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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 1, 2022
7:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Mavericks73%115125
30Pistons27%106131
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 23.8
41
38
35
5
10
3
2
0
3
0
5
2-6
33%
6-11
8-15
55%
58%
7-14
50%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 30.7
40
25
26
5
2
2
1
1
0
2
3
2-4
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
6-14
43%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.6
32
32
6
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
60%
2-4
50%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 29.7
28
27
2
0
6
0
1
1
1
0
0
2-4
50%
0-1
3-5
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.4
18
15
7
1
0
0
0
1
4
0
1
1-4
25%
3-3
2-3
100%
69%
0-0
-
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 27.2
35
26
25
8
3
0
1
0
2
1
7
4-6
67%
9-11
4-7
82%
60%
1-2
50%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 30.8
32
24
10
3
1
0
0
4
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
61%
2-5
40%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 31.7
22
21
6
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
52%
1-3
33%
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.0
15
23
6
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
61%
0-2
0%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 30.1
3
9
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 34.9
4
0
1-1
61%
Frank Ntilikina
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.3
2
0
0-0
43%
Theo Pinson
G-F · 6'6" 218 · 27.1
1
0
0-0
50%
Jaden Hardy
G · 6'4" 198 · 20.4
1
0
0-0
50%
McKinley Wright IV
G · 5'11" 192 · 24.1
Tyler Dorsey
G · 6'5" 183 · 26.8
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 32.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 33.6
41
27
30
4
4
2
0
0
2
0
4
5-6
83%
5-8
4-7
63%
53%
5-6
83%
Isaiah Stewart
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 21.5
37
23
9
12
3
0
0
0
1
3
9
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
56%
1-4
25%
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 23.7
34
24
19
13
2
1
1
0
1
4
9
4-6
67%
6-8
4-8
75%
56%
1-2
50%
Killian Hayes
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.3
33
28
22
4
8
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
8-9
3-7
89%
44%
2-4
50%
Isaiah Livers
F · 6'6" 232 · 24.3
7
23
6
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
2-2
100%
Jaden Ivey
G · 6'4" 195 · 20.8
35
20
16
3
6
1
1
0
4
1
2
2-4
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
2-7
29%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 31.4
20
18
10
6
1
2
1
0
0
0
6
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
42%
1-6
17%
Saddiq Bey
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.6
19
25
6
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
49%
1-3
33%
Jalen Duren
C · 6'11" 250 · 19.0
18
23
11
2
0
2
1
0
1
1
1
1-4
25%
5-7
3-5
71%
56%
0-0
-
Kevin Knox II
F · 6'9" 212 · 23.3
12
19
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.3
10
18
0
1
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Hamidou Diallo
G · 6'5" 197 · 24.3
17
1
3-5
53%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 31.3
11
0
1-1
50%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 28.6
3
0
0-0
57%
Braxton Key
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.8
Cade Cunningham
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.2
Buddy Boeheim
F · 6'6" 205 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.