Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Heat	33%	108	101	97.1	104	99.9
	12	Timberwolves	67%	114	105	101.0	104	108.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	44.4	21	50%	5	9	3	2	4	1	0	5	7-11	64%	1-5	20%	4-11	36%
Max Strus #31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	40.4	19	41%	6	2	1	0	4	4	1	5	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	4-15	27%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	40.1	8	44%	6	3	3	1	1	2	3	3	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	35.0	17	40%	14	5	0	2	1	5	4	10	3-6	50%	7-16	44%	0-2	0%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 19	22.9	4	33%	5	3	1	0	1	1	1	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%

Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	25.0	10	71%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	19.9	12	75%	5	0	0	0	4	3	2	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	12.4	10	56%	3	3	0	0	0	3	1	2	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Effusion
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinosis
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	48%	46	26	9	5	15	20	12	34	20-30	67%	24-52	46%	11-38	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

20 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	44.4	21	50%	5	9	3	2	4	1	0	5	7-11	64%	1-5	20%	4-11	36%
Max Strus #31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	40.4	19	41%	6	2	1	0	4	4	1	5	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	4-15	27%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	40.1	8	44%	6	3	3	1	1	2	3	3	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	35.0	17	40%	14	5	0	2	1	5	4	10	3-6	50%	7-16	44%	0-2	0%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 19	22.9	4	33%	5	3	1	0	1	1	1	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%

Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	25.0	10	71%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	19.9	12	75%	5	0	0	0	4	3	2	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	12.4	10	56%	3	3	0	0	0	3	1	2	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Effusion
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinosis
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	48%	46	26	9	5	15	20	12	34	20-30	67%	24-52	46%	11-38	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

12 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #1 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 21	38.5	22	52%	7	4	4	1	4	3	1	6	0-1	0%	5-9	56%	4-12	33%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 27	34.4	25	66%	8	9	1	1	3	6	1	7	7-8	88%	6-7	86%	2-8	25%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	32.1	18	64%	4	3	0	0	2	2	2	2	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	3-6	50%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 30	31.4	4	100%	9	0	1	2	1	4	2	7	4-4	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
D'Angelo Russell #0 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 27	28.0	3	30%	3	5	1	1	0	2	0	3	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-4	0%

Taurean Prince #12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 29	30.2	7	50%	4	2	0	0	5	4	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 23	16.2	9	41%	4	2	0	1	1	3	0	4	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 27	15.8	12	120%	0	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-5	80%
Jaylen Nowell #4 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 23	9.2	5	36%	1	2	0	0	2	0	0	1	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Bryn Forbes #10 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	4.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Austin Rivers #25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nathan Knight #13 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kyle Anderson #5 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Back; Spasms
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
A.J. Lawson #00 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	55%	40	30	9	6	18	25	6	34	17-20	85%	23-38	61%	14-47	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

0.95 47.6%

MIN

1.11 55.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

19

32

59%

MIN

15

22

68%

Midrange

MIA

5

20

25%

MIN

8

16

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

11

16.5

38

29%

43%

MIN

14

21.0

47

30%

45%

Free Throws

MIA

20

30

67%

MIN

17

20

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Lowry	21	50%	10.5 / 21
M. Strus	19	41%	9.5 / 23
B. Adebayo	17	40%	8.5 / 21
H. Highsmith	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. Cain	10	71%	5.0 / 7
D. Dedmon	10	56%	5.0 / 9
C. Martin	8	44%	4.0 / 9
N. Jović	4	33%	2.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Towns	25	66%	12.5 / 19
A. Edwards	22	52%	11.0 / 21
J. McDaniels	18	64%	9.0 / 14
J. McLaughlin	12	120%	6.0 / 5
N. Reid	9	41%	4.5 / 11
T. Prince	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Nowell	5	36%	2.5 / 7
R. Gobert	4	100%	2.0 / 2
D. Russell	3	30%	1.5 / 5
B. Forbes	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 112.9 23 113.7	MIA 97.1 MIN 101.0 +3.8
Pace	29 96.3 10 101.0	MIA 99.9 MIN 108.3 +8.4
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.0 21 14.2	MIA 14.4 MIN 13.3 −1.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 53.0% 8 56.0%	MIA 45.0% MIN 51.8% +6.8%
TO %	15 13.2% 27 14.5%	MIA 12.7% −3.4% MIN 16.1%
ORB %	21 22.8% 27 21.5%	MIA 26.1% +11.1% MIN 15.0%
FTrt	13 27.0 12 27.0	MIA 33.3 +9.8 MIN 23.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 60.8% 12 61.0%	MIA 74.3% MIN 81.1% +6.8%
STL %	3 8.2% 7 7.9%	MIA 8.7% MIN 8.7%
BLK %	29 6.3% 6 9.8%	MIA 13.2% +1.7% MIN 11.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.9% 8 58.0%	MIA 47.6% MIN 55.3% +7.7%
Rim FG%	20 62.6% 9 64.9%	MIA 59.4% MIN 68.2% +8.8%
Mid FG%	7 45.3% 14 43.2%	MIA 25.0% MIN 50.0% +25.0%
3P %	27 34.4% 13 36.5%	MIA 28.9% MIN 29.8% +0.9%
FT %	2 83.1% 24 75.5%	MIA 66.7% MIN 85.0% +18.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 29.9% 5 38.7%	MIA 35.6% +9.7% MIN 25.9%
Mid Att. %	24 29.4% 8 23.2%	MIA 22.2% MIN 18.8% −3.4%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 14 38.1%	MIA 42.2% MIN 55.3% +13.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	MIN
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	25.0	23.0
Points	101	105
Rebounds	46	40
Assists	26	30
Steals	9	9
Blocks	5	6
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	18 (0)
Fouls	20	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (5)	6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (5)	34 (6)
Field Goals	35-90	37-85
At-the-Rim FG	19-32	15-22
Midrange FG	5-20	8-16
2-Point FG	24-52	23-38
3-Point FG	11-38	14-47
Free Throws	20-30	17-20
Fast Break Pts	22	14
2nd Chance Pts	13	4
Points in Paint	48	38
Pts off Turnovers	16	12
Bench Points	32	33
Biggest Lead	15	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg