Final Win Prob. pScore
2142%109
106
1358%112
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
107.19998.4
ATL logo Hawks
99.099100.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.106
98
Q4 - 0:07.3HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)106
98
Q4 - 0:29.4HeatMax Strus defensive rebound106
98
Q4 - 0:34.0HawksAJ Griffin misses three point stepback jump shot106
98
Q4 - 0:40.1HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound106
98
Q4 - 0:42.8HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot106
98
Q4 - 1:00HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound106
98
Q4 - 1:02HawksDejounte Murray misses three point pullup jump shot106
98
Q4 - 1:15HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound106
98
Q4 - 1:18HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot106
98
Q4 - 1:36HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound106
98
Q4 - 1:38HawksAJ Griffin misses two point turnaround jump shot106
98
Q4 - 1:50HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound106
98
Q4 - 1:52HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot106
98
Q4 - 2:07HawksDe'Andre Hunter personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)106
98
Q4 - 2:20HawksJohn Collins makes two point layup (De'Andre Hunter assists)106
98
Q4 - 2:37Instant replay106
96
Q4 - 2:35Hawks lineup change (Trae Young, Dejounte Murray, AJ Griffin, John Collins, De'Andre Hunter)106
96
Q4 - 2:35Hawks 60 second timeout106
96
Q4 - 2:37HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds step)106
96
Q4 - 2:58HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound106
96
Q4 - 3:01HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot106
96
Q4 - 3:11HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating jump shot106
96
Q4 - 3:27HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound104
96
Q4 - 3:27HawksDejounte Murray misses regular free throw 1 of 1104
96
Q4 - 3:27HawksTrae Young makes technical free throw 1 of 1104
96
Q4 - 3:27HeatTyler Herro technical foul104
95
Q4 - 3:27HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)104
95
Q4 - 3:27HawksDejounte Murray makes two point driving floating jump shot104
95
Q4 - 3:32HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound104
93
Q4 - 3:34HeatMax Strus misses two point cutting layup104
93
Q4 - 3:38HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound104
93
Q4 - 3:41HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving floating jump shot104
93
Q4 - 3:55HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound104
93
Q4 - 3:58HawksTrae Young misses two point driving floating jump shot104
93
Q4 - 4:08HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)104
93
Q4 - 4:22Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Max Strus, Caleb Martin, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)102
93
Q4 - 4:22Heat 60 second timeout102
93
Q4 - 4:33HawksDejounte Murray makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)102
93
Q4 - 4:41HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound102
90
Q4 - 4:44HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point floating jump shot102
90
Q4 - 4:56HeatDru Smith defensive rebound102
90
Q4 - 4:58HawksOnyeka Okongwu misses two point running layup102
90
Q4 - 5:02HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Onyeka Okongwu steals)102
90
Q4 - 5:14Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Dru Smith, Caleb Martin, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)102
90
Q4 - 5:14Heat 60 second timeout102
90
Q4 - 5:20HawksJohn Collins makes two point tip dunk102
90
Q4 - 5:20HawksJohn Collins offensive rebound102
88
Q4 - 5:25HawksDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot102
88
Q4 - 5:45HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)102
88
Q4 - 6:06HawksTrae Young makes two point driving floating bank jump shot99
88
Q4 - 6:13HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (traveling)99
86
Q4 - 6:25HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound99
86
Q4 - 6:28HawksDejounte Murray misses two point driving layup99
86
Q4 - 6:42Stoppage (Out of bounds)99
86
Q4 - 6:42HawksHawks defensive rebound99
86
Q4 - 6:44HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot99
86
Q4 - 7:04HawksDe'Andre Hunter turnover (bad pass) (Dewayne Dedmon steals)99
86
Q4 - 7:11Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)99
86
Q4 - 7:12HawksTrae Young offensive rebound99
86
Q4 - 7:16HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot99
86
Q4 - 7:36Hawks lineup change (Trae Young, Dejounte Murray, Onyeka Okongwu, John Collins, De'Andre Hunter)99
86
Q4 - 7:36Hawks 60 second timeout99
86
Q4 - 7:36HeatDru Smith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)99
86
Q4 - 7:46HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound96
86
Q4 - 7:49HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point driving floating jump shot96
86
Q4 - 8:05HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot96
86
Q4 - 8:13HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound93
86
Q4 - 8:17HawksCaleb Martin blocks Onyeka Okongwu's two point dunk93
86
Q4 - 8:23HawksAJ Griffin defensive rebound93
86
Q4 - 8:25HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot93
86
Q4 - 8:34Stoppage (Court cleanup)93
86
Q4 - 8:34HawksHawks turnover (shot clock violation)93
86
Q4 - 8:34HawksHawks offensive rebound93
86
Q4 - 8:35HawksAJ Griffin misses three point jump shot93
86
Q4 - 8:58Hawks lineup change (Dejounte Murray, Onyeka Okongwu, AJ Griffin, John Collins, De'Andre Hunter)93
86
Q4 - 8:58Hawks 60 second timeout93
86
Q4 - 8:59HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup93
86
Q4 - 9:03HawksFrank Kaminsky turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)91
86
Q4 - 9:08HawksJalen Johnson offensive rebound91
86
Q4 - 9:14HawksAJ Griffin misses three point jump shot91
86
Q4 - 9:22HawksFrank Kaminsky defensive rebound91
86
Q4 - 9:25HeatDewayne Dedmon misses regular free throw 1 of 191
86
Q4 - 9:25HawksFrank Kaminsky shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)91
86
Q4 - 9:25HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point cutting layup (Dru Smith assists)91
86
Q4 - 9:40HawksTrent Forrest makes two point floating jump shot (Frank Kaminsky assists)89
86
Q4 - 9:50HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound89
84
Q4 - 9:54HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot89
84
Q4 - 10:01HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound89
84
Q4 - 10:05HawksAJ Griffin misses three point pullup jump shot89
84
Q4 - 10:24HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point turnaround hook shot (Caleb Martin assists)89
84
Q4 - 10:33HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound87
84
Q4 - 10:36HeatDewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot87
84
Q4 - 10:51HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound87
84
Q4 - 10:53HawksDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot87
84
Q4 - 11:13HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving floating bank jump shot87
84
Q4 - 11:36HawksFrank Kaminsky makes three point jump shot (Trent Forrest assists)85
84
Q4 - 12:00Hawks lineup change (Dejounte Murray, Jalen Johnson, Frank Kaminsky, AJ Griffin, Trent Forrest)85
81
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.85
81
Q3 - 0:00.9HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Dru Smith steals)85
81
Q3 - 0:14.4HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound85
81
Q3 - 0:18.1HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot85
81
Q3 - 0:33.1HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound85
81
Q3 - 0:36.5HawksFrank Kaminsky misses two point layup85
81
Q3 - 0:55.7HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)85
81
Q3 - 1:06HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 283
81
Q3 - 1:06Hawks lineup change (Trae Young, Jalen Johnson, Frank Kaminsky, AJ Griffin, Trent Forrest)83
80
Q3 - 1:06Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Haywood Highsmith, Dru Smith, Caleb Martin, Tyler Herro)83
80
Q3 - 1:06HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 283
80
Q3 - 1:06HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)83
79
Q3 - 1:11HawksFrank Kaminsky defensive rebound83
79
Q3 - 1:13HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot83
79
Q3 - 1:30HawksFrank Kaminsky makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)83
79
Q3 - 1:37HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound83
76
Q3 - 1:40HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot83
76
Q3 - 1:58HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound83
76
Q3 - 2:02HawksTrae Young misses three point stepback jump shot83
76
Q3 - 2:18HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 283
76
Q3 - 2:18Hawks lineup change (Trae Young, Frank Kaminsky, AJ Griffin, Trent Forrest, John Collins)82
76
Q3 - 2:18Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Dru Smith, Caleb Martin, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)82
76
Q3 - 2:18HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 282
76
Q3 - 2:18HawksAJ Griffin shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)81
76
Q3 - 2:25HawksJohn Collins makes two point jump shot (De'Andre Hunter assists)81
76
Q3 - 2:40HeatMax Strus makes two point layup (Haywood Highsmith assists)81
74
Q3 - 2:46HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound79
74
Q3 - 2:49HawksAJ Griffin misses three point jump shot79
74
Q3 - 2:52HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound79
74
Q3 - 2:56HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses three point jump shot79
74
Q3 - 3:10HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving hook shot (Kyle Lowry assists)79
74
Q3 - 3:22HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound77
74
Q3 - 3:25HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point stepback jump shot77
74
Q3 - 3:33HawksTrae Young offensive rebound77
74
Q3 - 3:37HawksTrae Young misses two point driving layup77
74
Q3 - 3:43HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound77
74
Q3 - 3:46HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot77
74
Q3 - 3:59HeatDru Smith defensive rebound77
74
Q3 - 4:03HawksTrae Young misses three point jump shot77
74
Q3 - 4:07HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound77
74
Q3 - 4:11HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot77
74
Q3 - 4:23HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 2 of 277
74
Q3 - 4:23HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 1 of 277
73
Q3 - 4:23HeatMax Strus personal foul (Loose ball) (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)77
72
Q3 - 4:23HeatMax Strus turnover (lost ball)77
72
Q3 - 4:38Hawks lineup change (Trae Young, Onyeka Okongwu, AJ Griffin, John Collins, De'Andre Hunter)77
72
Q3 - 4:38Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Haywood Highsmith, Dru Smith, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo)77
72
Q3 - 4:38Heat 60 second timeout77
72
Q3 - 4:38Stoppage (Out of bounds)77
72
Q3 - 4:38HeatHeat defensive rebound77
72
Q3 - 4:39HawksTrae Young misses two point driving floating bank jump shot77
72
Q3 - 5:03HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)77
72
Q3 - 5:10HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound75
72
Q3 - 5:13HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot75
72
Q3 - 5:20HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)75
72
Q3 - 5:31HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot73
72
Q3 - 5:40HawksDejounte Murray defensive rebound73
70
Q3 - 5:44HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot73
70
Q3 - 6:04HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 273
70
Q3 - 6:04HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 273
69
Q3 - 6:04HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)73
68
Q3 - 6:10John Collins defensive goaltending violation73
68
Q3 - 6:10HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)73
68
Q3 - 6:25HawksJohn Collins makes two point driving floating jump shot (Trae Young assists)71
68
Q3 - 6:35HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Onyeka Okongwu draws the foul)71
66
Q3 - 6:49HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 271
66
Q3 - 6:49HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 270
66
Q3 - 6:49HawksJohn Collins shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)69
66
Q3 - 6:55HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound69
66
Q3 - 6:57HawksDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot69
66
Q3 - 7:04HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (John Collins draws the foul)69
66
Q3 - 7:22HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)69
66
Q3 - 7:42HawksJohn Collins makes two point turnaround jump shot (Trae Young assists)67
66
Q3 - 7:54HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup (Kyle Lowry assists)67
64
Q3 - 7:59HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound65
64
Q3 - 8:02HawksDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot65
64
Q3 - 8:25Hawks 60 second timeout65
64
Q3 - 8:27HeatKyle Lowry makes three point running jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)65
64
Q3 - 8:30HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound62
64
Q3 - 8:35HawksJohn Collins misses three point jump shot62
64
Q3 - 8:47HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 3 of 362
64
Q3 - 8:47HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 361
64
Q3 - 8:47HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 360
64
Q3 - 8:47HawksTrae Young shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)59
64
Q3 - 8:49HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)59
64
Q3 - 8:54HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)59
64
Q3 - 8:54HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)59
64
Q3 - 9:13HawksJohn Collins makes two point alley-oop dunk (Trae Young assists)59
64
Q3 - 9:28HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 259
62
Q3 - 9:28HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 258
62
Q3 - 9:28HawksJohn Collins shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)57
62
Q3 - 9:32HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound57
62
Q3 - 9:35HawksDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot57
62
Q3 - 9:41HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)57
62
Q3 - 9:41HeatHeat offensive rebound57
62
Q3 - 9:42HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot57
62
Q3 - 10:02HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound57
62
Q3 - 10:05HawksOnyeka Okongwu misses two point driving finger roll layup57
62
Q3 - 10:10HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)57
62
Q3 - 10:22HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running dunk57
62
Q3 - 10:26HawksDejounte Murray turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)55
62
Q3 - 10:32HawksDejounte Murray defensive rebound55
62
Q3 - 10:36HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot55
62
Q3 - 10:46HawksHawks turnover (shot clock violation)55
62
Q3 - 11:13HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)55
62
Q3 - 11:23HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 253
62
Q3 - 11:23HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 253
61
Q3 - 11:23HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)53
60
Q3 - 11:40HeatCaleb Martin makes two point reverse layup (Max Strus assists)53
60
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.51
60
Q2 - 0:00.2HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound51
60
Q2 - 0:03.5HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot51
60
Q2 - 0:07.3HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point alley-oop layup (Trae Young assists)51
60
Q2 - 0:27.6HeatMax Strus personal foul (Loose ball) (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)51
58
Q2 - 0:27.6HawksHawks defensive rebound51
58
Q2 - 0:30.1HeatBam Adebayo misses two point cutting layup51
58
Q2 - 0:38.6HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point driving floating jump shot (Trae Young assists)51
58
Q2 - 0:47.4HawksTrae Young defensive rebound51
56
Q2 - 0:51.3HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot51
56
Q2 - 0:57.9HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound51
56
Q2 - 1:00HawksJohn Collins misses three point jump shot51
56
Q2 - 1:11HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving reverse layup51
56
Q2 - 1:17Stoppage (Out of bounds)49
56
Q2 - 1:17HeatHeat defensive rebound49
56
Q2 - 1:18HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point jump shot49
56
Q2 - 1:37HeatKyle Lowry makes two point running layup (Tyler Herro assists)49
56
Q2 - 1:41HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound47
56
Q2 - 1:44HawksTrae Young misses two point driving finger roll layup47
56
Q2 - 2:01HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 247
56
Q2 - 2:01HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 246
56
Q2 - 2:01HawksDe'Andre Hunter shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)45
56
Q2 - 2:19HawksJohn Collins makes two point turnaround jump shot (Trae Young assists)45
56
Q2 - 2:30HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound45
54
Q2 - 2:33HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot45
54
Q2 - 2:42HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 245
54
Q2 - 2:42HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 245
53
Q2 - 2:42HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)45
52
Q2 - 2:49HawksTrae Young defensive rebound45
52
Q2 - 2:52HeatMax Strus misses two point reverse layup45
52
Q2 - 3:11HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point tip dunk45
52
Q2 - 3:11HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound45
50
Q2 - 3:16HawksTrae Young misses three point stepback jump shot45
50
Q2 - 3:31Hawks 60 second timeout45
50
Q2 - 3:39HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup (Kyle Lowry assists)45
50
Q2 - 3:45HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)43
50
Q2 - 3:46HawksTrae Young offensive rebound43
50
Q2 - 3:50HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses three point jump shot43
50
Q2 - 4:03Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Max Strus, Caleb Martin, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)43
50
Q2 - 4:03HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)43
50
Q2 - 4:09HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)43
50
Q2 - 4:23HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point alley-oop layup (Trae Young assists)41
50
Q2 - 4:35HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving hook shot41
48
Q2 - 4:55HawksJohn Collins makes two point driving floating jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)39
48
Q2 - 5:11HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound39
46
Q2 - 5:14HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot39
46
Q2 - 5:29HawksJohn Collins makes two point running layup (Trae Young assists)39
46
Q2 - 5:37HeatTyler Herro makes two point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)39
44
Q2 - 5:43Stoppage (Out of bounds)37
44
Q2 - 5:48HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound37
44
Q2 - 5:51HawksJohn Collins misses two point driving floating jump shot37
44
Q2 - 5:59HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Loose ball) (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)37
44
Q2 - 5:59HawksHawks offensive rebound37
44
Q2 - 6:00HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point driving floating jump shot37
44
Q2 - 6:08HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)37
44
Q2 - 6:30HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point pullup jump shot35
44
Q2 - 6:49HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 235
42
Q2 - 6:49Hawks lineup change (Trae Young, Dejounte Murray, Onyeka Okongwu, John Collins, De'Andre Hunter)34
42
Q2 - 6:49HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 234
42
Q2 - 6:49HawksJalen Johnson shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)33
42
Q2 - 7:09HawksJalen Johnson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)33
42
Q2 - 7:14HeatCaleb Martin turnover (lost ball) (AJ Griffin steals)33
42
Q2 - 7:24HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound33
42
Q2 - 7:27HawksOnyeka Okongwu misses two point turnaround hook shot33
42
Q2 - 7:41Hawks lineup change (Dejounte Murray, Jalen Johnson, Onyeka Okongwu, AJ Griffin, De'Andre Hunter)33
42
Q2 - 7:41Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Haywood Highsmith, Caleb Martin, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)33
42
Q2 - 7:41HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds lost ball)33
42
Q2 - 8:06HawksAJ Griffin makes three point stepback jump shot33
42
Q2 - 8:24HeatDewayne Dedmon makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)33
39
Q2 - 8:34HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound30
39
Q2 - 8:38HawksDejounte Murray misses three point running jump shot30
39
Q2 - 8:44HawksFrank Kaminsky defensive rebound30
39
Q2 - 8:46HeatCaleb Martin misses two point running finger roll layup30
39
Q2 - 8:50HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound30
39
Q2 - 8:52HawksAJ Griffin misses three point jump shot30
39
Q2 - 9:00HawksFrank Kaminsky defensive rebound30
39
Q2 - 9:05HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot30
39
Q2 - 9:19Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Kyle Lowry, Max Strus, Caleb Martin, Tyler Herro)30
39
Q2 - 9:19Heat 60 second timeout30
39
Q2 - 9:19HawksAJ Griffin makes two point pullup jump shot (Jalen Johnson assists)30
39
Q2 - 9:26HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound30
37
Q2 - 9:29HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot30
37
Q2 - 9:50HawksDejounte Murray makes two point running layup30
37
Q2 - 9:52HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Dejounte Murray steals)30
35
Q2 - 10:17HawksAJ Griffin makes three point jump shot (Trent Forrest assists)30
35
Q2 - 10:24HawksDejounte Murray defensive rebound30
32
Q2 - 10:28HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot30
32
Q2 - 10:34HeatDru Smith defensive rebound30
32
Q2 - 10:37HawksDejounte Murray misses two point turnaround jump shot30
32
Q2 - 10:54HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 230
32
Q2 - 10:54HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 229
32
Q2 - 10:54HawksJalen Johnson shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)28
32
Q2 - 10:59HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound28
32
Q2 - 11:03HeatDewayne Dedmon misses regular free throw 1 of 128
32
Q2 - 11:03HawksFrank Kaminsky shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)28
32
Q2 - 11:03HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)28
32
Q2 - 11:14HawksDejounte Murray turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)26
32
Q2 - 11:27HawksDejounte Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 126
32
Q2 - 11:27Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)26
31
Q2 - 11:43HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)26
31
Q2 - 12:00Hawks lineup change (Dejounte Murray, Jalen Johnson, Frank Kaminsky, AJ Griffin, Trent Forrest)23
31
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.23
31
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat defensive rebound23
31
Q1 - 0:01.3HawksFrank Kaminsky misses three point jump shot23
31
Q1 - 0:10.4HeatDru Smith makes two point driving floating jump shot23
31
Q1 - 0:29.0HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 221
31
Q1 - 0:29.0Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Kyle Lowry, Haywood Highsmith, Dru Smith, Max Strus)21
30
Q1 - 0:29.0HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 221
30
Q1 - 0:29.0HeatJamal Cain shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)21
29
Q1 - 0:34.8HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point pullup jump shot21
29
Q1 - 0:44.7HeatMax Strus defensive rebound19
29
Q1 - 0:47.8HawksAJ Griffin misses three point jump shot19
29
Q1 - 0:53.6HawksAJ Griffin defensive rebound19
29
Q1 - 0:56.9HeatDru Smith misses two point driving floating bank jump shot19
29
Q1 - 1:15HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 219
29
Q1 - 1:15HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 219
28
Q1 - 1:15HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)19
27
Q1 - 1:22HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound19
27
Q1 - 1:25HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot19
27
Q1 - 1:41HawksTrae Young makes two point driving finger roll layup19
27
Q1 - 1:44HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (bad pass) (Trae Young steals)19
25
Q1 - 1:45HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound19
25
Q1 - 1:49HawksHaywood Highsmith blocks AJ Griffin's two point pullup jump shot19
25
Q1 - 2:07Hawks lineup change (Trae Young, Jalen Johnson, Frank Kaminsky, AJ Griffin, Trent Forrest)19
25
Q1 - 2:07Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Haywood Highsmith, Dru Smith, Max Strus, Jamal Cain)19
25
Q1 - 2:07Hawks 60 second timeout19
25
Q1 - 2:07John Collins defensive goaltending violation19
25
Q1 - 2:07HeatMax Strus makes two point driving finger roll layup19
25
Q1 - 2:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound17
25
Q1 - 2:21HawksJohn Collins misses three point running jump shot17
25
Q1 - 2:25HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound17
25
Q1 - 2:30HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot17
25
Q1 - 2:35HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound17
25
Q1 - 2:39HawksBam Adebayo blocks AJ Griffin's two point driving floating jump shot17
25
Q1 - 3:04HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 217
25
Q1 - 3:04Hawks lineup change (Trae Young, Onyeka Okongwu, AJ Griffin, Trent Forrest, John Collins)16
25
Q1 - 3:04Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Dru Smith, Max Strus, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo)16
25
Q1 - 3:04HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 216
25
Q1 - 3:04HawksOnyeka Okongwu shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)15
25
Q1 - 3:16HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)15
25
Q1 - 3:36HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot15
22
Q1 - 4:00HawksJohn Collins makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)13
22
Q1 - 4:06HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound13
19
Q1 - 4:08HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot13
19
Q1 - 4:11HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound13
19
Q1 - 4:15HeatOnyeka Okongwu blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving floating jump shot13
19
Q1 - 4:31HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point jump shot (Trae Young assists)13
19
Q1 - 4:33Hawks lineup change (Trae Young, Onyeka Okongwu, AJ Griffin, John Collins, De'Andre Hunter)13
17
Q1 - 4:33Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Dru Smith, Caleb Martin, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)13
17
Q1 - 4:33Stoppage (Out of bounds)13
17
Q1 - 4:53HeatTyler Herro turnover (discontinue dribble)13
17
Q1 - 5:07HawksDejounte Murray makes three point jump shot (John Collins assists)13
17
Q1 - 5:22HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)13
14
Q1 - 5:35HawksHawks turnover (shot clock violation)11
14
Q1 - 5:35HawksHawks offensive rebound11
14
Q1 - 5:36HawksDru Smith blocks Trae Young's two point driving floating jump shot11
14
Q1 - 5:44Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Max Strus, Caleb Martin, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)11
14
Q1 - 5:44Stoppage (Out of bounds)11
14
Q1 - 5:57HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound11
14
Q1 - 6:01HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot11
14
Q1 - 6:23HawksTrae Young makes two point driving floating jump shot11
14
Q1 - 6:34HeatMax Strus turnover (bad pass) (De'Andre Hunter steals)11
12
Q1 - 6:36HeatMax Strus defensive rebound11
12
Q1 - 6:39HawksDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot11
12
Q1 - 6:54HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)11
12
Q1 - 7:05Heat 60 second timeout8
12
Q1 - 7:14HawksDejounte Murray makes two point running layup8
12
Q1 - 7:18HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound8
10
Q1 - 7:21HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot8
10
Q1 - 7:22HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound8
10
Q1 - 7:26HeatOnyeka Okongwu blocks Bam Adebayo's two point reverse layup8
10
Q1 - 7:44HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound8
10
Q1 - 7:47HawksTrae Young misses three point jump shot8
10
Q1 - 7:57HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound8
10
Q1 - 7:58HeatKyle Lowry misses two point tip layup8
10
Q1 - 7:58HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound8
10
Q1 - 8:02HeatMax Strus misses two point running layup8
10
Q1 - 8:03HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound8
10
Q1 - 8:07HawksKyle Lowry blocks John Collins's two point hook shot8
10
Q1 - 8:21HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating jump shot8
10
Q1 - 8:25HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
10
Q1 - 8:28HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point driving layup6
10
Q1 - 8:35HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (De'Andre Hunter steals)6
10
Q1 - 8:46HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 2 of 26
10
Q1 - 8:46HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 1 of 26
9
Q1 - 8:46HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)6
8
Q1 - 8:52HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound6
8
Q1 - 8:55HawksDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot6
8
Q1 - 9:01HawksDejounte Murray defensive rebound6
8
Q1 - 9:04HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot6
8
Q1 - 9:11HawksJohn Collins personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)6
8
Q1 - 9:20HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound6
8
Q1 - 9:22HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot6
8
Q1 - 9:35HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)6
8
Q1 - 9:47HawksTrae Young makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)3
8
Q1 - 9:53Stoppage (Out of bounds)3
5
Q1 - 10:06Stoppage (Out of bounds)3
5
Q1 - 10:06HawksHawks defensive rebound3
5
Q1 - 10:07HeatJohn Collins blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving hook shot3
5
Q1 - 10:24HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes three point jump shot (John Collins assists)3
5
Q1 - 10:29HawksDejounte Murray defensive rebound3
2
Q1 - 10:33HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot3
2
Q1 - 10:39HawksOnyeka Okongwu turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)3
2
Q1 - 10:45HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound3
2
Q1 - 10:47HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot3
2
Q1 - 10:55HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound3
2
Q1 - 10:55HawksJohn Collins misses two point layup3
2
Q1 - 11:17HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)3
2
Q1 - 11:43HawksJohn Collins makes two point alley-oop dunk (Trae Young assists)0
2
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Onyeka Okongwu (John Collins gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Hawks lineup change (Trae Young, Dejounte Murray, Onyeka Okongwu, John Collins, De'Andre Hunter)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Max Strus, Caleb Martin, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.13 56.4%
ATL
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
22
29
76%
ATL
11
19
58%
Midrange
MIA
9
20
45%
ATL
14
33
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
33
27%
41%
ATL
10
15.0
36
28%
42%
Free Throws
MIA
17
19
89%
ATL
18
19
95%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo3270%16.0 / 23
C. Martin2077%10.0 / 13
M. Strus1653%8.0 / 15
D. Dedmon1393%6.5 / 7
T. Herro1137%5.5 / 15
K. Lowry941%4.5 / 11
D. Smith583%2.5 / 3
H. Highsmith0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Collins2368%11.5 / 17
T. Young2250%11.0 / 22
D. Hunter1856%9.0 / 16
D. Murray1341%6.5 / 16
A. Griffin831%4.0 / 13
O. Okongwu643%3.0 / 7
F. Kaminsky675%3.0 / 4
T. Forrest2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
87
+7
-12
94
ATL
90
+11
-9
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.13 56.4%
ATL
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.9
115.8
MIA 107.1 +8.1
ATL 99.0
Pace
96.3
101.3
MIA 98.4
ATL 100.9 +2.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.0
MIA 14.6
ATL 14.3 −0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.0%
54.1%
MIA 54.3% +8.8%
ATL 45.5%
TO %
13.2%
12.1%
MIA 13.4%
ATL 11.1% −2.3%
ORB %
22.8%
25.1%
MIA 15.0%
ATL 16.7% +1.7%
FTrt
27.0
24.4
MIA 23.2 +1.6
ATL 21.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.8%
56.0%
MIA 70.0% +1.4%
ATL 68.6%
STL %
8.2%
6.9%
MIA 8.1% +2.0%
ATL 6.1%
BLK %
6.3%
8.6%
MIA 9.6% +3.5%
ATL 6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
56.5%
MIA 56.4% +7.9%
ATL 48.5%
Rim FG%
62.6%
62.7%
MIA 75.9% +18.0%
ATL 57.9%
Mid FG%
45.3%
46.7%
MIA 45.0% +2.6%
ATL 42.4%
3P %
34.4%
35.2%
MIA 27.3%
ATL 27.8% +0.5%
FT %
83.1%
81.8%
MIA 89.5%
ATL 94.7% +5.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.9%
33.7%
MIA 35.4% +13.8%
ATL 21.6%
Mid Att. %
29.4%
33.2%
MIA 24.4% −13.1%
ATL 37.5%
3P Att. %
40.8%
33.1%
MIA 40.2%
ATL 40.9% +0.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions9999
Possession Minutes24.123.6
Points10698
Rebounds4642
Assists2824
Steals86
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)12 (2)9 (3)
Fouls1612
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (1)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (3)34 (3)
Field Goals40-8235-88
At-the-Rim FG22-2911-19
Midrange FG9-2014-33
2-Point FG31-4925-52
3-Point FG9-3310-36
Free Throws17-1918-19
Fast Break Pts164
2nd Chance Pts46
Points in Paint5834
Pts off Turnovers1714
Bench Points1816
Biggest Lead1411

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 27
40.9
20
77%
9
4
2
1
1
2
1
8
2-2
100%
6-9
67%
2-3
67%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23
39.9
11
37%
11
10
1
0
2
3
1
10
5-5
100%
3-5
60%
0-8
0%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 25
33.7
32
70%
8
1
0
1
3
2
1
7
6-6
100%
13-20
65%
0-0
-
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27
33.0
16
53%
3
1
0
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
4-10
40%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37
32.8
9
41%
3
9
2
1
2
3
1
2
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
1-7
14%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26
23.1
0
0%
3
2
1
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
#9 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 25
20.7
5
83%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33
14.3
13
93%
6
0
1
0
1
1
1
5
0-2
0%
5-5
100%
1-2
50%
#8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 19
DNP – Coach's Decision
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26
DNP – Injury/Illness | Left Knee Effusion
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42
DNP – Coach's Decision
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Surgery
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Sprain
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee Tendinosis
#22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Soreness
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22
Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
56%
46
28
8
5
12
16
6
40
17-19
89%
31-49
63%
9-33
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.