Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 2, 2022

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Pacers	38%	117	119	103.5	115	122.3
	13	Jazz	62%	122	139	120.9	115	108.4

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+13

-18

110

UTA

+12

-24

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.08 54.1%

UTA

1.35 67.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

21 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 23	35.5	13	59%	4	10	2	0	2	5	2	2	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 23	30.5	14	41%	6	4	2	0	3	1	0	6	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	3-9	33%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	26.1	18	90%	4	1	1	1	3	3	0	4	2-2	100%	5-5	100%	2-4	50%
Buddy Hield #24 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 30	25.4	6	38%	0	1	1	0	4	2	0	0	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 23	19.8	14	54%	3	0	0	2	2	4	2	1	5-5	100%	3-6	50%	1-5	20%

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	25.1	12	43%	4	3	0	0	0	4	1	3	6-9	67%	3-9	33%	0-1	0%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31	21.3	11	79%	3	1	0	0	1	3	1	2	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 23	17.5	8	50%	3	2	4	0	0	6	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 24	14.8	11	69%	2	1	1	1	1	2	1	1	7-8	88%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 21	12.5	8	67%	4	2	0	1	2	4	1	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 20	7.3	4	100%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Terry Taylor #21 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 23	4.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trevelin Queen #8 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daniel Theis #27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Chris Duarte #3 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	54%	35	25	12	5	18	35	9	26	27-33	82%	28-58	48%	12-34	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

21 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 23	35.5	13	59%	4	10	2	0	2	5	2	2	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 23	30.5	14	41%	6	4	2	0	3	1	0	6	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	3-9	33%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	26.1	18	90%	4	1	1	1	3	3	0	4	2-2	100%	5-5	100%	2-4	50%
Buddy Hield #24 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 30	25.4	6	38%	0	1	1	0	4	2	0	0	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 23	19.8	14	54%	3	0	0	2	2	4	2	1	5-5	100%	3-6	50%	1-5	20%

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	25.1	12	43%	4	3	0	0	0	4	1	3	6-9	67%	3-9	33%	0-1	0%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31	21.3	11	79%	3	1	0	0	1	3	1	2	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 23	17.5	8	50%	3	2	4	0	0	6	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 24	14.8	11	69%	2	1	1	1	1	2	1	1	7-8	88%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 21	12.5	8	67%	4	2	0	1	2	4	1	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 20	7.3	4	100%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Terry Taylor #21 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 23	4.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trevelin Queen #8 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daniel Theis #27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Chris Duarte #3 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	54%	35	25	12	5	18	35	9	26	27-33	82%	28-58	48%	12-34	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

13 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · SF · 7'1" 240 · 26	33.2	24	71%	13	3	1	0	1	1	2	11	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	5-9	56%
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 30	28.9	19	59%	1	3	1	0	5	3	0	1	6-8	75%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Collin Sexton #2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 24	27.7	18	64%	0	5	0	0	3	3	0	0	8-8	100%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Kelly Olynyk #41 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 32	21.7	10	83%	4	1	2	0	4	6	1	3	5-5	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Jarred Vanderbilt #8 · C · 6'8" 214 · 24	20.3	8	80%	6	2	1	0	3	2	0	6	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-

Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 26	30.4	16	53%	5	1	0	0	2	1	1	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	4-11	36%
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 21	24.9	20	100%	11	1	0	2	1	4	4	7	6-8	75%	7-7	100%	0-0	-
Talen Horton-Tucker #0 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 22	21.8	6	43%	5	9	1	0	3	4	0	5	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Simone Fontecchio #16 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 27	21.3	9	90%	1	1	0	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-4	75%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #6 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	3.5	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	3.5	5	125%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Udoka Azubuike #20 · C · 7'0" 280 · 23	2.7	4	100%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Leandro Bolmaro #10 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Rudy Gay #22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Third MCP joint sprain
Mike Conley #11 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Leg; Popliteus strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	139	68%	47	29	7	2	24	28	8	39	32-37	86%	31-49	63%	15-34	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	IND	UTA

