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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 5, 2022
7:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Bucks78%118109
29Magic22%107102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.5
35.1
34.3
17
58%
8
10
2
2
0
6
1
7
6-6
100%
4-6
5-10
67%
54%
1-6
17%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 243 · 28.0
33.2
33.8
34
66%
13
5
1
1
2
4
1
12
8-11
73%
10-17
11-18
59%
62%
2-4
50%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.8
27.4
26.4
18
70%
10
1
0
1
1
2
2
8
1-2
50%
7-10
4-8
70%
55%
1-2
50%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'7" 222 · 31.3
25.9
29.6
5
20%
1
5
1
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
1-4
3-7
25%
50%
0-7
0%
Jordan Nwora
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.2
19.3
16.8
6
100%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
2-2
100%
Jevon Carter
G · 6'1" 200 · 27.2
25.1
25.6
2
20%
1
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 23.5
23.0
10.5
8
80%
6
2
1
0
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
55%
2-3
67%
Pat Connaughton
G · 6'5" 209 · 29.9
22.0
19.0
7
35%
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
62%
2-8
25%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 36.6
18.9
16.9
0
0%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-1
0%
AJ Green
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.2
10.2
5.8
12
93%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
3-5
60%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 36.1
8.3
0
0-0
48%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'7" 205 · 30.4
7.7
0
1-2
56%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'1" 282 · 34.7
Joe Ingles
F-G · 6'8" 220 · 35.2
MarJon Beauchamp
F · 6'6" 199 · 22.1
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.2
Grayson Allen
G · 6'4" 198 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Franz Wagner
F · 6'10" 220 · 21.3
36.1
29.0
25
78%
6
2
0
1
0
3
0
6
7-7
100%
6-7
5-9
86%
53%
2-6
33%
Paolo Banchero
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.1
32.5
31.2
20
44%
12
7
1
1
1
4
5
7
12-15
80%
4-13
6-11
31%
52%
0-3
0%
Markelle Fultz
G · 6'4" 209 · 24.5
32.1
21.2
20
53%
5
2
2
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
6-14
4-8
43%
48%
2-4
50%
Moritz Wagner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.6
31.7
24.4
19
78%
12
4
1
1
0
2
3
9
5-5
100%
7-8
3-4
88%
61%
0-2
0%
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 23.1
18.8
27.1
2
25%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-7
25%
60%
0-0
-
Caleb Houstan
G · 6'8" 205 · 19.9
23.7
20.8
3
25%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
1-4
25%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 31.8
23.0
20.3
5
25%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-6
2-3
17%
49%
1-4
25%
Cole Anthony
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.6
21.4
25.4
0
0%
4
1
2
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-5
3-6
0%
44%
0-4
0%
Admiral Schofield
F · 6'5" 241 · 25.7
14.3
12.6
8
67%
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
53%
2-4
50%
R.J. Hampton
G · 6'4" 175 · 21.8
6.4
9.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Kevon Harris
G · 6'5" 216 · 25.4
12.8
0
1-2
48%
Jonathan Isaac
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.2
Jalen Suggs
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.5
Mo Bamba
C · 7'1" 225 · 24.6
Chuma Okeke
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.3
Wendell Carter Jr.
C-F · 6'10" 270 · 23.6
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.