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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 8, 2022
10:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Nuggets53%114121
20Trail Blazers47%113120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 25.8
35.3
30.9
21
47%
5
8
1
1
0
2
2
3
2-3
67%
5-11
5-10
45%
52%
3-10
30%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 27.8
34.4
33.5
33
60%
10
9
0
1
1
6
3
7
4-6
67%
13-22
7-12
59%
63%
1-3
33%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.2
30.8
30.8
20
78%
5
0
1
1
0
3
3
2
2-2
100%
6-9
5-8
67%
59%
2-3
67%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.8
28.4
28.4
7
54%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
2-4
50%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 26.3
27.9
31.9
10
56%
4
0
2
1
0
1
2
2
0-2
0%
5-6
3-6
83%
54%
0-2
0%
Bones Hyland
G · 6'2" 169 · 22.2
25.5
19.9
13
66%
5
4
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
3-6
50%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.6
20.4
8.8
6
75%
5
0
0
0
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
50%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.3
17.2
16.7
6
52%
4
3
1
0
0
2
2
2
3-4
75%
0-2
2-3
0%
59%
1-2
50%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.4
13.7
8.2
5
87%
6
0
0
0
3
0
1
5
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
68%
0-0
-
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 25.7
6.6
13.0
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
56%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 34.4
10.9
0
2-3
45%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 21.9
9.4
0
1-2
59%
Davon Reed
G · 6'6" 210 · 27.5
8.8
0
0-1
48%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 20.2
1.1
0
0-0
52%
Jack White
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.3
Collin Gillespie
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.5
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.7
38.5
33.9
18
54%
3
3
1
1
1
1
0
3
4-4
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
51%
2-7
29%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.4
37.6
18.6
40
80%
4
12
2
0
0
1
1
3
7-7
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
9-17
53%
Josh Hart
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.8
37.1
32.4
12
55%
6
3
3
1
0
2
3
3
2-2
100%
5-9
3-5
56%
59%
0-1
0%
Anfernee Simons
G · 6'4" 183 · 23.5
34.0
37.3
6
25%
3
5
0
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
4-9
50%
50%
0-6
0%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 28.3
31.2
31.3
21
101%
9
2
2
1
2
3
1
8
1-1
100%
7-7
5-10
100%
55%
2-3
67%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 26.7
22.4
30.4
4
33%
5
4
0
1
0
0
4
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
16.8
11.4
7
70%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-2
50%
63%
1-1
100%
Shaedon Sharpe
G · 6'6" 200 · 19.5
14.2
17.8
7
44%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
54%
1-4
25%
Trendon Watford
F · 6'8" 237 · 22.1
7.7
23.4
2
35%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
0-2
3-5
0%
58%
0-0
-
Keon Johnson
G · 6'4" 185 · 20.7
0.5
5.8
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
1-1
100%
Greg Brown III
F · 6'8" 206 · 21.3
7.4
0
1-1
52%
Jabari Walker
F · 6'8" 200 · 20.4
6.6
0
1-1
54%
Gary Payton II
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.0
Ibou Badji
C · 7'1" 240 · 20.2
John Butler Jr.
C · 7'1" 190 · 20.0
Nassir Little
F · 6'6" 220 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.