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.08 54.1%

UTA

1.35 67.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

55%

UTA

79%

Midrange

IND

41%

UTA

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

18.0

35%

53%

UTA

22.5

44%

66%

Free Throws

IND

82%

UTA

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Turner	18	90%	9.0 / 10
T. Haliburton	14	41%	7.0 / 17
J. Smith	14	54%	7.0 / 13
A. Nembhard	13	59%	6.5 / 11
B. Mathurin	12	43%	6.0 / 14
T. McConnell	11	79%	5.5 / 7
O. Brissett	11	69%	5.5 / 8
A. Nesmith	8	50%	4.0 / 8
I. Jackson	8	67%	4.0 / 6
B. Hield	6	38%	3.0 / 8
K. Brown	4	100%	2.0 / 2
T. Taylor	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Markkanen	24	71%	12.0 / 17
W. Kessler	20	100%	10.0 / 10
J. Clarkson	19	59%	9.5 / 16
C. Sexton	18	64%	9.0 / 14
M. Beasley	16	53%	8.0 / 15
K. Olynyk	10	83%	5.0 / 6
S. Fontecchio	9	90%	4.5 / 5
J. Vanderbilt	8	80%	4.0 / 5
T. Horton-Tucker	6	43%	3.0 / 7
O. Agbaji	5	125%	2.5 / 2
U. Azubuike	4	100%	2.0 / 2
N. Alexander-Walker	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 114.3 9 115.6	IND 103.5 UTA 120.9 +17.4
Pace	5 101.3 12 100.6	IND 122.3 +13.9 UTA 108.4
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.9 15 14.4	IND 11.8 −1.5 UTA 13.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	16 54.5% 15 54.8%	IND 50.0% UTA 64.5% +14.5%
TO %	21 13.9% 28 14.7%	IND 15.1% −5.7% UTA 20.8%
ORB %	18 23.4% 4 26.8%	IND 18.8% UTA 23.5% +4.7%
FTrt	15 26.5 14 26.6	IND 35.9 UTA 44.6 +8.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 64.3% 11 61.1%	IND 62.5% UTA 63.0% +0.5%
STL %	11 7.6% 30 6.0%	IND 10.4% +4.3% UTA 6.1%
BLK %	3 10.4% 11 9.2%	IND 10.2% +6.8% UTA 3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.7% 13 57.3%	IND 54.1% UTA 67.5% +13.4%
Rim FG%	28 60.5% 12 64.1%	IND 54.8% UTA 79.2% +24.4%
Mid FG%	17 42.8% 9 44.3%	IND 40.7% UTA 48.0% +7.3%
3P %	11 36.7% 20 35.3%	IND 35.3% UTA 44.1% +8.8%
FT %	13 79.0% 14 78.6%	IND 81.8% UTA 86.5% +4.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 37.2% 18 34.5%	IND 33.7% +4.8% UTA 28.9%
Mid Att. %	5 21.6% 9 23.5%	IND 29.3% −0.8% UTA 30.1%
3P Att. %	8 41.2% 6 42.1%	IND 37.0% UTA 41.0% +4.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	UTA
Possessions	115	115
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.5
Points	119	139
Rebounds	35	47
Assists	25	29
Steals	12	7
Blocks	5	2
Turnovers (Team)	18 (1)	24 (2)
Fouls	35	28
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (3)	39 (5)
Field Goals	40-92	46-83
At-the-Rim FG	17-31	19-24
Midrange FG	11-27	12-25
2-Point FG	28-58	31-49
3-Point FG	12-34	15-34
Free Throws	27-33	32-37
Fast Break Pts	24	8
2nd Chance Pts	11	18
Points in Paint	46	60
Pts off Turnovers	27	19
Bench Points	54	60
Biggest Lead	2	26

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg