Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Wizards	45%	104	105	106.1	99	105.9
	19	Heat	55%	106	113	113.0	100	93.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 22	40.6	12	60%	9	10	1	2	4	4	3	6	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 27	40.0	33	57%	7	1	1	0	0	1	0	7	5-7	71%	11-14	79%	2-13	15%
Corey Kispert #24 · SG · 6'6" 224 · 24	39.4	8	50%	2	2	1	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Kristaps Porziņģis #6 · C · 7'2" 240 · 27	33.1	21	48%	9	4	0	0	3	5	1	8	3-6	50%	6-10	60%	2-9	22%
Jordan Goodwin #7 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 24	24.6	8	50%	1	3	1	0	0	2	0	1	1-3	33%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%

Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 32	29.4	13	59%	7	7	1	0	2	2	0	7	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 30	12.5	2	100%	1	0	1	2	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Daniel Gafford #21 · PF · 6'10" 265 · 24	9.9	4	50%	6	0	1	0	1	3	2	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21	5.5	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 37	4.9	4	67%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Devon Dotson #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Todd #14 · PF · 6'9" 219 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vernon Carey Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 270 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thigh; Right Thigh Contusion
Rui Hachimura #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Right Ankle Soreness
Monté Morris #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Right Ankle Soreness
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Right Hamstring Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	54%	43	27	7	5	14	20	7	36	11-19	58%	32-51	63%	10-38	26%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

22 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 22	40.6	12	60%	9	10	1	2	4	4	3	6	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 27	40.0	33	57%	7	1	1	0	0	1	0	7	5-7	71%	11-14	79%	2-13	15%
Corey Kispert #24 · SG · 6'6" 224 · 24	39.4	8	50%	2	2	1	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Kristaps Porziņģis #6 · C · 7'2" 240 · 27	33.1	21	48%	9	4	0	0	3	5	1	8	3-6	50%	6-10	60%	2-9	22%
Jordan Goodwin #7 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 24	24.6	8	50%	1	3	1	0	0	2	0	1	1-3	33%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%

Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 32	29.4	13	59%	7	7	1	0	2	2	0	7	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 30	12.5	2	100%	1	0	1	2	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Daniel Gafford #21 · PF · 6'10" 265 · 24	9.9	4	50%	6	0	1	0	1	3	2	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21	5.5	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 37	4.9	4	67%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Devon Dotson #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Todd #14 · PF · 6'9" 219 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vernon Carey Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 270 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thigh; Right Thigh Contusion
Rui Hachimura #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Right Ankle Soreness
Monté Morris #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Right Ankle Soreness
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Right Hamstring Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	54%	43	27	7	5	14	20	7	36	11-19	58%	32-51	63%	10-38	26%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

19 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	40.5	24	71%	9	4	2	1	0	2	4	5	0-0	-	6-8	75%	4-9	44%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	35.3	15	42%	11	2	2	1	2	4	4	7	5-6	83%	5-15	33%	0-0	-
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	35.2	28	88%	6	3	0	1	4	5	2	4	9-9	100%	2-6	33%	5-6	83%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	29.4	17	53%	5	3	0	0	3	3	0	5	0-2	0%	1-5	20%	5-10	50%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 19	12.5	7	50%	5	0	0	0	2	0	0	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%

Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	37.8	5	36%	8	1	1	0	0	0	0	8	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	18.9	2	11%	1	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-6	0%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	17.7	6	43%	6	2	2	0	1	3	4	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	12.7	9	75%	2	1	0	2	0	1	0	2	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42	DNP – Coach's Decision
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinosis
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Impingement
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	53%	53	20	7	5	12	18	14	39	19-22	86%	23-52	44%	16-41	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIA

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.08 54.1%

MIA

1.06 52.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

23

35

66%

MIA

17

33

52%

Midrange

WAS

9

16

56%

MIA

6

19

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

10

15.0

38

26%

39%

MIA

16

24.0

41

39%

59%

Free Throws

WAS

11

19

58%

MIA

19

22

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Kuzma	33	57%	16.5 / 29
K. Porziņģis	21	48%	10.5 / 22
W. Barton	13	59%	6.5 / 11
D. Avdija	12	60%	6.0 / 10
C. Kispert	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Goodwin	8	50%	4.0 / 8
D. Gafford	4	50%	2.0 / 4
T. Gibson	4	67%	2.0 / 3
A. Gill	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Lowry	28	88%	14.0 / 16
C. Martin	24	71%	12.0 / 17
T. Herro	17	53%	8.5 / 16
B. Adebayo	15	42%	7.5 / 18
D. Dedmon	9	75%	4.5 / 6
N. Jović	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Cain	6	43%	3.0 / 7
H. Highsmith	5	36%	2.5 / 7
G. Vincent	2	11%	1.0 / 9

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 113.8 25 112.5	WAS 106.1 MIA 113.0 +6.9
Pace	19 99.1 29 96.8	WAS 105.9 +12.1 MIA 93.9
Avg. Poss. Time	6 14.8 5 15.0	WAS 13.6 −1.7 MIA 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 25 53.0%	WAS 52.8% +2.3% MIA 50.5%
TO %	17 13.4% 15 13.1%	WAS 12.6% MIA 11.2% −1.4%
ORB %	23 22.6% 21 22.8%	WAS 15.2% MIA 28.0% +12.8%
FTrt	21 25.8 13 27.0	WAS 21.3 MIA 23.7 +2.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 60.3% 14 60.8%	WAS 64.3% +13.0% MIA 51.3%
STL %	22 6.9% 3 8.2%	WAS 7.1% +0.1% MIA 7.0%
BLK %	18 8.4% 23 7.5%	WAS 9.6% MIA 9.8% +0.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 57.1% 22 55.9%	WAS 54.1% +1.3% MIA 52.8%
Rim FG%	1 68.7% 21 63.3%	WAS 65.7% +14.2% MIA 51.5%
Mid FG%	18 43.0% 6 45.5%	WAS 56.3% +24.7% MIA 31.6%
3P %	18 35.6% 27 34.4%	WAS 26.3% MIA 39.0% +12.7%
FT %	15 78.5% 2 83.1%	WAS 57.9% MIA 86.4% +28.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 31.9% 29 28.3%	WAS 39.3% +3.8% MIA 35.5%
Mid Att. %	26 31.6% 24 30.9%	WAS 18.0% −2.5% MIA 20.4%
3P Att. %	19 36.5% 9 40.8%	WAS 42.7% MIA 44.1% +1.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Game Totals	WAS	MIA
Possessions	99	100
Possession Minutes	22.4	25.6
Points	105	113
Rebounds	43	53
Assists	27	20
Steals	7	7
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	12 (1)
Fouls	20	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (5)	14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (2)	39 (2)
Field Goals	42-89	39-93
At-the-Rim FG	23-35	17-33
Midrange FG	9-16	6-19
2-Point FG	32-51	23-52
3-Point FG	10-38	16-41
Free Throws	11-19	19-22
Fast Break Pts	5	12
2nd Chance Pts	6	15
Points in Paint	50	40
Pts off Turnovers	13	18
Bench Points	23	22
Biggest Lead	9	21

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg