Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Wizards	49%	107	107	109.2	98	93.6
	21	Heat	51%	108	110	113.4	97	101.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 27	38.9	28	61%	7	5	1	0	3	2	3	4	3-3	100%	8-12	67%	3-10	30%
Bradley Beal #3 · PG · 6'4" 207 · 29	37.8	28	67%	5	5	1	3	1	3	2	3	2-3	67%	7-13	54%	4-7	57%
Kristaps Porziņģis #6 · C · 7'2" 240 · 27	35.9	18	47%	7	1	0	2	1	3	2	5	3-3	100%	6-14	43%	1-4	25%
Corey Kispert #24 · SG · 6'6" 224 · 24	34.5	5	25%	2	4	1	0	1	2	2	0	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	1-7	14%
Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 22	30.7	8	36%	9	5	1	2	3	3	1	8	4-6	67%	2-4	50%	0-4	0%

Jordan Goodwin #7 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 24	25.1	7	70%	6	2	2	0	2	3	1	5	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 32	16.1	5	28%	3	4	1	0	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	1-5	20%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 30	12.9	2	100%	3	1	0	1	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Daniel Gafford #21 · PF · 6'10" 265 · 24	8.1	6	100%	3	0	0	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devon Dotson #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Todd #14 · PF · 6'9" 219 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vernon Carey Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 270 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Right groin soreness
Monté Morris #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Right ankle soreness
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Right hamstring Strain
Rui Hachimura #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Right ankle soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	51%	45	27	7	9	12	18	13	32	16-20	80%	29-54	54%	11-39	28%

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20 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 27	38.9	28	61%	7	5	1	0	3	2	3	4	3-3	100%	8-12	67%	3-10	30%
Bradley Beal #3 · PG · 6'4" 207 · 29	37.8	28	67%	5	5	1	3	1	3	2	3	2-3	67%	7-13	54%	4-7	57%
Kristaps Porziņģis #6 · C · 7'2" 240 · 27	35.9	18	47%	7	1	0	2	1	3	2	5	3-3	100%	6-14	43%	1-4	25%
Corey Kispert #24 · SG · 6'6" 224 · 24	34.5	5	25%	2	4	1	0	1	2	2	0	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	1-7	14%
Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 22	30.7	8	36%	9	5	1	2	3	3	1	8	4-6	67%	2-4	50%	0-4	0%

Jordan Goodwin #7 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 24	25.1	7	70%	6	2	2	0	2	3	1	5	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 32	16.1	5	28%	3	4	1	0	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	1-5	20%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 30	12.9	2	100%	3	1	0	1	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Daniel Gafford #21 · PF · 6'10" 265 · 24	8.1	6	100%	3	0	0	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devon Dotson #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Todd #14 · PF · 6'9" 219 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vernon Carey Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 270 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Right groin soreness
Monté Morris #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Right ankle soreness
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Right hamstring Strain
Rui Hachimura #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Right ankle soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	51%	45	27	7	9	12	18	13	32	16-20	80%	29-54	54%	11-39	28%

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21 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	39.5	13	50%	7	8	1	0	0	3	2	5	3-3	100%	2-6	33%	2-6	33%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	38.6	11	31%	5	10	0	1	5	1	0	5	1-1	100%	2-8	25%	2-10	20%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27	38.4	20	77%	4	1	1	0	2	2	0	4	4-5	80%	5-7	71%	2-4	50%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	35.3	38	73%	12	3	0	0	0	4	3	9	8-8	100%	15-21	71%	0-1	0%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 19	14.5	7	58%	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-3	0%

Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	33.5	6	43%	7	1	0	1	1	1	2	5	1-4	25%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Dru Smith #9 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 25	15.9	2	33%	3	1	1	2	1	5	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	12.7	9	56%	5	0	1	0	1	1	2	3	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	11.5	4	67%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42	DNP – Coach's Decision
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	INACTIVE
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinosis
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Impingement
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	55%	47	24	5	5	10	19	10	37	19-23	83%	35-63	56%	7-26	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.02 51.0%

MIA

1.09 54.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

17

24

71%

MIA

21

38

55%

Midrange

WAS

12

30

40%

MIA

14

25

56%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

11

16.5

39

28%

42%

MIA

7

10.5

26

27%

40%

Free Throws

WAS

16

20

80%

MIA

19

23

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Kuzma	28	61%	14.0 / 23
B. Beal	28	67%	14.0 / 21
K. Porziņģis	18	47%	9.0 / 19
D. Avdija	8	36%	4.0 / 11
J. Goodwin	7	70%	3.5 / 5
D. Gafford	6	100%	3.0 / 3
C. Kispert	5	25%	2.5 / 10
W. Barton	5	28%	2.5 / 9
A. Gill	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	38	73%	19.0 / 26
C. Martin	20	77%	10.0 / 13
K. Lowry	13	50%	6.5 / 13
T. Herro	11	31%	5.5 / 18
D. Dedmon	9	56%	4.5 / 8
N. Jović	7	58%	3.5 / 6
H. Highsmith	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Cain	4	67%	2.0 / 3
D. Smith	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 114.3 25 112.9	WAS 109.2 MIA 113.4 +4.2
Pace	20 98.6 29 96.3	WAS 93.6 MIA 101.7 +8.1
Avg. Poss. Time	6 14.9 5 15.0	WAS 15.4 MIA 14.2 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 25 53.0%	WAS 48.9% MIA 51.1% +2.2%
TO %	17 13.5% 15 13.2%	WAS 10.5% −1.1% MIA 11.6%
ORB %	23 22.7% 21 22.8%	WAS 26.0% +2.2% MIA 23.8%
FTrt	21 25.8 13 27.0	WAS 21.5 MIA 25.8 +4.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 60.3% 14 60.8%	WAS 67.5% +10.4% MIA 57.1%
STL %	21 6.9% 3 8.2%	WAS 7.1% +1.9% MIA 5.2%
BLK %	13 9.1% 29 6.3%	WAS 14.3% +5.0% MIA 9.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 57.1% 22 55.9%	WAS 51.0% MIA 54.5% +3.5%
Rim FG%	1 67.3% 20 62.6%	WAS 70.8% +15.5% MIA 55.3%
Mid FG%	19 42.7% 7 45.3%	WAS 40.0% MIA 56.0% +16.0%
3P %	18 35.6% 27 34.4%	WAS 28.2% +1.3% MIA 26.9%
FT %	15 78.5% 2 83.1%	WAS 80.0% MIA 82.6% +2.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 34.1% 29 29.9%	WAS 25.8% MIA 42.7% +16.9%
Mid Att. %	25 29.4% 24 29.4%	WAS 32.3% MIA 28.1% −4.2%
3P Att. %	19 36.5% 9 40.8%	WAS 41.9% +12.7% MIA 29.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	MIA
Possessions	98	97
Possession Minutes	25.1	22.9
Points	107	110
Rebounds	45	47
Assists	27	24
Steals	7	5
Blocks	9	5
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	10 (3)
Fouls	18	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (6)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (2)	37 (0)
Field Goals	40-93	42-89
At-the-Rim FG	17-24	21-38
Midrange FG	12-30	14-25
2-Point FG	29-54	35-63
3-Point FG	11-39	7-26
Free Throws	16-20	19-23
Fast Break Pts	7	15
2nd Chance Pts	23	11
Points in Paint	46	62
Pts off Turnovers	17	20
Bench Points	20	21
Biggest Lead	12	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg