Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Heat	56%	113	106	98.1	108	98.2
	19	Wizards	44%	111	107	99.1	108	97.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	50.9	24	48%	10	15	1	2	3	5	1	9	4-6	67%	4-12	33%	4-11	36%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	47.0	12	43%	5	3	2	1	3	1	1	4	4-4	100%	1-7	14%	2-5	40%
Max Strus #31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	45.2	22	44%	5	2	0	0	1	0	0	5	3-3	100%	5-10	50%	3-14	21%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · PF · 6'5" 220 · 26	41.9	12	33%	14	2	2	0	1	1	4	10	1-2	50%	4-10	40%	1-7	14%
Nikola Jović #5 · C · 6'10" 240 · 19	30.2	18	64%	6	0	0	0	0	2	2	4	9-10	90%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%

Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	32.2	14	64%	7	0	1	1	1	5	1	6	2-3	67%	6-8	75%	0-2	0%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	17.5	4	50%	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	5	2-4	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Contusion
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	DND - Injury/Illness \| right knee soreness
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| right hand sprain
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinosis
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Stomach; non-covid illness
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	106	46%	53	23	6	4	9	15	10	43	25-32	78%	24-55	44%	11-43	26%

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3 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	50.9	24	48%	10	15	1	2	3	5	1	9	4-6	67%	4-12	33%	4-11	36%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	47.0	12	43%	5	3	2	1	3	1	1	4	4-4	100%	1-7	14%	2-5	40%
Max Strus #31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	45.2	22	44%	5	2	0	0	1	0	0	5	3-3	100%	5-10	50%	3-14	21%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · PF · 6'5" 220 · 26	41.9	12	33%	14	2	2	0	1	1	4	10	1-2	50%	4-10	40%	1-7	14%
Nikola Jović #5 · C · 6'10" 240 · 19	30.2	18	64%	6	0	0	0	0	2	2	4	9-10	90%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%

Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	32.2	14	64%	7	0	1	1	1	5	1	6	2-3	67%	6-8	75%	0-2	0%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	17.5	4	50%	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	5	2-4	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Contusion
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	DND - Injury/Illness \| right knee soreness
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| right hand sprain
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinosis
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Stomach; non-covid illness
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	106	46%	53	23	6	4	9	15	10	43	25-32	78%	24-55	44%	11-43	26%

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19 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 29	48.5	27	68%	2	8	1	0	7	2	0	2	4-4	100%	4-9	44%	5-9	56%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 27	40.5	21	42%	8	5	1	0	4	2	0	8	1-3	33%	7-12	58%	2-12	17%
Kristaps Porziņģis #6 · C · 7'2" 240 · 27	39.4	20	43%	17	5	1	2	1	5	2	15	5-7	71%	6-14	43%	1-6	17%
Monté Morris #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 27	26.4	6	38%	5	5	0	0	0	2	0	5	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-5	0%
Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 22	14.4	3	75%	1	3	0	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%

Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 24	38.5	17	94%	4	3	2	0	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	5-8	63%
Rui Hachimura #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	28.4	13	59%	8	3	0	0	1	2	1	7	0-0	-	5-8	63%	1-3	33%
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 37	16.2	0	0%	8	1	1	2	1	4	3	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 32	8.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Daniel Gafford #21 · PF · 6'10" 265 · 24	4.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Todd #14 · PF · 6'9" 219 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vernon Carey Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 270 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jordan Schakel #20 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jordan Goodwin #7 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Left knee soreness
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Right hamstring strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	107	51%	54	33	6	4	15	25	8	46	10-14	71%	26-50	52%	15-46	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

0.91 45.7%

WAS

1.03 51.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

14

23

61%

WAS

15

22

68%

Midrange

MIA

10

32

31%

WAS

11

28

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

11

16.5

43

26%

38%

WAS

15

22.5

46

33%

49%

Free Throws

MIA

25

32

78%

WAS

10

14

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Lowry	24	48%	12.0 / 25
M. Strus	22	44%	11.0 / 25
N. Jović	18	64%	9.0 / 14
O. Robinson	14	64%	7.0 / 11
C. Martin	12	43%	6.0 / 14
H. Highsmith	12	33%	6.0 / 18
J. Cain	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Beal	27	68%	13.5 / 20
K. Kuzma	21	42%	10.5 / 25
K. Porziņģis	20	43%	10.0 / 23
C. Kispert	17	94%	8.5 / 9
R. Hachimura	13	59%	6.5 / 11
M. Morris	6	38%	3.0 / 8
D. Avdija	3	75%	1.5 / 2
T. Gibson	0	-	0.0 / 2
W. Barton	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 112.9 21 114.3	MIA 98.1 WAS 99.1 +0.9
Pace	29 96.3 20 98.6	MIA 98.2 +0.7 WAS 97.4
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.0 6 14.9	MIA 14.7 −0.1 WAS 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 53.0% 13 55.0%	MIA 41.3% WAS 50.5% +9.2%
TO %	15 13.2% 17 13.5%	MIA 8.2% −5.3% WAS 13.5%
ORB %	21 22.8% 23 22.7%	MIA 17.9% +2.2% WAS 15.7%
FTrt	13 27.0 21 25.8	MIA 32.7 +18.1 WAS 14.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 60.8% 16 60.3%	MIA 65.7% WAS 80.5% +14.8%
STL %	3 8.2% 21 6.9%	MIA 5.6% WAS 5.6%
BLK %	29 6.3% 13 9.1%	MIA 8.0% +0.7% WAS 7.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.9% 14 57.1%	MIA 45.7% WAS 51.4% +5.7%
Rim FG%	20 62.6% 1 67.3%	MIA 60.9% WAS 68.2% +7.3%
Mid FG%	7 45.3% 19 42.7%	MIA 31.3% WAS 39.3% +8.0%
3P %	27 34.4% 18 35.6%	MIA 25.6% WAS 32.6% +7.0%
FT %	2 83.1% 15 78.5%	MIA 78.1% +6.7% WAS 71.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 29.9% 20 34.1%	MIA 23.5% +0.6% WAS 22.9%
Mid Att. %	24 29.4% 25 29.4%	MIA 32.7% WAS 29.2% −3.5%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 19 36.5%	MIA 43.9% WAS 47.9% +4.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	WAS
Possessions	108	108
Possession Minutes	26.4	26.6
Points	106	107
Rebounds	53	54
Assists	23	33
Steals	6	6
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	15 (1)
Fouls	15	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (7)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	43 (3)	46 (3)
Field Goals	35-98	41-96
At-the-Rim FG	14-23	15-22
Midrange FG	10-32	11-28
2-Point FG	24-55	26-50
3-Point FG	11-43	15-46
Free Throws	25-32	10-14
Fast Break Pts	7	6
2nd Chance Pts	16	8
Points in Paint	40	40
Pts off Turnovers	7	8
Bench Points	18	30
Biggest Lead	15	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg