Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, November 30, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Rockets	29%	112	100	106.4	94	91.4
	11	Nuggets	71%	120	120	127.7	94	96.8

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+17

-14

DEN

+11

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.03 51.5%

DEN

1.28 63.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 21	34.9	16	44%	3	3	0	0	2	1	1	2	3-5	60%	5-9	56%	1-7	14%
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · PG · 6'5" 203 · 23	32.0	23	64%	6	5	1	0	3	5	2	4	2-2	100%	3-11	27%	5-7	71%
Jabari Smith Jr. #1 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 20	31.0	13	54%	4	2	1	1	1	4	0	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	3-6	50%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 20	29.4	18	69%	11	1	0	0	2	3	3	8	2-2	100%	8-10	80%	0-2	0%
Eric Gordon #10 · SF · 6'3" 215 · 34	18.5	2	25%	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%

Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	20.6	6	75%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
KJ Martin #6 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 22	18.9	3	38%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Daishen Nix #15 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 21	15.9	7	50%	3	2	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-5	20%
Usman Garuba #16 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 21	14.8	2	33%	2	1	1	2	1	2	0	2	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	14.0	4	29%	5	2	1	1	0	2	2	3	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Bruno Fernando #20 · C · 6'10" 233 · 24	6.8	2	33%	2	0	0	2	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Josh Christopher #9 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 21	3.1	4	100%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
TyTy Washington Jr. #0 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Darius Days #5 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trevor Hudgins #12 · PG · 6'0" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	52%	39	18	5	6	14	20	10	29	14-18	78%	25-47	53%	12-41	29%

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25 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 21	34.9	16	44%	3	3	0	0	2	1	1	2	3-5	60%	5-9	56%	1-7	14%
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · PG · 6'5" 203 · 23	32.0	23	64%	6	5	1	0	3	5	2	4	2-2	100%	3-11	27%	5-7	71%
Jabari Smith Jr. #1 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 20	31.0	13	54%	4	2	1	1	1	4	0	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	3-6	50%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 20	29.4	18	69%	11	1	0	0	2	3	3	8	2-2	100%	8-10	80%	0-2	0%
Eric Gordon #10 · SF · 6'3" 215 · 34	18.5	2	25%	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%

Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	20.6	6	75%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
KJ Martin #6 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 22	18.9	3	38%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Daishen Nix #15 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 21	15.9	7	50%	3	2	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-5	20%
Usman Garuba #16 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 21	14.8	2	33%	2	1	1	2	1	2	0	2	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	14.0	4	29%	5	2	1	1	0	2	2	3	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Bruno Fernando #20 · C · 6'10" 233 · 24	6.8	2	33%	2	0	0	2	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Josh Christopher #9 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 21	3.1	4	100%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
TyTy Washington Jr. #0 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Darius Days #5 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trevor Hudgins #12 · PG · 6'0" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	52%	39	18	5	6	14	20	10	29	14-18	78%	25-47	53%	12-41	29%

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11 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bruce Brown #11 · SF · 6'4" 202 · 26	34.4	18	64%	5	4	2	0	1	3	0	5	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	4-7	57%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	31.3	20	67%	6	2	0	1	1	2	2	4	4-7	57%	5-8	63%	2-4	50%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	30.6	26	76%	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	3	4-5	80%	5-9	56%	4-6	67%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	27.6	17	94%	9	12	1	1	4	5	1	8	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	2-3	67%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	24.9	5	36%	1	2	2	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%

Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	23.0	6	30%	2	7	0	2	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-9	33%	0-1	0%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	21.2	13	108%	5	0	0	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-4	75%
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	20.5	7	50%	2	0	1	1	0	3	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	18.6	8	80%	6	1	0	2	2	3	2	4	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	3.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	3.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	1.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Heel; Contusion
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	64%	42	30	6	8	11	21	8	34	15-20	75%	27-51	53%	17-32	53%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.03 51.5%

DEN

1.28 63.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

63%

DEN

71%

Midrange

HOU

35%

DEN

25%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

18.0

29%

44%

DEN

25.5

53%

80%

Free Throws

HOU

78%

DEN

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Porter	23	64%	11.5 / 18
A. Sengun	18	69%	9.0 / 13
J. Green	16	44%	8.0 / 18
J. Smith	13	54%	6.5 / 12
D. Nix	7	50%	3.5 / 7
G. Mathews	6	75%	3.0 / 4
T. Eason	4	29%	2.0 / 7
J. Christopher	4	100%	2.0 / 2
K. Martin	3	38%	1.5 / 4
E. Gordon	2	25%	1.0 / 4
U. Garuba	2	33%	1.0 / 3
B. Fernando	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	26	76%	13.0 / 17
A. Gordon	20	67%	10.0 / 15
B. Brown	18	64%	9.0 / 14
N. Jokić	17	94%	8.5 / 9
V. Cancar	13	108%	6.5 / 6
D. Jordan	8	80%	4.0 / 5
D. Reed	7	50%	3.5 / 7
I. Smith	6	30%	3.0 / 10
K. Caldwell-Pope	5	36%	2.5 / 7
C. Braun	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 111.0 5 117.1	HOU 106.4 DEN 127.7 +21.3
Pace	13 99.4 21 98.5	HOU 91.4 DEN 96.8 +5.4
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.7 13 14.7	HOU 15.8 DEN 14.9 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 51.6% 1 57.3%	HOU 48.9% DEN 63.3% +14.4%
TO %	30 15.5% 22 14.0%	HOU 12.7% DEN 11.6% −1.1%
ORB %	1 30.3% 13 24.8%	HOU 22.7% +1.1% DEN 21.6%
FTrt	7 28.5 19 25.9	HOU 20.5 DEN 24.1 +3.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 55.1% 2 66.3%	HOU 48.6% DEN 68.2% +19.6%
STL %	14 7.4% 9 7.6%	HOU 5.3% DEN 6.4% +1.1%
BLK %	10 9.2% 19 8.3%	HOU 11.8% DEN 17.0% +5.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 53.9% 5 58.7%	HOU 51.5% DEN 63.8% +12.3%
Rim FG%	29 59.6% 3 66.5%	HOU 63.3% DEN 71.0% +7.7%
Mid FG%	30 40.4% 13 43.4%	HOU 35.3% +10.3% DEN 25.0%
3P %	30 32.7% 4 37.9%	HOU 29.3% DEN 53.1% +23.8%
FT %	25 75.4% 26 75.1%	HOU 77.8% +2.8% DEN 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 42.0% 2 39.0%	HOU 34.1% DEN 37.3% +3.3%
Mid Att. %	6 22.0% 12 24.9%	HOU 19.3% −4.8% DEN 24.1%
3P Att. %	24 35.9% 21 36.1%	HOU 46.6% +8.0% DEN 38.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Game Totals	HOU	DEN
Possessions	94	94
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	100	120
Rebounds	39	42
Assists	18	30
Steals	5	6
Blocks	6	8
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	11 (1)
Fouls	20	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (7)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (0)	34 (2)
Field Goals	37-88	44-83
At-the-Rim FG	19-30	22-31
Midrange FG	6-17	5-20
2-Point FG	25-47	27-51
3-Point FG	12-41	17-32
Free Throws	14-18	15-20
Fast Break Pts	9	26
2nd Chance Pts	7	12
Points in Paint	46	50
Pts off Turnovers	12	19
Bench Points	28	34
Biggest Lead	0	33

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg