Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, November 28, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Rockets	25%	110	113	116.5	97	93.8
	10	Nuggets	75%	120	129	133.0	97	100.4

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+17

-17

DEN

+14

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.15 57.7%

DEN

1.33 66.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 21	30.7	17	47%	2	7	0	0	5	2	0	2	6-8	75%	4-8	50%	1-7	14%
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · PG · 6'5" 203 · 23	29.5	12	67%	4	6	1	1	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	4-7	57%
Eric Gordon #10 · SF · 6'3" 215 · 34	28.1	11	55%	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-7	43%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 20	23.4	18	56%	7	3	0	0	4	4	3	4	4-5	80%	7-12	58%	0-2	0%
Jabari Smith Jr. #1 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 20	17.4	9	113%	3	1	0	0	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-4	75%

KJ Martin #6 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 22	27.7	15	68%	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	4	3-5	60%	3-4	75%	2-5	40%
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	18.9	6	43%	3	0	1	0	1	1	1	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Daishen Nix #15 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 21	18.5	7	88%	1	4	0	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	15.0	3	25%	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-6	17%
Usman Garuba #16 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 21	10.7	4	100%	3	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Bruno Fernando #20 · C · 6'10" 233 · 24	8.1	4	100%	2	0	1	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Josh Christopher #9 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 21	6.1	4	67%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 34	6.0	3	50%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
TyTy Washington Jr. #0 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Darius Days #5 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trevor Hudgins #12 · PG · 6'0" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	58%	37	25	4	2	17	20	12	25	19-25	76%	23-41	56%	16-44	36%

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27 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 21	30.7	17	47%	2	7	0	0	5	2	0	2	6-8	75%	4-8	50%	1-7	14%
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · PG · 6'5" 203 · 23	29.5	12	67%	4	6	1	1	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	4-7	57%
Eric Gordon #10 · SF · 6'3" 215 · 34	28.1	11	55%	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-7	43%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 20	23.4	18	56%	7	3	0	0	4	4	3	4	4-5	80%	7-12	58%	0-2	0%
Jabari Smith Jr. #1 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 20	17.4	9	113%	3	1	0	0	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-4	75%

KJ Martin #6 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 22	27.7	15	68%	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	4	3-5	60%	3-4	75%	2-5	40%
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	18.9	6	43%	3	0	1	0	1	1	1	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Daishen Nix #15 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 21	18.5	7	88%	1	4	0	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	15.0	3	25%	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-6	17%
Usman Garuba #16 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 21	10.7	4	100%	3	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Bruno Fernando #20 · C · 6'10" 233 · 24	8.1	4	100%	2	0	1	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Josh Christopher #9 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 21	6.1	4	67%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 34	6.0	3	50%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
TyTy Washington Jr. #0 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Darius Days #5 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trevor Hudgins #12 · PG · 6'0" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	58%	37	25	4	2	17	20	12	25	19-25	76%	23-41	56%	16-44	36%

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10 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bruce Brown #11 · SF · 6'4" 202 · 26	35.0	12	55%	3	3	2	1	1	3	1	2	3-3	100%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	27.4	32	73%	12	8	0	0	3	2	6	6	9-10	90%	10-15	67%	1-2	50%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	25.5	31	82%	2	5	1	1	2	3	0	2	5-6	83%	7-9	78%	4-8	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	23.4	8	100%	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	13.8	4	67%	3	0	1	0	2	4	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%

Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	26.2	10	56%	5	8	2	1	3	0	1	4	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	25.1	9	75%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-6	50%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	19.3	0	0%	2	3	2	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	18.5	8	80%	10	1	0	0	1	2	2	8	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	17.7	15	63%	3	0	0	0	1	2	2	1	0-1	0%	6-8	75%	1-4	25%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	6.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Non-covid; Illness
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Heel; Contusion
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	67%	43	31	8	4	14	22	13	30	17-20	85%	38-58	66%	12-30	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.15 57.7%

DEN

1.33 66.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

58%

DEN

67%

Midrange

HOU

53%

DEN

63%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

24.0

36%

55%

DEN

18.0

40%

60%

Free Throws

HOU

76%

DEN

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Sengun	18	56%	9.0 / 16
J. Green	17	47%	8.5 / 18
K. Martin	15	68%	7.5 / 11
K. Porter	12	67%	6.0 / 9
E. Gordon	11	55%	5.5 / 10
J. Smith	9	113%	4.5 / 4
D. Nix	7	88%	3.5 / 4
T. Eason	6	43%	3.0 / 7
U. Garuba	4	100%	2.0 / 2
B. Fernando	4	100%	2.0 / 2
J. Christopher	4	67%	2.0 / 3
G. Mathews	3	25%	1.5 / 6
B. Marjanovic	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	32	73%	16.0 / 22
J. Murray	31	82%	15.5 / 19
Z. Nnaji	15	63%	7.5 / 12
B. Brown	12	55%	6.0 / 11
I. Smith	10	56%	5.0 / 9
D. Reed	9	75%	4.5 / 6
K. Caldwell-Pope	8	100%	4.0 / 4
D. Jordan	8	80%	4.0 / 5
A. Gordon	4	67%	2.0 / 3
V. Cancar	0	-	0.0 / 3
C. Braun	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. White	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 111.0 5 117.1	HOU 116.5 DEN 133.0 +16.5
Pace	13 99.4 21 98.5	HOU 93.8 DEN 100.4 +6.7
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.7 13 14.7	HOU 15.4 DEN 14.3 −1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 51.6% 1 57.3%	HOU 55.3% DEN 63.6% +8.3%
TO %	30 15.5% 22 14.0%	HOU 15.0% DEN 12.6% −2.4%
ORB %	1 30.3% 13 24.8%	HOU 28.6% DEN 34.2% +5.6%
FTrt	7 28.5 19 25.9	HOU 29.4 +6.7 DEN 22.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 55.1% 2 66.3%	HOU 64.1% +2.1% DEN 62.0%
STL %	14 7.4% 9 7.6%	HOU 4.1% DEN 8.2% +4.1%
BLK %	10 9.2% 19 8.3%	HOU 3.4% DEN 9.8% +6.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 53.9% 5 58.7%	HOU 57.7% DEN 66.5% +8.8%
Rim FG%	29 59.6% 3 66.5%	HOU 57.7% DEN 66.7% +9.0%
Mid FG%	30 40.4% 13 43.4%	HOU 53.3% DEN 62.5% +9.2%
3P %	30 32.7% 4 37.9%	HOU 36.4% DEN 40.0% +3.6%
FT %	25 75.4% 26 75.1%	HOU 76.0% DEN 85.0% +9.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 42.0% 2 39.0%	HOU 30.6% DEN 47.7% +17.1%
Mid Att. %	6 22.0% 12 24.9%	HOU 17.6% −0.5% DEN 18.2%
3P Att. %	24 35.9% 21 36.1%	HOU 51.8% +17.7% DEN 34.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Game Totals	HOU	DEN
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	24.8	23.2
Points	113	129
Rebounds	37	43
Assists	25	31
Steals	4	8
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls	20	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (5)	13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (2)	30 (3)
Field Goals	39-85	50-88
At-the-Rim FG	15-26	28-42
Midrange FG	8-15	10-16
2-Point FG	23-41	38-58
3-Point FG	16-44	12-30
Free Throws	19-25	17-20
Fast Break Pts	7	13
2nd Chance Pts	15	16
Points in Paint	42	62
Pts off Turnovers	19	17
Bench Points	46	42
Biggest Lead	5	20

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg