Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Nuggets	53%	114	121	124.7	97	92.1
	20	Blazers	47%	113	120	122.4	98	103.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	35.3	21	50%	5	8	1	0	2	0	2	3	2-3	67%	5-11	45%	3-10	30%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	34.4	33	61%	10	9	0	1	6	1	3	7	4-6	67%	13-22	59%	1-3	33%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	30.8	20	83%	5	0	1	0	3	4	3	2	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	2-3	67%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	28.4	7	58%	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	1-1	100%	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Bruce Brown #11 · SF · 6'4" 202 · 26	27.9	10	56%	4	0	2	0	1	3	2	2	0-2	0%	5-6	83%	0-2	0%

Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	25.5	13	65%	5	4	1	0	1	1	0	5	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	3-6	50%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	20.4	6	75%	5	0	0	1	1	2	3	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	17.2	6	60%	4	3	1	0	2	3	2	2	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	13.7	5	83%	6	0	0	3	0	1	1	5	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	6.6	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ish Smith #4 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Heel; Strain
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	61%	48	28	6	5	16	16	16	32	15-22	68%	35-61	57%	12-30	40%

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12 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26	35.3	21	50%	5	8	1	0	2	0	2	3	2-3	67%	5-11	45%	3-10	30%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28	34.4	33	61%	10	9	0	1	6	1	3	7	4-6	67%	13-22	59%	1-3	33%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27	30.8	20	83%	5	0	1	0	3	4	3	2	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	2-3	67%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30	28.4	7	58%	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	1-1	100%	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Bruce Brown #11 · SF · 6'4" 202 · 26	27.9	10	56%	4	0	2	0	1	3	2	2	0-2	0%	5-6	83%	0-2	0%

Bones Hyland #3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22	25.5	13	65%	5	4	1	0	1	1	0	5	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	3-6	50%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22	20.4	6	75%	5	0	0	1	1	2	3	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36	17.2	6	60%	4	3	1	0	2	3	2	2	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	13.7	5	83%	6	0	0	3	0	1	1	5	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26	6.6	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ish Smith #4 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Davon Reed #9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jack White #10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Heel; Strain
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	61%	48	28	6	5	16	16	16	32	15-22	68%	35-61	57%	12-30	40%

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20 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 29	38.5	18	53%	3	3	1	1	1	3	0	3	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	2-7	29%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 32	37.6	40	80%	4	12	2	0	1	2	1	3	7-7	100%	3-5	60%	9-17	53%
Josh Hart #11 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	37.1	12	55%	6	3	3	0	2	2	3	3	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	34.0	6	25%	3	5	0	0	4	4	0	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-6	0%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 28	31.2	21	105%	9	2	2	2	3	5	1	8	1-1	100%	7-7	100%	2-3	67%

Justise Winslow #26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	22.4	4	33%	5	4	0	0	0	2	4	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26	16.8	7	70%	2	0	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 20	14.2	7	44%	3	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Trendon Watford #2 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 22	7.7	2	33%	3	1	0	0	1	0	2	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Keon Johnson #6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	0.5	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Greg Brown III #4 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gary Payton II #00 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 30	INACTIVE
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Butler Jr. #21 · C · 7'1" 190 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nassir Little #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Femoral Head Impaction; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	59%	38	30	10	3	12	20	13	25	16-16	100%	28-51	55%	16-40	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	POR
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	POR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.21 60.5%

POR

1.19 59.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

28

44

64%

POR

22

36

61%

Midrange

DEN

7

17

41%

POR

6

15

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

12

18.0

30

40%

60%

POR

16

24.0

40

40%

60%

Free Throws

DEN

15

22

68%

POR

16

100%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	33	61%	16.5 / 27
J. Murray	21	50%	10.5 / 21
A. Gordon	20	83%	10.0 / 12
B. Hyland	13	65%	6.5 / 10
B. Brown	10	56%	5.0 / 9
K. Caldwell-Pope	7	58%	3.5 / 6
C. Braun	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Green	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Jordan	5	83%	2.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	40	80%	20.0 / 25
J. Nurkić	21	105%	10.5 / 10
J. Grant	18	53%	9.0 / 17
J. Hart	12	55%	6.0 / 11
D. Eubanks	7	70%	3.5 / 5
S. Sharpe	7	44%	3.5 / 8
A. Simons	6	25%	3.0 / 12
J. Winslow	4	33%	2.0 / 6
K. Johnson	3	150%	1.5 / 1
T. Watford	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.1 17 114.6	DEN 124.7 +2.3 POR 122.4
Pace	21 98.5 18 98.7	DEN 92.1 POR 103.4 +11.3
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.7 12 14.7	DEN 15.6 POR 13.9 −1.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.3% 14 54.9%	DEN 58.2% +1.1% POR 57.1%
TO %	22 14.0% 20 13.8%	DEN 13.7% POR 11.7% −2.0%
ORB %	13 24.8% 24 22.4%	DEN 39.0% +10.1% POR 28.9%
FTrt	19 25.9 6 28.9	DEN 24.2 +6.6 POR 17.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 66.3% 18 59.7%	DEN 59.6% POR 68.2% +8.6%
STL %	9 7.6% 24 6.8%	DEN 6.2% POR 10.2% +4.0%
BLK %	19 8.3% 17 8.4%	DEN 9.8% +4.9% POR 4.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.7% 9 57.5%	DEN 60.5% +1.1% POR 59.4%
Rim FG%	3 66.5% 22 62.3%	DEN 63.6% +2.5% POR 61.1%
Mid FG%	13 43.4% 24 42.2%	DEN 41.2% +1.2% POR 40.0%
3P %	4 37.9% 14 36.5%	DEN 40.0% POR 40.0%
FT %	26 75.1% 8 79.6%	DEN 68.2% POR 100.0% +31.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 39.0% 9 37.5%	DEN 48.4% +8.8% POR 39.6%
Mid Att. %	12 24.9% 3 21.2%	DEN 18.7% POR 16.5% −2.2%
3P Att. %	21 36.1% 7 41.3%	DEN 33.0% POR 44.0% +11.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	POR
Possessions	97	98
Possession Minutes	25.3	22.7
Points	121	120
Rebounds	48	38
Assists	28	30
Steals	6	10
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	12 (1)
Fouls	16	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (2)	13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (0)	25 (4)
Field Goals	47-91	44-91
At-the-Rim FG	28-44	22-36
Midrange FG	7-17	6-15
2-Point FG	35-61	28-51
3-Point FG	12-30	16-40
Free Throws	15-22	16-16
Fast Break Pts	6	15
2nd Chance Pts	22	9
Points in Paint	64	46
Pts off Turnovers	12	21
Bench Points	30	23
Biggest Lead	5	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg