Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Nuggets	26%	107	98	103.2	95	89.7
	3	Mavericks	74%	117	97	102.1	95	101.0

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	38.0	9	35%	4	3	1	0	4	0	0	4	4-4	100%	1-6	17%	1-5	20%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	35.8	12	43%	4	8	1	1	2	3	1	3	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	0-3	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	33.8	8	80%	17	1	1	0	1	2	2	15	0-1	0%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24	30.9	14	54%	5	0	2	1	2	2	0	5	1-4	25%	5-6	83%	1-5	20%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	5.0	4	100%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	35.0	29	60%	3	6	1	1	1	2	1	2	6-6	100%	7-13	54%	3-8	38%
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	18.2	5	63%	2	3	1	1	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	16.2	5	50%	4	0	1	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-1	100%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	15.8	5	63%	0	1	0	1	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	11.1	7	117%	4	0	2	0	3	4	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Non-covid; Illness
Ish Smith #4 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	54%	44	22	10	5	15	20	4	40	15-19	79%	28-51	55%	9-27	33%

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25 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	38.0	9	35%	4	3	1	0	4	0	0	4	4-4	100%	1-6	17%	1-5	20%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26	35.8	12	43%	4	8	1	1	2	3	1	3	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	0-3	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	33.8	8	80%	17	1	1	0	1	2	2	15	0-1	0%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24	30.9	14	54%	5	0	2	1	2	2	0	5	1-4	25%	5-6	83%	1-5	20%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	5.0	4	100%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	35.0	29	60%	3	6	1	1	1	2	1	2	6-6	100%	7-13	54%	3-8	38%
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	18.2	5	63%	2	3	1	1	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	16.2	5	50%	4	0	1	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-1	100%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	15.8	5	63%	0	1	0	1	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	11.1	7	117%	4	0	2	0	3	4	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Non-covid; Illness
Ish Smith #4 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	54%	44	22	10	5	15	20	4	40	15-19	79%	28-51	55%	9-27	33%

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3 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 24	35.6	22	52%	9	8	1	0	4	2	0	9	6-10	60%	5-8	63%	2-8	25%
Dorian Finney-Smith #10 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 30	35.6	3	30%	3	1	1	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Spencer Dinwiddie #26 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 30	29.6	11	37%	1	8	0	1	4	2	0	1	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-8	13%
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 32	25.6	3	30%	4	0	1	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 31	20.3	11	69%	5	1	1	0	1	3	3	2	1-4	25%	5-6	83%	0-0	-

Josh Green #8 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 22	30.1	23	115%	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	2	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	6-7	86%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #11 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 31	20.7	2	10%	3	2	1	0	1	1	1	2	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	0-5	0%
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 27	17.4	5	63%	7	2	0	0	0	1	1	6	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Davis Bertans #44 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 30	14.4	15	107%	1	2	0	0	1	4	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	4-5	80%
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 35	10.7	2	33%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Facundo Campazzo #2 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Frank Ntilikina #21 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Theo Pinson #1 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaden Hardy #3 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
McKinley Wright IV #23 · PG · 5'11" 192 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| On Assignment
Tyler Dorsey #5 · SG · 6'5" 183 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| On Assignment
Maxi Kleber #42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	53%	36	24	5	3	12	18	6	30	12-21	57%	20-36	56%	15-42	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	DAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.09 54.4%

DAL

1.07 53.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

17

30

57%

DAL

15

21

71%

Midrange

DEN

11

21

52%

DAL

5

15

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

9

13.5

27

33%

50%

DAL

15

22.5

42

36%

54%

Free Throws

DEN

15

19

79%

DAL

12

21

57%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Hyland	29	60%	14.5 / 24
M. Porter	14	54%	7.0 / 13
B. Brown	12	43%	6.0 / 14
K. Caldwell-Pope	9	35%	4.5 / 13
D. Jordan	8	80%	4.0 / 5
V. Cancar	7	117%	3.5 / 3
D. Reed	5	63%	2.5 / 4
C. Braun	5	50%	2.5 / 5
Z. Nnaji	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Green	4	100%	2.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Green	23	115%	11.5 / 10
L. Dončić	22	52%	11.0 / 21
D. Bertans	15	107%	7.5 / 7
S. Dinwiddie	11	37%	5.5 / 15
D. Powell	11	69%	5.5 / 8
C. Wood	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Finney-Smith	3	30%	1.5 / 5
R. Bullock	3	30%	1.5 / 5
T. Hardaway	2	10%	1.0 / 10
J. McGee	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.1 6 116.4	DEN 103.2 +1.1 DAL 102.1
Pace	21 98.5 28 96.9	DEN 89.7 DAL 101.0 +11.4
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.7 2 15.1	DEN 16.1 DAL 14.3 −1.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.3% 5 56.5%	DEN 53.2% DAL 54.5% +1.3%
TO %	22 14.0% 2 11.9%	DEN 15.6% DAL 13.0% −2.6%
ORB %	13 24.8% 30 18.1%	DEN 11.8% DAL 13.0% +1.2%
FTrt	19 25.9 3 29.7	DEN 24.4 DAL 26.9 +2.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 66.3% 25 57.3%	DEN 59.5% DAL 68.6% +9.1%
STL %	9 7.6% 26 6.4%	DEN 10.5% +5.2% DAL 5.3%
BLK %	19 8.3% 27 6.8%	DEN 13.9% +8.0% DAL 5.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.27 and 2.27.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.7% 7 58.4%	DEN 54.4% +1.1% DAL 53.3%
Rim FG%	3 66.5% 7 65.3%	DEN 56.7% DAL 71.4% +14.7%
Mid FG%	13 43.4% 4 46.1%	DEN 52.4% +19.1% DAL 33.3%
3P %	4 37.9% 8 37.1%	DEN 33.3% DAL 35.7% +2.4%
FT %	26 75.1% 23 75.5%	DEN 78.9% +21.8% DAL 57.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 39.0% 27 30.3%	DEN 38.5% +11.5% DAL 26.9%
Mid Att. %	12 24.9% 2 21.1%	DEN 26.9% DAL 19.2% −7.7%
3P Att. %	21 36.1% 1 48.7%	DEN 34.6% DAL 53.8% +19.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.

Game Totals	DEN	DAL
Possessions	95	95
Possession Minutes	25.4	22.6
Points	98	97
Rebounds	44	36
Assists	22	24
Steals	10	5
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	12 (1)
Fouls	20	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	4 (6)	6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (0)	30 (3)
Field Goals	37-78	35-78
At-the-Rim FG	17-30	15-21
Midrange FG	11-21	5-15
2-Point FG	28-51	20-36
3-Point FG	9-27	15-42
Free Throws	15-19	12-21
Fast Break Pts	14	8
2nd Chance Pts	7	7
Points in Paint	42	34
Pts off Turnovers	23	18
Bench Points	51	47
Biggest Lead	10	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg