:01HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot12
6
Q1 - 8:21RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point driving floating jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)12
6
Q1 - 8:29RaptorsO.G. Anunoby defensive rebound12
4
Q1 - 8:32HeatKyle Lowry misses three point stepback jump shot12
4
Q1 - 8:48RaptorsO.G. Anunoby turnover (traveling)12
4
Q1 - 8:57RaptorsO.G. Anunoby defensive rebound12
4
Q1 - 9:00HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot12
4
Q1 - 9:12Stoppage (Out of bounds)12
4
Q1 - 9:12HeatHeat defensive rebound12
4
Q1 - 9:14RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot12
4
Q1 - 9:28HeatNikola Jovic makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)12
4
Q1 - 9:41HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound10
4
Q1 - 9:43RaptorsThaddeus Young misses two point hook shot10
4
Q1 - 9:58HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)10
4
Q1 - 10:10RaptorsScottie Barnes turnover (traveling)7
4
Q1 - 10:29HeatCaleb Martin makes two point putback layup7
4
Q1 - 10:30HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound5
4
Q1 - 10:32HeatCaleb Martin misses two point floating jump shot5
4
Q1 - 10:43RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point pullup jump shot5
4
Q1 - 10:54HeatNikola Jovic makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)5
2
Q1 - 11:20RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point stepback jump shot3
2
Q1 - 11:32HeatKyle Lowry makes three point running pullup jump shot3
0
Q1 - 11:34HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:37RaptorsDalano Banton misses two point driving floating bank jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Nikola Jovic vs. Scottie Barnes (Dalano Banton gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Raptors lineup change (Thaddeus Young, Fred VanVleet, O.G. Anunoby, Scottie Barnes, Dalano Banton)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Nikola Jovic, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.37 68.4%
TOR
1.13 56.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
16
94%
TOR
19
25
76%
Midrange
MIA
8
15
53%
TOR
18
35
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
35
37%
56%
TOR
7
10.5
26
27%
40%
Free Throws
MIA
19
22
86%
TOR
17
22
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Strus2077%10.0 / 13
K. Lowry1986%9.5 / 11
G. Vincent1673%8.0 / 11
C. Martin1470%7.0 / 10
J. Butler1365%6.5 / 10
N. Jović1365%6.5 / 10
D. Dedmon990%4.5 / 5
D. Robinson0-0.0 / 2
J. Cain0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
O. Anunoby3276%16.0 / 21
F. VanVleet2348%11.5 / 24
S. Barnes1968%9.5 / 14
C. Boucher1568%7.5 / 11
T. Young1267%6.0 / 9
D. Banton525%2.5 / 10
C. Koloko4100%2.0 / 2
K. Birch250%1.0 / 2
J. Hernangomez0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
70
+6
-23
76
TOR
80
+19
-14
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.37 68.4%
TOR
1.13 56.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.9
115.0
MIA 111.8
TOR 119.1 +7.3
Pace
96.3
97.5
MIA 98.0 +8.6
TOR 89.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.9
MIA 14.7 −1.4
TOR 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.0%
51.7%
MIA 64.4% +9.2%
TOR 55.2%
TO %
13.2%
11.4%
MIA 23.3%
TOR 12.8% −10.5%
ORB %
22.8%
27.8%
MIA 13.3%
TOR 45.7% +32.4%
FTrt
27.0
25.7
MIA 33.3 +7.7
TOR 25.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.8%
57.1%
MIA 52.8% +0.5%
TOR 52.3%
STL %
8.2%
9.6%
MIA 5.4% +0.1%
TOR 5.3%
BLK %
6.3%
10.4%
MIA 6.7%
TOR 9.7% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.01 and 3.01.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
54.3%
MIA 68.4% +11.8%
TOR 56.6%
Rim FG%
62.6%
63.1%
MIA 93.8% +17.8%
TOR 76.0%
Mid FG%
45.3%
40.5%
MIA 53.3% +1.9%
TOR 51.4%
3P %
34.4%
33.5%
MIA 37.1% +10.2%
TOR 26.9%
FT %
83.1%
78.4%
MIA 86.4% +9.1%
TOR 77.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.9%
34.5%
MIA 24.2%
TOR 29.1% +4.8%
Mid Att. %
29.4%
30.4%
MIA 22.7% −18.0%
TOR 40.7%
3P Att. %
40.8%
35.1%
MIA 53.0% +22.8%
TOR 30.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points104112
Rebounds2342
Assists1923
Steals55
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)23 (0)14 (0)
Fouls2023
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (2)16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)19 (7)26 (1)
Field Goals36-6644-86
At-the-Rim FG15-1619-25
Midrange FG8-1518-35
2-Point FG23-3137-60
3-Point FG13-357-26
Free Throws19-2217-22
Fast Break Pts129
2nd Chance Pts526
Points in Paint4258
Pts off Turnovers2529
Bench Points2521
Biggest Lead1110

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27
38.3
14
70%
9
3
0
2
3
3
2
7
0-0
-
4-6
67%
2-4
50%
#22 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33
38.3
13
65%
1
5
1
0
5
2
0
1
5-5
100%
4-6
67%
0-2
0%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37
35.6
19
86%
1
2
1
1
4
5
0
1
3-4
75%
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
#31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27
35.4
20
77%
3
0
2
1
3
0
0
3
5-5
100%
3-3
100%
3-8
38%
#5 · C · 6'10" 205 · 19
23.8
13
65%
3
1
1
0
2
1
1
2
4-4
100%
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26
32.1
16
73%
2
5
0
0
2
4
0
2
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
3-8
38%
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33
15.9
9
90%
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
1-3
33%
4-4
100%
0-0
-
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29
14.5
0
0%
3
3
0
0
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24
6.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 25
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Contusion
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22
DNP – Coach's Decision
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Sprain
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Surgery
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Tendinosis
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42
Inactive – Personal
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
68%
23
19
5
4
23
20
4
19
19-22
86%
23-31
74%
13-35
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.