Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Clippers	35%	103	110	113.4	97	98.9
	11	Heat	65%	109	115	119.8	96	94.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Marcus Morris Sr. #8 · SF · 6'9" 235 · 33	36.9	11	50%	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	1-2	50%
Reggie Jackson #1 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 33	34.0	20	59%	5	3	0	0	4	4	2	3	4-4	100%	2-9	22%	4-6	67%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26	33.7	9	90%	8	0	1	1	2	3	0	8	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Paul George #13 · SG · 6'8" 230 · 33	32.2	29	69%	8	7	1	0	4	2	1	7	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	5-11	45%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 34	31.8	11	69%	5	2	1	1	1	2	3	2	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	3-7	43%

Luke Kennard #5 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 26	24.3	7	50%	3	2	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-5	20%
John Wall #11 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 32	20.5	9	45%	3	8	0	0	4	0	1	2	3-4	75%	0-5	0%	2-3	67%
Brandon Boston #4 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 21	13.8	7	58%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Robert Covington #23 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 32	7.2	5	125%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Moses Brown #9 · C · 7'2" 258 · 23	5.4	2	100%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Amir Coffey #7 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jason Preston #0 · PG · 6'3" 181 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Moussa Diabaté #25 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Strain
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Head; Concussion Protocol
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	61%	43	24	3	1	16	16	7	36	19-21	90%	20-44	45%	17-36	47%

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16 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Marcus Morris Sr. #8 · SF · 6'9" 235 · 33	36.9	11	50%	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	1-2	50%
Reggie Jackson #1 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 33	34.0	20	59%	5	3	0	0	4	4	2	3	4-4	100%	2-9	22%	4-6	67%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26	33.7	9	90%	8	0	1	1	2	3	0	8	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Paul George #13 · SG · 6'8" 230 · 33	32.2	29	69%	8	7	1	0	4	2	1	7	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	5-11	45%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 34	31.8	11	69%	5	2	1	1	1	2	3	2	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	3-7	43%

Luke Kennard #5 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 26	24.3	7	50%	3	2	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-5	20%
John Wall #11 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 32	20.5	9	45%	3	8	0	0	4	0	1	2	3-4	75%	0-5	0%	2-3	67%
Brandon Boston #4 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 21	13.8	7	58%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Robert Covington #23 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 32	7.2	5	125%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Moses Brown #9 · C · 7'2" 258 · 23	5.4	2	100%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Amir Coffey #7 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jason Preston #0 · PG · 6'3" 181 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Moussa Diabaté #25 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Strain
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Head; Concussion Protocol
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	61%	43	24	3	1	16	16	7	36	19-21	90%	20-44	45%	17-36	47%

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11 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Caleb Martin #16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 27	40.4	17	61%	8	2	2	0	1	4	1	7	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	4-8	50%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	39.4	19	53%	9	3	2	0	3	2	0	9	3-3	100%	2-9	22%	4-8	50%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 25	36.4	31	70%	10	4	1	0	2	0	4	6	3-3	100%	14-21	67%	0-0	-
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 33	34.0	26	93%	5	8	4	0	1	0	1	4	4-5	80%	8-10	80%	2-2	100%
Dru Smith #9 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	22.1	2	20%	1	3	1	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%

Max Strus #31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27	31.5	8	44%	4	2	0	0	0	4	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-7	29%
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	20.8	6	38%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Dewayne Dedmon #21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33	11.6	6	60%	3	0	1	1	1	3	0	3	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26	3.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Effusion
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	59%	43	24	11	3	8	20	7	36	11-14	79%	34-58	59%	12-32	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.22 61.1%

MIA

1.19 59.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAC

13

21

62%

MIA

14

16

88%

Midrange

LAC

7

23

30%

MIA

20

42

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAC

17

25.5

36

47%

71%

MIA

12

18.0

32

38%

56%

Free Throws

LAC

19

21

90%

MIA

11

14

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. George	29	69%	14.5 / 21
R. Jackson	20	59%	10.0 / 17
M. Morris	11	50%	5.5 / 11
N. Batum	11	69%	5.5 / 8
I. Zubac	9	90%	4.5 / 5
J. Wall	9	45%	4.5 / 10
L. Kennard	7	50%	3.5 / 7
B. Boston Jr.	7	58%	3.5 / 6
R. Covington	5	125%	2.5 / 2
M. Brown	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	31	70%	15.5 / 22
J. Butler	26	93%	13.0 / 14
T. Herro	19	53%	9.5 / 18
C. Martin	17	61%	8.5 / 14
M. Strus	8	44%	4.0 / 9
V. Oladipo	6	38%	3.0 / 8
D. Dedmon	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Smith	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.2 25 112.5	LAC 113.4 MIA 119.8 +6.4
Pace	22 98.8 29 96.8	LAC 98.9 +4.8 MIA 94.2
Avg. Poss. Time	8 14.7 5 15.0	LAC 14.6 −0.7 MIA 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 55.1% 25 53.0%	LAC 56.9% MIA 57.8% +0.9%
TO %	19 13.6% 15 13.1%	LAC 15.2% MIA 7.7% −7.5%
ORB %	19 22.9% 21 22.8%	LAC 16.3% MIA 16.3%
FTrt	11 27.8 13 27.0	LAC 26.3 +10.7 MIA 15.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	21 58.1% 14 60.8%	LAC 64.9% +12.7% MIA 52.2%
STL %	17 7.1% 3 8.2%	LAC 3.1% MIA 11.5% +8.4%
BLK %	25 7.3% 23 7.5%	LAC 1.7% MIA 6.8% +5.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.3% 22 55.9%	LAC 61.1% +1.8% MIA 59.3%
Rim FG%	22 63.1% 21 63.3%	LAC 61.9% MIA 87.5% +25.6%
Mid FG%	11 44.2% 6 45.5%	LAC 30.4% MIA 47.6% +17.2%
3P %	3 38.1% 27 34.4%	LAC 47.2% +9.7% MIA 37.5%
FT %	18 78.1% 2 83.1%	LAC 90.5% +11.9% MIA 78.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 31.4% 29 28.3%	LAC 26.3% +8.5% MIA 17.8%
Mid Att. %	21 29.8% 24 30.9%	LAC 28.7% −17.9% MIA 46.7%
3P Att. %	13 38.7% 9 40.8%	LAC 45.0% +9.4% MIA 35.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	LAC	MIA
Possessions	97	96
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	110	115
Rebounds	43	43
Assists	24	24
Steals	3	11
Blocks	1	3
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	8 (0)
Fouls	16	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (2)	7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (1)	36 (0)
Field Goals	37-80	46-90
At-the-Rim FG	13-21	14-16
Midrange FG	7-23	20-42
2-Point FG	20-44	34-58
3-Point FG	17-36	12-32
Free Throws	19-21	11-14
Fast Break Pts	6	14
2nd Chance Pts	6	10
Points in Paint	32	58
Pts off Turnovers	6	22
Bench Points	30	20
Biggest Lead	10	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg